Football · Lithuania A Lyga · 28/06, 17:45
FK Dziugas Telsiai vs FK Zalgiris Vilnius
43%2
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · FK Dziugas Telsiai 1522 · FK Zalgiris Vilnius 1514
| FK Dziugas Telsiai | Draw | FK Zalgiris Vilnius | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 31% | 26% | 43% |
| Market | 31% | 25% | 44% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.98 goals · Bet365 line 2.5 · +0.5
The bar above blends our model with the market. The value bets mark where the odds cover the model probability with a margin (value).
Model analysis
Expected goals2.98FK Dziugas Telsiai 1.35 · FK Zalgiris Vilnius 1.63
Over / Under 2.5Over 2.5 · 52%
BTTSYes · 56%
Most likely total2 goals
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 65%model estimate
Match keys
- H2H favours FK Zalgiris Vilnius: 4-1-1.
- Early goals: 1.5 combined avg at HT (0.6 + 0.9) → Over 0.5 HT.
- Both score and concede often → consider BTTS.
- Cards-heavy: 8.7 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| FK Dziugas Telsiai | FK Zalgiris Vilnius | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 2.1 / 1.6 | 1.6 / 1.3 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.6 / 0.5 | 0.9 / 0.4 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/60/20% | 50/20/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.6 / 3.9 | 2.5 / 5.5 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.9 / 0.2 | 3.8 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · FK Dziugas Telsiai 1–1–4 FK Zalgiris Vilnius
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 26/04/26 Lithuania A Lyga | FK Dziugas Telsiai | 0-3 HT 0-1 | FK Zalgiris Vilnius |
| 21/02/26 Lithuania A Lyga | FK Zalgiris Vilnius | 2-3 HT 1-1 | FK Dziugas Telsiai |
| 05/10/25 Lithuania A Lyga | FK Dziugas Telsiai | 1-2 HT 1-1 | FK Zalgiris Vilnius |
| 19/07/25 Lithuania A Lyga | FK Zalgiris Vilnius | 2-0 HT 0-0 | FK Dziugas Telsiai |
| 31/05/25 Lithuania A Lyga | FK Dziugas Telsiai | 1-1 HT 1-1 | FK Zalgiris Vilnius |
| 02/03/25 Lithuania A Lyga | FK Zalgiris Vilnius | 2-1 HT 1-1 | FK Dziugas Telsiai |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
FK Dziugas Telsiai
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/06 | FK Siauliai Lithuania Cup |
1-1 | 1-2 | 7 | 7 | L |
| 21/06 | Suduva Marijampole Lithuania A Lyga |
0-1 | 1-2 | 4 | 2 | L |
| 17/06 | Hegelmann Litauen Lithuania A Lyga |
0-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 6 | D |
| 12/06 | FK Siauliai Lithuania A Lyga |
2-0 | 4-3 | 3 | 1 | W |
| 30/05 | Panevezys Lithuania A Lyga |
2-0 | 4-0 | 3 | 8 | W |
| 24/05 | FK Transinvest Lithuania A Lyga |
1-1 | 3-2 | 2 | 5 | W |
| 20/05 | Banga Gargzdai Lithuania Cup |
0-0 | 4-3 | 4 | 7 | W |
| 16/05 | Banga Gargzdai Lithuania A Lyga |
0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 5 | L |
| 09/05 | FK Riteriai Lithuania A Lyga |
0-0 | 1-0 | 7 | 3 | W |
| 05/05 | FK Kauno Zalgiris Lithuania A Lyga |
0-2 | 2-2 | 1 | 7 | D |
FK Zalgiris Vilnius
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/06 | Banga Gargzdai Lithuania A Lyga |
0-1 | 0-3 | 7 | 2 | L |
| 16/06 | Panevezys Lithuania A Lyga |
2-0 | 3-0 | 4 | 4 | W |
| 12/06 | FK Riteriai Lithuania A Lyga |
3-0 | 3-2 | 7 | 2 | W |
| 31/05 | FK Kauno Zalgiris Lithuania A Lyga |
0-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 2 | W |
| 24/05 | Hegelmann Litauen Lithuania A Lyga |
1-2 | 1-3 | 4 | 6 | L |
| 17/05 | FK Transinvest Lithuania A Lyga |
0-1 | 0-1 | 6 | 5 | L |
| 10/05 | Suduva Marijampole Lithuania A Lyga |
0-0 | 1-1 | 7 | 1 | D |
| 06/05 | FK Siauliai Lithuania A Lyga |
1-0 | 3-1 | 10 | 3 | W |
| 03/05 | Panevezys Lithuania A Lyga |
1-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 6 | L |
| 26/04 | FK Dziugas Telsiai Lithuania A Lyga |
1-0 | 3-0 | 1 | 7 | W |