⚽ Football · Georgia Cup · 26/06, 15:00
Guria Lanchkhuti vs FC Merani Tbilisi
55%1
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Guria Lanchkhuti 1574 · FC Merani Tbilisi 1521
| Guria Lanchkhuti | Draw | FC Merani Tbilisi | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 53% | 26% | 21% |
| Market | 57% | 19% | 24% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.83 goals · Bet365 line 3.5 · -0.7
The bar above blends our model with the market. The 💎 marks where our model sees the odds underpriced (possible value).
🧠 Model analysis
Expected goals2.83Guria Lanchkhuti 1.77 · FC Merani Tbilisi 1.05
Over / Under 3.5Under 3.5 · 59%
BTTSYes · 55%
Most likely total2 goals
🔑 Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Guria Lanchkhuti (rating 1574 vs 1521).
- H2H favours FC Merani Tbilisi: 4-1-1.
- Early goals: 1.7 combined avg at HT (1.3 + 0.4) → Over 0.5 HT.
- High corners: 11.9 combined avg → Over corners.
- Cards-heavy: 8.6 🟨 combined avg.
📊 Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Guria Lanchkhuti | FC Merani Tbilisi | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 2.9 / 0.9 | 1 / 0.6 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1.3 / 0.2 | 0.4 / 0.2 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 60/40/0% | 30/50/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 3.4 / 6.7 | 2.7 / 5.3 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.6 / 0.1 | 4 / 0.1 |
⚔️ Head-to-head (H2H) · Guria Lanchkhuti 1–1–4 FC Merani Tbilisi
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 24/10/24 Georgia Liga 3 | FC Merani Tbilisi | 2-0 HT 1-0 | Guria Lanchkhuti |
| 27/02/20 Europe Friendlies | FC Merani Tbilisi | 2-3 HT 0-1 | Guria Lanchkhuti |
| 28/10/19 Georgia First League | Guria Lanchkhuti | 0-0 HT 0-0 | FC Merani Tbilisi |
| 24/08/19 Georgia First League | FC Merani Tbilisi | 6-2 HT 4-0 | Guria Lanchkhuti |
| 31/05/19 Georgia First League | Guria Lanchkhuti | 2-4 HT 1-1 | FC Merani Tbilisi |
| 03/04/19 Georgia First League | FC Merani Tbilisi | 3-1 HT 0-0 | Guria Lanchkhuti |
📅 Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Matches that were 0-0 at half-time are shaded grey.
Guria Lanchkhuti
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/06 | FC Didube 2014 Georgia Liga 3 |
0-0 | 2-1 | 6 | 8 | W |
| 15/06 | Iveria Khashuri Georgia Liga 3 |
1-1 | 5-2 | 7 | 3 | W |
| 28/05 | FC Orbi Georgia Liga 3 |
1-0 | 2-1 | – | – | W |
| 20/05 | FC Iberia 2010 Georgia Liga 3 |
4-0 | 6-0 | 6 | 2 | W |
| 15/05 | Wit Georgia Georgia Liga 3 |
0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 4 | L |
| 07/05 | Kolkheti Georgia Liga 3 |
2-0 | 5-0 | 2 | 2 | W |
| 03/05 | FC Tbilisi 2025 Georgia Liga 3 |
1-1 | 1-1 | 9 | 6 | D |
| 29/04 | FC Margveti 2006 Georgia Liga 3 |
2-0 | 5-0 | 14 | 2 | W |
| 24/04 | Dinamo Tbilisi II Georgia Liga 3 |
1-0 | 2-1 | 7 | 6 | W |
| 20/04 | FC Iberia 1999 II Georgia Liga 3 |
1-0 | 1-2 | 6 | 9 | L |
FC Merani Tbilisi
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/06 | FC Orbi Georgia Liga 3 |
0-0 | 1-1 | 7 | 6 | D |
| 14/06 | Wit Georgia Georgia Liga 3 |
0-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 2 | W |
| 28/05 | FC Tbilisi 2025 Georgia Liga 3 |
0-1 | 0-2 | – | – | L |
| 21/05 | Dinamo Tbilisi II Georgia Liga 3 |
1-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 2 | W |
| 14/05 | FC Gonio Georgia Liga 3 |
0-0 | 1-1 | 6 | 6 | D |
| 07/05 | FC Iberia 1999 II Georgia Liga 3 |
0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 5 | L |
| 03/05 | Lokomotiv Tbilisi Georgia Liga 3 |
1-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 3 | W |
| 24/04 | FC Iberia 2010 Georgia Liga 3 |
0-0 | 2-0 | – | – | W |
| 09/04 | FC Margveti 2006 Georgia Liga 3 |
0-1 | 0-1 | 10 | 3 | L |
| 02/04 | Gardabani Georgia Liga 3 |
2-0 | 3-0 | 5 | 6 | W |