⚽ Football · Lithuania Cup · 24/06, 17:00
FK Siauliai vs FK Dziugas Telsiai
49%2
🧠 Model analysis
PickOver 2.5 goals · 66%
Expected goals3.4FK Siauliai 1.45 · FK Dziugas Telsiai 1.95
BTTSYes · 66%
Likely score1-1
💎 ValueFK Siauliai +5.1%The model gives this bet 5.1% more probability than its odds (3.8) pay: the bookie has it underpriced.
🔑 Match keys
- Value on FK Siauliai: the model gives it +5.1% more probability than its odds (3.8) pay. The bookie has it underpriced → an edge over time.
- High estimate: 3.4 goals → consider Over 2.5.
- Early goals: 1.2 avg at HT → Over 0.5 HT.
- Both score and concede often → consider BTTS.
- Cards-heavy: 8.1 🟨 combined avg.
📊 Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| FK Siauliai | FK Dziugas Telsiai | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.5 / 1.6 | 2.3 / 1.4 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.5 / 0.9 | 0.7 / 0.4 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/30/50% | 30/50/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.1 / 4.8 | 1.1 / 3.2 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.5 / 0 | 4.6 / 0.2 |
⚔️ Head-to-head (H2H) · FK Siauliai 2–2–2 FK Dziugas Telsiai
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 12/06/26 | FK Dziugas Telsiai | 4-3 | FK Siauliai |
| 12/04/26 | FK Dziugas Telsiai | 1-0 | FK Siauliai |
| 17/01/26 | FK Siauliai | 1-1 | FK Dziugas Telsiai |
| 08/11/25 | FK Siauliai | 2-2 | FK Dziugas Telsiai |
| 31/08/25 | FK Dziugas Telsiai | 1-3 | FK Siauliai |
| 29/06/25 | FK Siauliai | 5-0 | FK Dziugas Telsiai |
📅 Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Matches that were 0-0 at half-time are shaded grey.
FK Siauliai
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/06 | Panevezys | 1-2 | 2-3 | 8 | 5 | L |
| 16/06 | Suduva Marijampole | 1-1 | 1-2 | 4 | 6 | L |
| 12/06 | FK Dziugas Telsiai | 0-2 | 3-4 | 3 | 1 | L |
| 30/05 | Banga Gargzdai | 1-0 | 1-1 | 7 | 1 | D |
| 25/05 | FK Riteriai | 1-0 | 2-0 | 2 | 4 | W |
| 20/05 | FK Ataka | 0-1 | 2-1 | 12 | 6 | W |
| 16/05 | FK Kauno Zalgiris | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | D |
| 09/05 | Hegelmann Litauen | 1-1 | 1-1 | 4 | 3 | D |
| 06/05 | FK Zalgiris Vilnius | 0-1 | 1-3 | 5 | 3 | L |
| 02/05 | Suduva Marijampole | 0-1 | 2-1 | 2 | 4 | W |
FK Dziugas Telsiai
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/06 | Suduva Marijampole | 0-1 | 1-2 | 4 | 2 | L |
| 17/06 | Hegelmann Litauen | 0-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 6 | D |
| 12/06 | FK Siauliai | 2-0 | 4-3 | 3 | 1 | W |
| 30/05 | Panevezys | 2-0 | 4-0 | 3 | 8 | W |
| 24/05 | FK Transinvest | 1-1 | 3-2 | 2 | 5 | W |
| 20/05 | Banga Gargzdai | 0-0 | 4-3 | 4 | 7 | W |
| 16/05 | Banga Gargzdai | 0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 5 | L |
| 09/05 | FK Riteriai | 0-0 | 1-0 | 7 | 3 | W |
| 05/05 | FK Kauno Zalgiris | 0-2 | 2-2 | 1 | 7 | D |
| 01/05 | Hegelmann Litauen | 2-0 | 3-0 | 0 | 4 | W |