Football · Belarus Premier League · 27/06, 15:30
Maxline Rogachev vs Naftan Novopolotsk
69%1
Model analysis
Expected goals3.34Maxline Rogachev 2.4 · Naftan Novopolotsk 0.94
Over / Under 3.25Under 3.25 · 53%
BTTSYes · 54%
Most likely total3 goals
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 56%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Maxline Rogachev (rating 1574 vs 1409).
- High estimate: 3.34 goals → consider Over 2.5.
- H2H favours Maxline Rogachev: 4-0-1.
- Cards-heavy: 7 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Maxline Rogachev | Naftan Novopolotsk | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 2.1 / 1.2 | 0.7 / 2.3 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.7 / 0.5 | 0.3 / 1.3 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/50/20% | 10/40/50% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | – / 5.5 | – / 4.6 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.5 / 0.1 | 3.5 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Maxline Rogachev 4–0–1 Naftan Novopolotsk
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 22/08/25 Belarus Premier League | Maxline Rogachev | 2-0 HT 1-0 | Naftan Novopolotsk |
| 12/04/25 Belarus Premier League | Naftan Novopolotsk | 0-3 HT 0-1 | Maxline Rogachev |
| 14/07/24 Belarus Cup | Maxline Rogachev | 2-1 HT 0-0 | Naftan Novopolotsk |
| 02/10/22 Belarus Division 1 | Naftan Novopolotsk | 2-3 HT 0-1 | Maxline Rogachev |
| 22/05/22 Belarus Division 1 | Maxline Rogachev | 0-4 HT 0-2 | Naftan Novopolotsk |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Maxline Rogachev
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/06 | FC Minsk Belarus Premier League |
1-1 | 2-2 | 3 | 7 | D |
| 17/06 | Energetik-BGU Minsk Belarus Cup |
0-0 | 5-3 | 10 | 3 | W |
| 13/06 | FC Vitebsk Belarus Premier League |
0-1 | 1-2 | 3 | 2 | L |
| 30/05 | Neman Grodno Belarus Premier League |
0-1 | 2-1 | 3 | 4 | W |
| 22/05 | FK Gomel Belarus Premier League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 10 | D |
| 17/05 | FK Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk Belarus Premier League |
2-0 | 3-0 | 2 | 1 | W |
| 10/05 | Dnepr Mogilev Belarus Premier League |
2-1 | 5-1 | 13 | 2 | W |
| 03/05 | Dinamo Minsk Belarus Premier League |
2-1 | 3-2 | 3 | 4 | W |
| 29/04 | Dinamo Minsk Belarus Cup |
0-0 | 0-1 | 5 | 1 | L |
| 25/04 | Dinamo Brest Belarus Premier League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | D |
Naftan Novopolotsk
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/06 | FC Baranovichi Belarus Premier League |
1-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 5 | W |
| 12/06 | Isloch Belarus Premier League |
0-2 | 1-3 | 4 | 1 | L |
| 29/05 | Torpedo Zhodino Belarus Premier League |
0-4 | 0-4 | 4 | 2 | L |
| 23/05 | Belshina Bobruisk Belarus Premier League |
0-3 | 1-5 | 6 | 2 | L |
| 17/05 | Slavia Mozyr Belarus Premier League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 6 | 3 | L |
| 10/05 | BATE Borisov Belarus Premier League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 7 | D |
| 01/05 | FC Minsk Belarus Premier League |
1-2 | 2-4 | 4 | 0 | L |
| 25/04 | FC Vitebsk Belarus Premier League |
0-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 6 | D |
| 18/04 | Neman Grodno Belarus Premier League |
1-1 | 1-3 | 3 | 5 | L |
| 10/04 | FK Gomel Belarus Premier League |
0-1 | 0-2 | 7 | 4 | L |