Football · Lebanon League · 29/06, 15:00

Al Nejmeh vs Racing Beirut

Expected goals: 4.17 (Al Nejmeh 2.88 · Racing Beirut 1.29). The model gives 70% home, 17% draw, 14% away. Over 3.75 goals (56%) and both teams to score (59%). Most likely score: 2-1.

70%1

70% 17% 14%

Model analysis

Expected goals4.17Al Nejmeh 2.88 · Racing Beirut 1.29

Over / Under 3.75Over 3.75 · 56%

BTTSYes · 59%

Most likely total4 goals

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 51%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Al Nejmeh (rating 1546 vs 1362).
H2H favours Al Nejmeh: 4-2-0.
Cards-heavy: 4.9 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Al Nejmeh	Racing Beirut
Goals for / against (FT)	3.3 / 2.4	0.2 / 2.7
Goals for / against (HT)	0.5 / 0.3	0.1 / 1.3
Half-time result (W/D/L)	25/63/13%	0/22/78%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.4 / 5.9	0.7 / 1.3
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	2.3 / 0	2.7 / 0

Head-to-head (H2H) · Al Nejmeh 4–2–0 Racing Beirut

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Date	Home	Score	Away
20/12/25 Lebanon League	Racing Beirut	1-4 HT 1-2	Al Nejmeh
02/03/25 Lebanon League	Racing Beirut	0-0 HT 0-0	Al Nejmeh
16/06/24 Lebanon League	Al Nejmeh	2-1 HT 2-1	Racing Beirut
26/04/24 Lebanon League	Racing Beirut	0-3 HT 0-2	Al Nejmeh
23/02/24 Lebanon League	Al Nejmeh	1-0 HT 1-0	Racing Beirut
28/09/23 Lebanon League	Racing Beirut	1-1 HT 1-0	Al Nejmeh

Standings · Lebanon League

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Al Ansar Beirut	19	15	2	2	43	9	47
2	Al Nejmeh	19	12	4	3	36	10	40
3	Al Ahed	21	13	1	7	34	22	40
4	Jwaya FC	20	11	4	5	31	14	37
5	Safa Beirut	20	10	3	7	26	17	33
6	Sagesse SC	19	8	3	8	25	25	27
7	Shabab Al-Sahel	20	7	5	8	22	21	26
8	Al-Mabarrah	19	5	7	7	12	25	22
9	Reyady Abaseya	20	4	5	11	14	30	17
10	Tadamon Sour	19	3	8	8	11	19	17
11	Al Bourj	11	3	1	7	8	20	10
12	Racing Beirut	19	0	1	18	4	54	1

Common opponents 8 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Al Nejmeh	Racing Beirut
Tadamon Sour	1-0 W	0-1 L
Al-Mabarrah	5-0 W	0-1 L
Jwaya FC	1-2 L	0-4 L
Al Ahed	1-0 W	0-2 L
Al Ansar Beirut	15-16 L	0-6 L
Reyady Abaseya	4-0 W	1-3 L
Shabab Al-Sahel	1-1 D	0-2 L
Safa Beirut	0-1 L	0-2 L
Record vs common	4 W 1 D 3 L	0 W 0 D 8 L

Better against common opponents: Al Nejmeh (8 of 8 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

League

Al Nejmeh

DLDWWLWLWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
25/06	Tadamon Sour Lebanon League	1-0	1-0	5	5	W
21/06	Al-Mabarrah Lebanon League	2-0	5-0	8	0	W
16/06	Jwaya FC Lebanon League	0-0	1-2	3	3	L
12/06	Al Ahed Lebanon League	0-0	1-0	3	3	W
21/05	Al Ansar Beirut World Club Friendlies	–	15-16	–	–	L
21/02	Reyady Abaseya Lebanon League	–	4-0	–	–	W
11/02	Jwaya FC Lebanon Cup	1-1	5-4	8	0	W
07/02	Shabab Al-Sahel Lebanon League	0-0	1-1	2	2	D
31/01	Safa Beirut Lebanon League	0-1	0-1	11	4	L
25/01	Al Ansar Beirut Lebanon League	0-0	0-0	7	1	D

Racing Beirut

LLLLLLLLLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
21/06	Tadamon Sour Lebanon League	0-0	0-1	2	3	L
16/06	Shabab Al-Sahel Lebanon League	0-1	0-2	2	1	L
11/06	Al-Mabarrah Lebanon League	–	0-1	–	–	L
20/02	Safa Beirut Lebanon League	0-1	0-2	1	2	L
15/02	Jwaya FC Lebanon League	0-1	0-4	1	4	L
08/02	Al Ansar Beirut Lebanon League	0-4	0-6	2	3	L
01/02	Al Ahed Lebanon League	0-0	0-2	1	4	L
23/01	Sagesse SC Lebanon League	0-2	0-2	1	4	L
28/12	Reyady Abaseya Lebanon League	0-1	1-3	2	2	L
20/12	Al Nejmeh Lebanon League	1-2	1-4	0	1	L