Football · Paraguay Division Intermedia · 30/06, 23:00
Independiente FBC vs Club Dr Benjamin Aceval
Expected goals: 2.6 (Independiente FBC 1.3 · Club Dr Benjamin Aceval 1.3). The model gives 36% home, 28% draw, 36% away. Under 2.5 goals (52%) and both teams to score (53%). Most likely score: 1-1.
36%1
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Independiente FBC 1521 · Club Dr Benjamin Aceval 1564
| Independiente FBC | Draw | Club Dr Benjamin Aceval | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 36% | 29% | 36% |
| Market | 36% | 28% | 36% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.6 goals · Bet365 line 2.5
The bar above blends our model with the market. The value bets mark where the odds cover the model probability with a margin (value).
Model analysis
Expected goals2.6Independiente FBC 1.3 · Club Dr Benjamin Aceval 1.3
Over / Under 2.5Under 2.5 · 52%
BTTSYes · 53%
Most likely total2 goals
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 65%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Club Dr Benjamin Aceval (rating 1521 vs 1564).
- Cards-heavy: 9.8 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Independiente FBC | Club Dr Benjamin Aceval | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.4 / 1.1 | 1.6 / 1 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.8 / 0.7 | 0.3 / 0.5 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/30/40% | 20/50/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.9 / 3.2 | 2.2 / 4.7 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.3 / 0.2 | 5.5 / 0.5 |
Standings · Paraguay Division Intermedia
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | General Caballero JLM | 12 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 28 | 18 | 24 |
| 2 | 12 de Junio de Villa Hayes | 12 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 17 | 9 | 24 |
| 3 | Club Dr Benjamin Aceval | 11 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 20 | 10 | 23 |
| 4 | Deportivo Capiata | 12 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 19 | 14 | 20 |
| 5 | Sol de America | 12 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 15 | 10 | 20 |
| 6 | Independiente FBC | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 16 | 13 | 18 |
| 7 | Guairena FC | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 14 | 13 | 18 |
| 8 | Club Atlético Tembetary | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 18 | 17 | 17 |
| 9 | Deportivo Santaní | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 10 | 10 | 15 |
| 10 | Resistencia FC | 11 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 12 | 14 | 14 |
| 11 | Carapegua | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 14 | 24 | 14 |
| 12 | Fernando de la Mora | 12 | 4 | 1 | 7 | 11 | 18 | 13 |
| 13 | Tacuary | 12 | 1 | 6 | 5 | 16 | 21 | 9 |
| 14 | Paraguari AC | 12 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 10 | 15 | 9 |
| 15 | Encarnacion FC | 11 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 12 | 18 | 8 |
| 16 | 3 de Noviembre | 12 | 0 | 6 | 6 | 10 | 18 | 6 |
Common opponents 7 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Independiente FBC | Club Dr Benjamin Aceval |
|---|---|---|
| Carapegua | 2-0 W | 2-0 W |
| 12 de Junio de Villa Hayes | 1-2 L | 2-1 W |
| Encarnacion FC | 3-2 W | 1-0 W |
| Deportivo Santaní | 0-2 L | 2-0 W |
| Fernando de la Mora | 1-1 D | 0-1 L |
| 3 de Noviembre | 2-0 W | 1-1 D |
| General Caballero JLM | 2-4 L | 0-0 D |
| Record vs common | 3 W 1 D 3 L | 4 W 2 D 1 L |
Better against common opponents: Club Dr Benjamin Aceval (3 of 7 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Independiente FBC
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/06 | Carapegua Paraguay Division Intermedia |
2-0 | 2-0 | 5 | 4 | W |
| 30/05 | 12 de Junio de Villa Hayes Paraguay Division Intermedia |
0-1 | 1-2 | 1 | 8 | L |
| 23/05 | Encarnacion FC Paraguay Division Intermedia |
1-2 | 3-2 | 3 | 5 | W |
| 19/05 | Deportivo Santaní Paraguay Division Intermedia |
0-1 | 0-2 | 4 | 2 | L |
| 15/05 | Fernando de la Mora Paraguay Division Intermedia |
1-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 7 | D |
| 09/05 | 3 de Noviembre Paraguay Division Intermedia |
2-0 | 2-0 | 4 | 4 | W |
| 03/05 | General Caballero JLM Paraguay Division Intermedia |
2-3 | 2-4 | 2 | 6 | L |
| 26/04 | Guairena FC Paraguay Division Intermedia |
0-0 | 2-0 | 3 | 1 | W |
| 17/04 | Resistencia FC Paraguay Division Intermedia |
0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 4 | D |
| 11/04 | Sol de America Paraguay Division Intermedia |
0-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 4 | W |
Club Dr Benjamin Aceval
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/06 | Tacuary Paraguay Division Intermedia |
1-1 | 3-2 | 8 | 7 | W |
| 30/05 | Club Atlético Tembetary Paraguay Division Intermedia |
0-2 | 3-4 | 10 | 8 | L |
| 25/05 | Paraguari AC Paraguay Division Intermedia |
0-0 | 2-1 | 3 | 5 | W |
| 21/05 | Carapegua Paraguay Division Intermedia |
1-0 | 2-0 | 2 | 2 | W |
| 16/05 | 12 de Junio de Villa Hayes Paraguay Division Intermedia |
0-1 | 2-1 | 2 | 7 | W |
| 10/05 | Encarnacion FC Paraguay Division Intermedia |
0-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 6 | W |
| 05/05 | Deportivo Santaní Paraguay Division Intermedia |
1-0 | 2-0 | 2 | 9 | W |
| 26/04 | Fernando de la Mora Paraguay Division Intermedia |
0-0 | 0-1 | 7 | 8 | L |
| 19/04 | 3 de Noviembre Paraguay Division Intermedia |
0-1 | 1-1 | 2 | 6 | D |
| 11/04 | General Caballero JLM Paraguay Division Intermedia |
0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 2 | D |