Football · Iran Div 1 · 27/06, 18:15
FC Fard vs SaiPa FC
35%1
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · FC Fard 1478 · SaiPa FC 1535
| FC Fard | Draw | SaiPa FC | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 33% | 40% | 27% |
| Market | 36% | 35% | 29% |
Estimated total (ours)
1.44 goals · Bet365 line 1.5
The bar above blends our model with the market. The value bets mark where the odds cover the model probability with a margin (value).
Model analysis
Expected goals1.44FC Fard 0.78 · SaiPa FC 0.66
Over / Under 1.5Under 1.5 · 54%
BTTSNo · 57%
Most likely total1 goals
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 88%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours SaiPa FC (rating 1478 vs 1535).
- Low estimate: 1.44 goals → consider Under 2.5.
- Cards-heavy: 7.3 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| FC Fard | SaiPa FC | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.6 / 0.7 | 0.8 / 0.7 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.5 / 0 | 0.3 / 0 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 50/50/0% | 25/75/0% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 0.8 / 3.3 | 1.5 / 2.5 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.8 / 0 | 3.5 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · FC Fard 0–2–1 SaiPa FC
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 06/12/25 Iran Div 1 | SaiPa FC | 0-0 HT 0-0 | FC Fard |
| 01/11/25 Iran Cup | SaiPa FC | 3-1 HT 0-0 | FC Fard |
| 04/11/24 Iran Cup | SaiPa FC | 0-0 HT 0-0 | FC Fard |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
FC Fard
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/06 | Niroye Zamini Iran Div 1 |
1-0 | 2-0 | 2 | 1 | W |
| 15/06 | Sanat Naft Abadan Iran Div 1 |
0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 5 | L |
| 02/06 | Mes Kerman Iran Div 1 |
0-0 | 0-2 | 5 | 4 | L |
| 27/05 | Palayesh Naft Bandar Abbas FC Iran Div 1 |
– | 0-1 | – | – | L |
| 21/05 | Pars Jonoubi Jam Iran Div 1 |
1-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 5 | W |
| 14/05 | Shahrdari Noshahr Iran Div 1 |
– | 0-0 | – | – | D |
| 22/02 | Havadar SC Iran Div 1 |
– | 0-1 | – | – | L |
| 15/02 | Ario Eslamshahr Iran Div 1 |
– | 1-0 | – | – | W |
| 08/02 | Mes Soongoun Varzaghan Iran Div 1 |
– | 0-0 | – | – | D |
| 02/02 | Mes Shahr-e Babak Iran Div 1 |
– | 1-1 | – | – | D |
SaiPa FC
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/06 | Ario Eslamshahr Iran Div 1 |
0-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 2 | W |
| 15/06 | Pars Jonoubi Jam Iran Div 1 |
– | 0-0 | – | – | D |
| 09/06 | Havadar SC Iran Div 1 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 7 | D |
| 02/06 | Shenavar Sazi Qeshm Iran Div 1 |
– | 2-1 | – | – | W |
| 27/05 | Mes Shahr-e Babak Iran Div 1 |
0-0 | 1-0 | 0 | 2 | W |
| 21/05 | Naft Gachsaran Iran Div 1 |
– | 1-2 | – | – | L |
| 14/05 | Mes Soongoun Varzaghan Iran Div 1 |
– | 0-0 | – | – | D |
| 22/02 | Nassaji Mazandaran Iran Div 1 |
1-0 | 1-3 | 5 | 3 | L |
| 16/02 | Damash Gilan Iran Div 1 |
– | 1-1 | – | – | D |
| 09/02 | Niroye Zamini Iran Div 1 |
– | 1-0 | – | – | W |