⚽ Football · Brazil Campeonato Carioca A2 · 24/06, 19:45
America RJ vs Araruama FC
57%1
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · America RJ 1509 · Araruama FC 1443
| America RJ | Draw | Araruama FC | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 57% | 27% | 17% |
| Market | 58% | 26% | 16% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.1 goals · Bet365 line 2
The bar above blends our model with the market. The 💎 marks where our model beats the market.
🧠 Model analysis
Expected goals2.1America RJ 1.45 · Araruama FC 0.65
Over / Under 2Over 2 · 50%
BTTSNo · 63%
Likely score1-0
🔑 Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours America RJ (rating 1509 vs 1443).
- H2H favours Araruama FC: 2-2-1.
- Cards-heavy: 11.3 🟨 combined avg.
📊 Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| America RJ | Araruama FC | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.4 / 1.6 | 0.8 / 1.5 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.6 / 0.7 | 0.3 / 0.6 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/30/40% | 10/50/40% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 3 / 5.4 | 1 / 2.5 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 5.2 / 0 | 6.1 / 0.6 |
⚔️ Head-to-head (H2H) · America RJ 1–2–2 Araruama FC
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 06/09/25 Brazil Copa Rio | America RJ | 1-0 HT 1-0 | Araruama FC |
| 03/09/25 Brazil Copa Rio | Araruama FC | 0-0 HT 0-0 | America RJ |
| 06/07/25 Brazil Campeonato Carioca A2 | Araruama FC | 1-0 HT 1-0 | America RJ |
| 15/06/24 Brazil Campeonato Carioca A2 | America RJ | 0-1 HT 0-0 | Araruama FC |
| 27/06/23 Brazil Campeonato Carioca A2 | Araruama FC | 1-1 HT 1-0 | America RJ |
📅 Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Matches that were 0-0 at half-time are shaded grey.
America RJ
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/06 | XV Piracicaba Brazil Serie D |
1-1 | 1-1 | 4 | 6 | D |
| 13/06 | Olaria AC Brazil Campeonato Carioca A2 |
1-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 6 | D |
| 10/06 | Cabofriense Brazil Campeonato Carioca A2 |
0-1 | 2-1 | 7 | 7 | W |
| 06/06 | EC Agua Santa Brazil Serie D |
0-0 | 1-0 | 7 | 7 | W |
| 03/06 | Sao Goncalo Brazil Campeonato Carioca A2 |
1-0 | 2-1 | 3 | 5 | W |
| 31/05 | Portuguesa RJ Brazil Serie D |
0-0 | 2-2 | 8 | 6 | D |
| 28/05 | Resende RJ Brazil Campeonato Carioca A2 |
0-2 | 0-3 | 7 | 3 | L |
| 23/05 | Portuguesa Desportos Brazil Serie D |
1-2 | 1-4 | 7 | 5 | L |
| 20/05 | Marica RJ Brazil Campeonato Carioca A2 |
0-1 | 0-1 | 6 | 2 | L |
| 16/05 | Madureira RJ Brazil Serie D |
2-0 | 3-1 | 4 | 5 | W |
Araruama FC
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17/06 | Sao Cristovao RJ Brazil Copa Rio |
0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 9 | D |
| 14/06 | Sao Goncalo Brazil Campeonato Carioca A2 |
1-0 | 1-1 | 1 | 9 | D |
| 06/06 | Resende RJ Brazil Campeonato Carioca A2 |
0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 5 | L |
| 03/06 | Marica RJ Brazil Campeonato Carioca A2 |
0-1 | 0-1 | 2 | 9 | L |
| 23/05 | Perolas Negras Brazil Campeonato Carioca A2 |
0-0 | 1-3 | 3 | 5 | L |
| 16/05 | Americano RJ Brazil Campeonato Carioca A2 |
1-1 | 2-1 | – | – | W |
| 09/05 | Audax Rio Brazil Campeonato Carioca A2 |
1-1 | 2-3 | 4 | 8 | L |
| 02/05 | Bonsucesso FC Brazil Campeonato Carioca A2 |
0-1 | 1-2 | 3 | 5 | L |
| 29/04 | Serrano Brazil Campeonato Carioca A2 |
0-1 | 1-2 | – | – | L |
| 06/09 | America RJ Brazil Copa Rio |
0-1 | 0-1 | 1 | 4 | L |