⚽ Football · USA USL League Two · 25/06, 01:00
Ballard FC vs West Seattle Junction FC
68%1
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Ballard FC 1579 · West Seattle Junction FC 1478
| Ballard FC | Draw | West Seattle Junction FC | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 61% | 20% | 19% |
| Market | 75% | 15% | 11% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.42 goals · Bet365 line 3.5
The bar above blends our model with the market. The 💎 marks where our model beats the market.
🧠 Model analysis
Expected goals3.42Ballard FC 2.23 · West Seattle Junction FC 1.19
Over / Under 3.5Under 3.5 · 54%
BTTSYes · 62%
Likely score2-1
🔑 Match keys
- Ballard FC usually leads at HT (70%) while West Seattle Junction FC trails (50%): look at home at HT.
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Ballard FC (rating 1579 vs 1478).
- High estimate: 3.42 goals → consider Over 2.5.
- H2H favours Ballard FC: 3-1-0.
- Early goals: 1.7 avg at HT → Over 0.5 HT.
- High corners: 11.5 combined avg → Over corners.
📊 Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Ballard FC | West Seattle Junction FC | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 2.2 / 0.9 | 1.7 / 1.8 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1.2 / 0.4 | 0.5 / 1 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 70/10/20% | 20/30/50% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.7 / 6.3 | 2 / 5.2 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.1 / 0 | 5.2 / 0.4 |
⚔️ Head-to-head (H2H) · Ballard FC 3–1–0 West Seattle Junction FC
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 22/06/26 USA USL League Two | West Seattle Junction FC | 1-2 HT 1-0 | Ballard FC |
| 21/06/25 USA USL League Two | Ballard FC | 0-0 HT 0-0 | West Seattle Junction FC |
| 14/07/24 USA USL League Two | West Seattle Junction FC | 0-2 HT 0-2 | Ballard FC |
| 02/06/24 USA USL League Two | Ballard FC | 4-0 HT 3-0 | West Seattle Junction FC |
📅 Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Matches that were 0-0 at half-time are shaded grey.
Ballard FC
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22/06 | West Seattle Junction FC USA USL League Two |
0-1 | 2-1 | 10 | 5 | W |
| 19/06 | Bigfoot FC USA USL League Two |
5-1 | 6-1 | 8 | 2 | W |
| 15/06 | Portland Bangers USA USL League Two |
1-0 | 2-0 | – | – | W |
| 11/06 | Snohomish United USA USL League Two |
0-2 | 0-2 | 7 | 6 | L |
| 07/06 | Portland Bangers USA USL League Two |
1-0 | 3-1 | 1 | 2 | W |
| 04/06 | Tacoma Stars USA USL League Two |
1-0 | 1-1 | 7 | 0 | D |
| 01/06 | FC Olympia USA USL League Two |
1-0 | 2-1 | – | – | W |
| 30/05 | Midlakes United USA USL League Two |
1-0 | 2-0 | 1 | 6 | W |
| 16/05 | FC Olympia USA USL League Two |
2-0 | 3-0 | 10 | 1 | W |
| 03/08 | Vermont Green USA USL League Two |
0-0 | 1-2 | – | – | L |
West Seattle Junction FC
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22/06 | Ballard FC USA USL League Two |
1-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 5 | L |
| 15/06 | Snohomish United USA USL League Two |
1-2 | 2-3 | 7 | 10 | L |
| 13/06 | Midlakes United USA USL League Two |
1-2 | 1-2 | 6 | 6 | L |
| 07/06 | Midlakes United USA USL League Two |
1-0 | 3-0 | – | – | W |
| 25/05 | FC Olympia USA USL League Two |
0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 1 | L |
| 24/05 | Bigfoot FC USA USL League Two |
0-2 | 2-2 | 9 | 6 | D |
| 21/05 | Portland Bangers USA USL League Two |
0-2 | 1-3 | – | – | L |
| 11/05 | Tacoma Stars USA USL League Two |
0-0 | 0-0 | – | – | D |
| 12/07 | FC Olympia USA USL League Two |
1-1 | 2-1 | – | – | W |
| 09/07 | Bigfoot FC USA USL League Two |
0-1 | 4-3 | – | – | W |