⚽ Football · Australia Queensland Premier League 2 · 28/06, 08:00
Brisbane Knights vs Caloundra
50%2
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Brisbane Knights 1413 · Caloundra 1499
| Brisbane Knights | Draw | Caloundra | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 36% | 21% | 43% |
| Market | 25% | 20% | 55% |
Estimated total (ours)
4.29 goals · Bet365 line 4 · +0.3
The bar above blends our model with the market. The 💎 marks where our model sees the odds underpriced (possible value).
🧠 Model analysis
Expected goals4.29Brisbane Knights 2.04 · Caloundra 2.25
BTTSYes · 78%
Most likely total4 goals
🔑 Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Caloundra (rating 1413 vs 1499).
- High estimate: 4.29 goals → consider Over 2.5.
- Early goals: 1.6 combined avg at HT (0.7 + 0.9) → Over 0.5 HT.
- Both score and concede often → consider BTTS.
- High corners: 10.7 combined avg → Over corners.
- Cards-heavy: 7.1 🟨 combined avg.
📊 Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Brisbane Knights | Caloundra | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.2 / 2.8 | 2.1 / 2.6 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.7 / 1.2 | 0.9 / 1.2 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/50/30% | 20/30/50% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.9 / 3.3 | 5.2 / 7.4 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.3 / 0 | 3.8 / 0.2 |
⚔️ Head-to-head (H2H) · Brisbane Knights 0–0–1 Caloundra
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 28/02/26 Australia Queensland Premier League 2 | Caloundra | 4-2 HT 4-1 | Brisbane Knights |
📅 Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Matches that were 0-0 at half-time are shaded grey.
Brisbane Knights
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/06 | Southside Eagles Australia Queensland Premier League 2 |
1-0 | 1-2 | – | – | L |
| 06/06 | Samford Rangers Australia Queensland Premier League 2 |
0-1 | 0-1 | 2 | 5 | L |
| 23/05 | Pine Hills Australia Queensland Premier League 2 |
1-1 | 1-2 | – | – | L |
| 17/05 | Moreton City Excelsior B Australia Queensland Premier League 2 |
0-5 | 0-8 | 3 | 1 | L |
| 02/05 | Mitchelton FC Australia Queensland Premier League 2 |
2-2 | 3-4 | 5 | 7 | L |
| 25/04 | Grange Thistle Australia Queensland Premier League 2 |
2-2 | 2-4 | 3 | 1 | L |
| 17/04 | Virginia United Australia Queensland Premier League 2 |
0-1 | 0-2 | 4 | 2 | L |
| 14/04 | Taringa Rovers Australia Queensland Premier League 2 |
1-0 | 3-1 | 3 | 3 | W |
| 07/04 | SWQ Thunder Australia Queensland Premier League 2 |
0-0 | 0-4 | – | – | L |
| 20/03 | Southside Eagles Australia Queensland Premier League 2 |
0-0 | 2-0 | 3 | 4 | W |
Caloundra
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/06 | Mitchelton FC Australia Queensland Premier League 2 |
1-2 | 2-6 | 11 | 4 | L |
| 13/06 | Pine Hills Australia Queensland Premier League 2 |
0-1 | 0-1 | – | – | L |
| 06/06 | Moreton City Excelsior B Australia Queensland Premier League 2 |
2-0 | 2-1 | – | – | W |
| 24/05 | Virginia United Australia Queensland Premier League 2 |
2-2 | 4-3 | 4 | 2 | W |
| 16/05 | Grange Thistle Australia Queensland Premier League 2 |
0-1 | 2-2 | – | – | D |
| 09/05 | Taringa Rovers Australia Queensland Premier League 2 |
0-0 | 2-0 | 5 | 6 | W |
| 29/04 | North Star Australia Cup Qualifying |
0-0 | 1-2 | 8 | 3 | L |
| 25/04 | Southside Eagles Australia Queensland Premier League 2 |
2-1 | 4-2 | 9 | 5 | W |
| 18/04 | SWQ Thunder Australia Queensland Premier League 2 |
2-3 | 3-5 | – | – | L |
| 12/04 | Souths United Australia Queensland Premier League 2 |
0-2 | 1-4 | – | – | L |