Football · Iran Div 1 · 27/06, 18:00
Mes Shahr-e Babak vs Niroye Zamini
51%1
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Mes Shahr-e Babak 1554 · Niroye Zamini 1464
| Mes Shahr-e Babak | Draw | Niroye Zamini | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 50% | 35% | 15% |
| Market | 52% | 31% | 17% |
Estimated total (ours)
1.58 goals · Bet365 line 1.5
The bar above blends our model with the market. The value bets mark where the odds cover the model probability with a margin (value).
Model analysis
Expected goals1.58Mes Shahr-e Babak 1.1 · Niroye Zamini 0.48
Over / Under 1.5Over 1.5 · 50%
BTTSNo · 58%
Most likely total1 goals
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 84%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Mes Shahr-e Babak (rating 1554 vs 1464).
- Low estimate: 1.58 goals → consider Under 2.5.
- Cards-heavy: 6.3 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Mes Shahr-e Babak | Niroye Zamini | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.3 / 0.2 | 0.4 / 0.8 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.5 / 0 | 0 / 0.5 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 38/63/0% | 0/50/50% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.6 / 2.8 | 0.5 / 3 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 2.8 / 0 | 3.5 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Mes Shahr-e Babak 2–2–2 Niroye Zamini
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 06/12/25 Iran Div 1 | Niroye Zamini | 1-1 HT 0-0 | Mes Shahr-e Babak |
| 18/05/25 Iran Div 1 | Mes Shahr-e Babak | 4-1 | Niroye Zamini |
| 03/01/25 Iran Div 1 | Niroye Zamini | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Mes Shahr-e Babak |
| 28/12/23 Iran Cup | Niroye Zamini | 1-0 HT 1-0 | Mes Shahr-e Babak |
| 07/06/21 Iran Div 2 | Mes Shahr-e Babak | 1-0 HT 1-0 | Niroye Zamini |
| 18/02/21 Iran Div 2 | Niroye Zamini | 1-0 HT 1-0 | Mes Shahr-e Babak |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Mes Shahr-e Babak
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/06 | Nassaji Mazandaran Iran Div 1 |
0-0 | 0-1 | 1 | 4 | L |
| 15/06 | Besat Kermanshah Iran Div 1 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 6 | D |
| 10/06 | Damash Gilan Iran Div 1 |
1-0 | 7-0 | 2 | 1 | W |
| 02/06 | Sanat Naft Abadan Iran Div 1 |
2-0 | 2-0 | 3 | 1 | W |
| 27/05 | SaiPa FC Iran Div 1 |
0-0 | 0-1 | 1 | 2 | L |
| 21/05 | Shahrdari Noshahr Iran Div 1 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 4 | D |
| 14/05 | Mes Kerman Iran Div 1 |
0-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 3 | W |
| 21/02 | Palayesh Naft Bandar Abbas FC Iran Div 1 |
1-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 1 | W |
| 15/02 | Navad Urmia Iran Div 1 |
– | 1-0 | – | – | W |
| 09/02 | Ario Eslamshahr Iran Div 1 |
– | 1-0 | – | – | W |
Niroye Zamini
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/06 | FC Fard Iran Div 1 |
0-1 | 0-2 | 4 | 1 | L |
| 15/06 | Naft Gachsaran Iran Div 1 |
– | 3-0 | – | – | W |
| 09/06 | Ario Eslamshahr Iran Div 1 |
– | 0-0 | – | – | D |
| 02/06 | Mes Soongoun Varzaghan Iran Div 1 |
– | 0-1 | – | – | L |
| 27/05 | Havadar SC Iran Div 1 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 6 | D |
| 21/05 | Shenavar Sazi Qeshm Iran Div 1 |
– | 0-0 | – | – | D |
| 21/02 | Besat Kermanshah Iran Div 1 |
– | 1-4 | – | – | L |
| 15/02 | Nassaji Mazandaran Iran Div 1 |
– | 0-0 | – | – | D |
| 09/02 | SaiPa FC Iran Div 1 |
– | 0-1 | – | – | L |
| 02/02 | Palayesh Naft Bandar Abbas FC Iran Div 1 |
– | 0-0 | – | – | D |