Fútbol · Australia Queensland Premier League · 30/6, 12:30
Logan Lightning vs Redlands United
Se esperan 3.35 goles (Logan Lightning 1.65 · Redlands United 1.7). El modelo da 37% al 1, 24% a la X y 39% al 2. Más de 3 goles (53%) y ambos marcan (59%). Marcador más probable: 1-1.
39%2
Nuestro modelo (Elo) vs Mercado
Rating Elo · Logan Lightning 1478 · Redlands United 1518
| Logan Lightning | Empate | Redlands United | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nuestro modelo | 37% | 25% | 39% |
| Mercado | 38% | 23% | 40% |
Total estimado (nuestro)
3.35 goles · línea Bet365 3 · +0.4
La barra de arriba combina nuestro modelo con el mercado. Las apuestas de valor marcan dónde la cuota cubre con margen la probabilidad del modelo (valor).
Análisis del modelo
Goles esperados3.35Logan Lightning 1.65 · Redlands United 1.7
Más / Menos 3Más 3 · 53%
Ambos marcanSí · 59%
Total más probable3 goles
Goles 1ª parteMenos 1.5 · 57%estimación del modelo
Claves del partido
- Nuestro modelo (Elo, ajustado por la calidad del rival) hace favorito a Redlands United (rating 1478 vs 1518).
- Historial directo a favor de Logan Lightning: 3-1-2.
- Partido de tarjetas: 5 🟨 de media combinada.
Estadísticas · 10/10 partidos analizados
F = a favor · C = en contra · HT = al descanso · FT = final del partido
| Logan Lightning | Redlands United | |
|---|---|---|
| Goles a favor / en contra (FT) | 1.1 / 1.7 | 2.5 / 1.5 |
| Goles a favor / en contra (HT) | 0.2 / 0.9 | 1.5 / 0.2 |
| Resultado al descanso (V/E/D) | 11/56/33% | 80/20/0% |
| Córners (HT / FT) | 1.4 / 4.1 | 1.8 / 4.2 |
| Tarjetas (🟨 / 🟥) | 1.8 / 0 | 3.2 / 0.3 |
Enfrentamientos directos (H2H) · Logan Lightning 3–1–2 Redlands United
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| Fecha | Local | Marcador | Visitante |
|---|---|---|---|
| 19/07/25 Australia Queensland Premier League | Logan Lightning | 3-1 HT 1-1 | Redlands United |
| 28/06/25 Australia Queensland Premier League | Redlands United | 0-7 HT 0-3 | Logan Lightning |
| 20/05/25 Australia Cup Qualifying | Logan Lightning | 3-3 HT 3-2 | Redlands United |
| 05/09/21 Australia NPL Queensland | Logan Lightning | 2-3 HT 0-1 | Redlands United |
| 22/05/21 Australia NPL Queensland | Redlands United | 0-4 HT 0-2 | Logan Lightning |
| 25/01/20 Australia Pre-Season Cup | Logan Lightning | 3-5 HT 1-2 | Redlands United |
Clasificación · Australia Queensland Premier League
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| # | Equipo | PJ | G | E | P | GF | GC | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Broadbeach United | 16 | 14 | 2 | 0 | 46 | 15 | 44 |
| 2 | Brisbane Strikers | 16 | 12 | 3 | 1 | 39 | 12 | 39 |
| 3 | Ipswich FC | 16 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 24 | 21 | 27 |
| 4 | Sunshine Coast Wanderers | 16 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 34 | 21 | 26 |
| 5 | Caboolture FC | 16 | 8 | 2 | 6 | 33 | 28 | 26 |
| 6 | Robina City | 16 | 7 | 3 | 6 | 28 | 20 | 24 |
| 7 | Holland Park Hawks | 16 | 7 | 1 | 8 | 26 | 30 | 22 |
| 8 | Redlands United | 15 | 6 | 3 | 6 | 31 | 25 | 21 |
| 9 | Logan Lightning | 15 | 5 | 2 | 8 | 23 | 29 | 17 |
| 10 | North Star | 16 | 3 | 2 | 11 | 15 | 35 | 11 |
| 11 | St George Willawong FC | 16 | 2 | 1 | 13 | 8 | 39 | 7 |
| 12 | Capalaba FC | 16 | 2 | 1 | 13 | 16 | 48 | 7 |
Rivales en común 7 rivales
Cómo le fue a cada equipo contra los mismos rivales recientes
| Rival | Logan Lightning | Redlands United |
|---|---|---|
| Caboolture FC | 1-3 D | 2-4 D |
| Holland Park Hawks | 2-3 D | 4-1 V |
| Robina City | 0-1 D | 2-2 E |
| Capalaba FC | 1-0 V | 1-2 D |
| St George Willawong FC | 0-0 E | 3-0 V |
| North Star | 3-1 V | 5-0 V |
| Broadbeach United | 0-4 D | 0-2 D |
| Balance vs comunes | 2 V 1 E 4 D | 3 V 1 E 3 D |
Mejor contra rivales comunes: Redlands United (5 de 7 cruces a favor)
Últimos 10 partidos jugados
De aquí salen las medias de arriba. V = victoria, E = empate, D = derrota. En azul, los rivales comunes a ambos.
Logan Lightning
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| Fecha | Rival | HT | FT | Córn. | Tarj. | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/6 | Caboolture FC Australia Queensland Premier League |
1-1 | 1-3 | 11 | 2 | D |
| 23/6 | Holland Park Hawks Australia Queensland Premier League |
0-2 | 2-3 | 7 | 1 | D |
| 20/6 | Robina City Australia Queensland Premier League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 2 | D |
| 5/6 | Capalaba FC Australia Queensland Premier League |
0-0 | 1-0 | 1 | 0 | V |
| 27/5 | St George Willawong FC Australia Cup Qualifying |
– | 0-0 | – | – | E |
| 23/5 | North Star Australia Queensland Premier League |
1-0 | 3-1 | 2 | 3 | V |
| 10/5 | St George Willawong FC Australia Queensland Premier League |
0-0 | 2-0 | 1 | 4 | V |
| 2/5 | Broadbeach United Australia Queensland Premier League |
0-3 | 0-4 | 2 | 2 | D |
| 29/4 | Broadbeach United Australia Cup Qualifying |
0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | E |
| 19/4 | Sunshine Coast Wanderers Australia Queensland Premier League |
0-2 | 2-5 | 4 | 0 | D |
Redlands United
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| Fecha | Rival | HT | FT | Córn. | Tarj. | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/6 | Holland Park Hawks Australia Queensland Premier League |
3-0 | 4-1 | 3 | 4 | V |
| 20/6 | Ipswich FC Australia Queensland Premier League |
1-0 | 5-0 | 7 | 5 | V |
| 7/6 | St George Willawong FC Australia Queensland Premier League |
1-0 | 3-0 | 4 | 4 | V |
| 23/5 | Broadbeach United Australia Queensland Premier League |
0-0 | 0-2 | 3 | 0 | D |
| 8/5 | Brisbane Strikers Australia Queensland Premier League |
0-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 5 | E |
| 25/4 | Caboolture FC Australia Queensland Premier League |
2-1 | 2-4 | 0 | 5 | D |
| 18/4 | Robina City Australia Queensland Premier League |
2-0 | 2-2 | 7 | 3 | E |
| 10/4 | Capalaba FC Australia Queensland Premier League |
1-0 | 1-2 | 7 | 5 | D |
| 2/4 | Capalaba FC Australia Cup Qualifying |
2-1 | 2-3 | 5 | 1 | D |
| 28/3 | North Star Australia Queensland Premier League |
3-0 | 5-0 | 3 | 3 | V |