Football · Sweden Allsvenskan · 06/07, 19:00
BK Hacken vs Djurgarden
Expected goals: 3.54 (BK Hacken 1.89 · Djurgarden 1.65). The model gives 43% home, 25% draw, 33% away. Over 3 goals (55%) and both teams to score (60%). Most likely score: 1-1.
43%1
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · BK Hacken 1527 · Djurgarden 1516
| BK Hacken | Draw | Djurgarden | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 43% | 24% | 33% |
| Market | 42% | 26% | 32% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.54 goals · Bet365 line 3 · +0.5
The bar above blends our model with the market. The value bets mark where the odds cover the model probability with a margin (value).
Model analysis
Expected goals3.54BK Hacken 1.89 · Djurgarden 1.65
Over / Under 3Over 3 · 55%
BTTSYes · 60%
Most likely total3 goals
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 55%model estimate
Match keys
- H2H favours Djurgarden: 4-2-0.
- High corners: 12.1 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 7.7 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| BK Hacken | Djurgarden | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.9 / 1.6 | 2 / 1.4 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1 / 1 | 1.3 / 0.7 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 50/20/30% | 40/50/10% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.8 / 5.5 | 2.9 / 6.6 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.3 / 0.2 | 3.4 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · BK Hacken 0–2–4 Djurgarden
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 27/07/25 Sweden Allsvenskan | BK Hacken | 1-6 HT 0-4 | Djurgarden |
| 25/05/25 Sweden Allsvenskan | Djurgarden | 1-1 HT 0-0 | BK Hacken |
| 19/09/24 Sweden Allsvenskan | BK Hacken | 1-2 HT 0-0 | Djurgarden |
| 08/04/24 Sweden Allsvenskan | Djurgarden | 3-3 HT 0-1 | BK Hacken |
| 26/06/23 Club Friendly List | BK Hacken | 0-1 HT 0-0 | Djurgarden |
| 24/05/23 Sweden Allsvenskan | Djurgarden | 1-0 HT 0-0 | BK Hacken |
Standings · Sweden Allsvenskan
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sirius | 10 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 27 | 10 | 28 |
| 2 | BK Hacken | 10 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 20 | 14 | 20 |
| 3 | Elfsborg | 11 | 4 | 6 | 1 | 16 | 11 | 18 |
| 4 | Hammarby | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 24 | 13 | 17 |
| 5 | GAIS | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 16 | 11 | 15 |
| 6 | Mjällby AIF | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 14 | 11 | 15 |
| 7 | Brommapojkarna | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 15 | 16 | 15 |
| 8 | Djurgarden | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 19 | 13 | 13 |
| 9 | Malmo FF | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 20 | 20 | 13 |
| 10 | AIK | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 12 | 16 | 12 |
| 11 | Vasteras SK | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 17 | 22 | 12 |
| 12 | Degerfors | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 12 | 16 | 10 |
| 13 | Kalmar FF | 10 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 11 | 15 | 10 |
| 14 | IFK Goteborg | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 13 | 22 | 10 |
| 15 | Halmstad | 10 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 9 | 20 | 6 |
| 16 | Orgryte IS | 10 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 10 | 25 | 6 |
Common opponents 6 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | BK Hacken | Djurgarden |
|---|---|---|
| Hammarby | 1-4 L | 1-1 D |
| Elfsborg | 1-1 D | 1-2 L |
| Malmo FF | 3-2 W | 0-1 L |
| Sirius | 2-2 D | 1-1 D |
| GAIS | 2-1 W | 1-0 W |
| IFK Goteborg | 2-0 W | 6-0 W |
| Record vs common | 3 W 2 D 1 L | 2 W 2 D 2 L |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
BK Hacken
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/06 | Hammarby Club Friendly List |
1-3 | 1-4 | 6 | 0 | L |
| 31/05 | Hammarby Sweden Allsvenskan |
0-2 | 3-2 | 7 | 5 | W |
| 25/05 | Elfsborg Sweden Allsvenskan |
1-0 | 1-1 | 6 | 4 | D |
| 17/05 | Mjällby AIF Sweden Allsvenskan |
0-0 | 1-0 | 7 | 5 | W |
| 10/05 | Malmo FF Sweden Allsvenskan |
3-2 | 3-2 | 4 | 4 | W |
| 02/05 | Degerfors Sweden Allsvenskan |
1-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 3 | D |
| 27/04 | Sirius Sweden Allsvenskan |
2-1 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | D |
| 22/04 | Vasteras SK Sweden Allsvenskan |
1-2 | 3-3 | 9 | 4 | D |
| 19/04 | GAIS Sweden Allsvenskan |
0-0 | 2-1 | 5 | 9 | W |
| 11/04 | IFK Goteborg Sweden Allsvenskan |
1-0 | 2-0 | 3 | 10 | W |
Djurgarden
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/06 | Sirius Club Friendly List |
1-0 | 1-1 | – | – | D |
| 22/05 | Brommapojkarna Sweden Allsvenskan |
1-1 | 1-2 | 3 | 2 | L |
| 18/05 | Sirius Sweden Allsvenskan |
1-2 | 2-3 | 7 | 5 | L |
| 10/05 | AIK Sweden Allsvenskan |
3-1 | 4-2 | 9 | 4 | W |
| 04/05 | IFK Goteborg Sweden Allsvenskan |
3-0 | 6-0 | 7 | 3 | W |
| 26/04 | Hammarby Sweden Allsvenskan |
1-0 | 1-1 | 1 | 2 | D |
| 22/04 | Elfsborg Sweden Allsvenskan |
1-1 | 1-2 | 7 | 5 | L |
| 17/04 | Malmo FF Sweden Allsvenskan |
0-0 | 0-1 | 10 | 6 | L |
| 12/04 | Kalmar FF Sweden Allsvenskan |
2-2 | 3-2 | 5 | 1 | W |
| 06/04 | GAIS Sweden Allsvenskan |
0-0 | 1-0 | 10 | 3 | W |