Football · Iran Div 1 · 27/06, 18:15
Ario Eslamshahr vs Besat Kermanshah
48%1
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Ario Eslamshahr 1494 · Besat Kermanshah 1489
| Ario Eslamshahr | Draw | Besat Kermanshah | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 46% | 40% | 14% |
| Market | 50% | 32% | 18% |
Estimated total (ours)
1.27 goals · Bet365 line 1.5 · -0.2
The bar above blends our model with the market. The value bets mark where the odds cover the model probability with a margin (value).
Model analysis
Expected goals1.27Ario Eslamshahr 0.9 · Besat Kermanshah 0.38
Over / Under 1.5Under 1.5 · 54%
BTTSNo · 60%
Most likely total1 goals
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 89%model estimate
Match keys
- Low estimate: 1.27 goals → consider Under 2.5.
- Cards-heavy: 9.4 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Ario Eslamshahr | Besat Kermanshah | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.3 / 0.4 | 0.8 / 0.7 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.2 / 0.2 | 0 / 0 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 0/100/0% | 0/100/0% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1 / 2.8 | 0 / 1 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.4 / 0.2 | 6 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Ario Eslamshahr 1–2–0 Besat Kermanshah
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 06/12/25 Iran Div 1 | Besat Kermanshah | 1-1 | Ario Eslamshahr |
| 19/02/25 Iran Div 1 | Besat Kermanshah | 0-0 | Ario Eslamshahr |
| 03/10/24 Iran Div 1 | Ario Eslamshahr | 2-0 HT 2-0 | Besat Kermanshah |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Ario Eslamshahr
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/06 | SaiPa FC Iran Div 1 |
0-0 | 0-1 | 2 | 2 | L |
| 16/06 | Palayesh Naft Bandar Abbas FC Iran Div 1 |
0-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 3 | W |
| 09/06 | Niroye Zamini Iran Div 1 |
– | 0-0 | – | – | D |
| 02/06 | Shahrdari Noshahr Iran Div 1 |
1-1 | 1-1 | 2 | 5 | D |
| 27/05 | Navad Urmia Iran Div 1 |
– | 0-0 | – | – | D |
| 21/05 | Mes Kerman Iran Div 1 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 4 | D |
| 14/05 | Sanat Naft Abadan Iran Div 1 |
– | 0-0 | – | – | D |
| 21/02 | Pars Jonoubi Jam Iran Div 1 |
0-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 4 | W |
| 15/02 | FC Fard Iran Div 1 |
– | 0-1 | – | – | L |
| 09/02 | Mes Shahr-e Babak Iran Div 1 |
– | 0-1 | – | – | L |
Besat Kermanshah
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/06 | Havadar SC Iran Div 1 |
– | 0-1 | – | – | L |
| 15/06 | Mes Shahr-e Babak Iran Div 1 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 6 | D |
| 09/06 | Mes Soongoun Varzaghan Iran Div 1 |
– | 1-0 | – | – | W |
| 02/06 | Naft Gachsaran Iran Div 1 |
– | 0-0 | – | – | D |
| 27/05 | Shenavar Sazi Qeshm Iran Div 1 |
– | 2-0 | – | – | W |
| 21/05 | Damash Gilan Iran Div 1 |
– | 0-1 | – | – | L |
| 15/05 | Nassaji Mazandaran Iran Div 1 |
– | 0-0 | – | – | D |
| 21/02 | Niroye Zamini Iran Div 1 |
– | 4-1 | – | – | W |
| 15/02 | Sanat Naft Abadan Iran Div 1 |
– | 1-2 | – | – | L |
| 09/02 | Mes Kerman Iran Div 1 |
– | 0-2 | – | – | L |