Football · Lithuania A Lyga · 29/06, 17:30
FK Siauliai vs FK Transinvest
53%2
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · FK Siauliai 1510 · FK Transinvest 1539
| FK Siauliai | Draw | FK Transinvest | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 23% | 25% | 53% |
| Market | 23% | 24% | 53% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.02 goals · Bet365 line 2.5 · +0.5
The bar above blends our model with the market. The value bets mark where the odds cover the model probability with a margin (value).
Model analysis
Expected goals3.02FK Siauliai 1.16 · FK Transinvest 1.86
Over / Under 2.5Over 2.5 · 55%
BTTSYes · 55%
Most likely total3 goals
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 59%model estimate
Match keys
- H2H favours FK Transinvest: 3-1-2.
- Early goals: 1.7 combined avg at HT (0.6 + 1.1) → Over 0.5 HT.
- Both score and concede often → consider BTTS.
- High corners: 11.2 combined avg → Over corners.
- Cards-heavy: 7.9 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| FK Siauliai | FK Transinvest | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.5 / 1.6 | 2 / 1.3 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.6 / 0.9 | 1.1 / 0.3 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/40/40% | 60/40/0% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.4 / 5.1 | 2 / 6.1 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.8 / 0 | 4.1 / 0.2 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · FK Siauliai 2–1–3 FK Transinvest
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 26/04/26 Lithuania A Lyga | FK Siauliai | 0-4 HT 0-2 | FK Transinvest |
| 22/02/26 Lithuania A Lyga | FK Transinvest | 2-2 HT 1-0 | FK Siauliai |
| 21/09/24 Lithuania A Lyga | FK Transinvest | 2-0 HT 1-0 | FK Siauliai |
| 05/07/24 Lithuania A Lyga | FK Siauliai | 1-0 HT 0-0 | FK Transinvest |
| 18/05/24 Lithuania A Lyga | FK Transinvest | 1-3 HT 0-2 | FK Siauliai |
| 30/03/24 Lithuania A Lyga | FK Siauliai | 0-1 HT 0-0 | FK Transinvest |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
FK Siauliai
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/06 | FK Dziugas Telsiai Lithuania Cup |
1-1 | 2-1 | 5 | 7 | W |
| 20/06 | Panevezys Lithuania A Lyga |
1-2 | 2-3 | 8 | 5 | L |
| 16/06 | Suduva Marijampole Lithuania A Lyga |
1-1 | 1-2 | 4 | 6 | L |
| 12/06 | FK Dziugas Telsiai Lithuania A Lyga |
0-2 | 3-4 | 3 | 1 | L |
| 30/05 | Banga Gargzdai Lithuania A Lyga |
1-0 | 1-1 | 7 | 1 | D |
| 25/05 | FK Riteriai Lithuania A Lyga |
1-0 | 2-0 | 2 | 4 | W |
| 20/05 | FK Ataka Lithuania Cup |
0-1 | 2-1 | 12 | 6 | W |
| 16/05 | FK Kauno Zalgiris Lithuania A Lyga |
0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | D |
| 09/05 | Hegelmann Litauen Lithuania A Lyga |
1-1 | 1-1 | 4 | 3 | D |
| 06/05 | FK Zalgiris Vilnius Lithuania A Lyga |
0-1 | 1-3 | 5 | 3 | L |
FK Transinvest
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/06 | DFK Dainava Lithuania Cup |
1-1 | 2-3 | 14 | 6 | L |
| 20/06 | FK Kauno Zalgiris Lithuania A Lyga |
1-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 4 | L |
| 12/06 | Panevezys Lithuania A Lyga |
2-0 | 2-1 | 11 | 4 | W |
| 29/05 | Hegelmann Litauen Lithuania A Lyga |
2-0 | 2-1 | 5 | 3 | W |
| 24/05 | FK Dziugas Telsiai Lithuania A Lyga |
1-1 | 2-3 | 2 | 5 | L |
| 20/05 | Hegelmann Litauen Lithuania Cup |
0-0 | 2-0 | 11 | 5 | W |
| 17/05 | FK Zalgiris Vilnius Lithuania A Lyga |
1-0 | 1-0 | 0 | 5 | W |
| 10/05 | Banga Gargzdai Lithuania A Lyga |
2-1 | 2-2 | 2 | 4 | D |
| 06/05 | Suduva Marijampole Lithuania A Lyga |
0-0 | 1-1 | 6 | 3 | D |
| 02/05 | FK Riteriai Lithuania A Lyga |
1-0 | 5-0 | 7 | 4 | W |