⚽ Football · Lithuania Cup · 24/06, 18:00
DFK Dainava vs FK Transinvest
46%1
🧠 Model analysis
PickOver 2.5 goals · 65%
Expected goals3.35DFK Dainava 1.85 · FK Transinvest 1.5
BTTSYes · 65%
Likely score1-1
💎 ValueDFK Dainava +23.7%The model gives this bet 23.7% more probability than its odds (4) pay: the bookie has it underpriced.
🔑 Match keys
- Value on DFK Dainava: the model gives it +23.7% more probability than its odds (4) pay. The bookie has it underpriced → an edge over time.
- High estimate: 3.35 goals → consider Over 2.5.
- Early goals: 1.9 avg at HT → Over 0.5 HT.
- High corners: 12.3 combined avg → Over corners.
- Cards-heavy: 7.5 🟨 combined avg.
📊 Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| DFK Dainava | FK Transinvest | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 2.7 / 0.8 | 2.2 / 1 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.7 / 0.2 | 1.2 / 0.2 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 50/40/10% | 70/30/0% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.9 / 7.1 | 2 / 5.2 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.6 / 0.2 | 3.9 / 0.2 |
⚔️ Head-to-head (H2H) · DFK Dainava 2–0–2 FK Transinvest
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 14/09/24 | DFK Dainava | 0-1 | FK Transinvest |
| 30/06/24 | FK Transinvest | 2-1 | DFK Dainava |
| 11/05/24 | DFK Dainava | 1-0 | FK Transinvest |
| 17/03/24 | FK Transinvest | 0-2 | DFK Dainava |
📅 Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Matches that were 0-0 at half-time are shaded grey.
DFK Dainava
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/06 | FK Siauliai II | 1-0 | 5-0 | 7 | 2 | W |
| 12/06 | FK Kauno Zalgiris II | 0-0 | 2-0 | 6 | 1 | W |
| 08/06 | FK Garliava | 0-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 2 | W |
| 29/05 | FK Ekranas | 1-0 | 2-0 | 10 | 6 | W |
| 22/05 | FK BE1 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 6 | 4 | L |
| 19/05 | FM Klaipedos | 1-0 | 2-0 | 6 | 9 | W |
| 15/05 | FC Hegelmann II | 1-1 | 3-2 | 9 | 0 | W |
| 09/05 | FK Minija | 0-0 | 1-3 | 6 | 5 | L |
| 02/05 | Lietava Jonava | 1-0 | 3-0 | 10 | 5 | W |
| 28/04 | FK Viltis Vilnius | 2-0 | 7-1 | – | – | W |
FK Transinvest
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/06 | FK Kauno Zalgiris | 1-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 4 | L |
| 12/06 | Panevezys | 2-0 | 2-1 | 11 | 4 | W |
| 29/05 | Hegelmann Litauen | 2-0 | 2-1 | 5 | 3 | W |
| 24/05 | FK Dziugas Telsiai | 1-1 | 2-3 | 2 | 5 | L |
| 20/05 | Hegelmann Litauen | 0-0 | 2-0 | 11 | 5 | W |
| 17/05 | FK Zalgiris Vilnius | 1-0 | 1-0 | 0 | 5 | W |
| 10/05 | Banga Gargzdai | 2-1 | 2-2 | 2 | 4 | D |
| 06/05 | Suduva Marijampole | 0-0 | 1-1 | 6 | 3 | D |
| 02/05 | FK Riteriai | 1-0 | 5-0 | 7 | 4 | W |
| 26/04 | FK Siauliai | 2-0 | 4-0 | – | – | W |