Football · Iran Div 1 · 27/06, 18:45
Mes Soongoun Varzaghan vs Shenavar Sazi Qeshm
39%1
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Mes Soongoun Varzaghan 1508 · Shenavar Sazi Qeshm 1472
| Mes Soongoun Varzaghan | Draw | Shenavar Sazi Qeshm | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 38% | 41% | 22% |
| Market | 41% | 34% | 25% |
Estimated total (ours)
1.37 goals · Bet365 line 1.5
The bar above blends our model with the market. The value bets mark where the odds cover the model probability with a margin (value).
Model analysis
Expected goals1.37Mes Soongoun Varzaghan 0.82 · Shenavar Sazi Qeshm 0.55
Over / Under 1.5Under 1.5 · 54%
BTTSNo · 58%
Most likely total1 goals
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 91%model estimate
Match keys
- Low estimate: 1.37 goals → consider Under 2.5.
- High corners: 11 combined avg → Over corners.
- Cards-heavy: 14 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Mes Soongoun Varzaghan | Shenavar Sazi Qeshm | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.6 / 0.5 | 0.7 / 1.1 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | – / – | 0 / 0 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | //% | 0/100/0% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | – / 3 | 3 / 8 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 9 / 0 | 5 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Mes Soongoun Varzaghan 1–1–0 Shenavar Sazi Qeshm
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 06/12/25 Iran Div 1 | Shenavar Sazi Qeshm | 0-0 | Mes Soongoun Varzaghan |
| 08/02/24 Iran Cup | Mes Soongoun Varzaghan | 3-1 HT 0-0 | Shenavar Sazi Qeshm |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Mes Soongoun Varzaghan
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/06 | Damash Gilan Iran Div 1 |
– | 1-1 | 3 | 9 | D |
| 15/06 | Nassaji Mazandaran Iran Div 1 |
– | 1-1 | – | – | D |
| 09/06 | Besat Kermanshah Iran Div 1 |
– | 0-1 | – | – | L |
| 02/06 | Niroye Zamini Iran Div 1 |
– | 1-0 | – | – | W |
| 27/05 | Sanat Naft Abadan Iran Div 1 |
– | 0-1 | – | – | L |
| 21/05 | Palayesh Naft Bandar Abbas FC Iran Div 1 |
– | 2-1 | – | – | W |
| 14/05 | SaiPa FC Iran Div 1 |
– | 0-0 | – | – | D |
| 21/02 | Navad Urmia Iran Div 1 |
– | 1-0 | – | – | W |
| 15/02 | Mes Kerman Iran Div 1 |
– | 0-0 | – | – | D |
| 08/02 | FC Fard Iran Div 1 |
– | 0-0 | – | – | D |
Shenavar Sazi Qeshm
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/06 | Naft Gachsaran Iran Div 1 |
– | 3-2 | – | – | W |
| 16/06 | Damash Gilan Iran Div 1 |
– | 1-0 | – | – | W |
| 09/06 | Nassaji Mazandaran Iran Div 1 |
0-0 | 0-2 | 8 | 5 | L |
| 02/06 | SaiPa FC Iran Div 1 |
– | 1-2 | – | – | L |
| 27/05 | Besat Kermanshah Iran Div 1 |
– | 0-2 | – | – | L |
| 21/05 | Niroye Zamini Iran Div 1 |
– | 0-0 | – | – | D |
| 14/05 | Navad Urmia Iran Div 1 |
– | 0-1 | – | – | L |
| 22/02 | Sanat Naft Abadan Iran Div 1 |
– | 1-0 | – | – | W |
| 15/02 | Palayesh Naft Bandar Abbas FC Iran Div 1 |
– | 0-0 | – | – | D |
| 08/02 | Pars Jonoubi Jam Iran Div 1 |
– | 1-2 | – | – | L |