Football · USA USL League Two · 29/06, 01:00
Tacoma Stars vs West Seattle Junction FC
39%1
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Tacoma Stars 1488 · West Seattle Junction FC 1461
| Tacoma Stars | Draw | West Seattle Junction FC | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 39% | 24% | 37% |
| Market | 39% | 24% | 37% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.48 goals · Bet365 line 3.5
The bar above blends our model with the market. The value bets mark where the odds cover the model probability with a margin (value).
Model analysis
Expected goals3.48Tacoma Stars 1.76 · West Seattle Junction FC 1.72
Over / Under 3.5Under 3.5 · 52%
BTTSYes · 59%
Most likely total3 goals
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 55%model estimate
Match keys
- High estimate: 3.48 goals → consider Over 2.5.
- H2H favours Tacoma Stars: 2-2-1.
- Both score and concede often → consider BTTS.
- Cards-heavy: 8.7 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Tacoma Stars | West Seattle Junction FC | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 2 / 2 | 1.4 / 1.8 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.6 / 0.8 | 0.5 / 1.1 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 10/70/20% | 20/30/50% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.2 / 4.5 | 2 / 5.2 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.7 / 0 | 5 / 0.3 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Tacoma Stars 2–2–1 West Seattle Junction FC
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 11/05/26 USA USL League Two | West Seattle Junction FC | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Tacoma Stars |
| 22/06/25 USA USL League Two | West Seattle Junction FC | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Tacoma Stars |
| 18/05/25 USA USL League Two | Tacoma Stars | 3-2 HT 1-1 | West Seattle Junction FC |
| 16/06/24 USA USL League Two | West Seattle Junction FC | 3-2 HT 2-1 | Tacoma Stars |
| 06/06/24 USA USL League Two | Tacoma Stars | 5-2 HT 1-1 | West Seattle Junction FC |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Tacoma Stars
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/06 | Bigfoot FC USA USL League Two |
1-1 | 1-3 | 5 | 5 | L |
| 13/06 | FC Olympia USA USL League Two |
1-1 | 5-4 | – | – | W |
| 08/06 | Bigfoot FC USA USL League Two |
0-0 | 3-0 | 7 | 3 | W |
| 04/06 | Ballard FC USA USL League Two |
0-1 | 1-1 | 1 | 0 | D |
| 31/05 | Portland Bangers USA USL League Two |
1-1 | 3-4 | 6 | 5 | L |
| 29/05 | FC Olympia USA USL League Two |
1-1 | 4-1 | 4 | 6 | W |
| 25/05 | Portland Bangers USA USL League Two |
1-1 | 1-2 | – | – | L |
| 23/05 | Midlakes United USA USL League Two |
1-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 3 | D |
| 11/05 | West Seattle Junction FC USA USL League Two |
0-0 | 0-0 | – | – | D |
| 13/07 | Lane United FC USA USL League Two |
0-2 | 1-4 | – | – | L |
West Seattle Junction FC
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/06 | Ballard FC USA USL League Two |
0-2 | 1-3 | 5 | 4 | L |
| 22/06 | Ballard FC USA USL League Two |
1-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 5 | L |
| 15/06 | Snohomish United USA USL League Two |
1-2 | 2-3 | 7 | 10 | L |
| 13/06 | Midlakes United USA USL League Two |
1-2 | 1-2 | 6 | 6 | L |
| 07/06 | Midlakes United USA USL League Two |
1-0 | 3-0 | – | – | W |
| 25/05 | FC Olympia USA USL League Two |
0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 1 | L |
| 24/05 | Bigfoot FC USA USL League Two |
0-2 | 2-2 | 9 | 6 | D |
| 21/05 | Portland Bangers USA USL League Two |
0-2 | 1-3 | – | – | L |
| 11/05 | Tacoma Stars USA USL League Two |
0-0 | 0-0 | – | – | D |
| 12/07 | FC Olympia USA USL League Two |
1-1 | 2-1 | – | – | W |