⚽ Football · Lebanon League · 24/06, 14:30
Al Ahed vs Safa Beirut
45%2
Pick: 2 · 45%
Under 2.5 · 58%
Both to score No
Score: 0-1
💎 +17.2%
🧠 Model analysisExpected goals: 2.35 (Al Ahed 1 · Safa Beirut 1.35). The model gives 28% home, 27% draw, 45% away. Recommendation: Safa Beirut (45%, baja confidence). Under 2.5 goals (58%) and not both to score (53%). Most likely score: 0-1. 💎 Value spotted on Safa Beirut: +17.2% over the odds (3.25).
🔑 Match keys
- Value on Safa Beirut: the model gives +17.2% over odds 3.25.
- H2H favours Safa Beirut: 2-3-1.
- Cards-heavy: 6.2 🟨 combined avg.
📊 Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Al Ahed | Safa Beirut | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1 / 1.2 | 1.5 / 1 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.2 / 0.4 | 0.8 / 0.2 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/60/20% | 50/40/10% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.9 / 5 | 1.9 / 2.8 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.8 / 0 | 2.4 / 0.1 |
⚔️ Head-to-head (H2H) · Al Ahed 1–3–2 Safa Beirut
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 18/05/26 | Al Ahed | 1-2 | Safa Beirut |
| 13/12/25 | Safa Beirut | 0-1 | Al Ahed |
| 12/07/25 | Al Ahed | 1-1 | Safa Beirut |
| 15/06/25 | Al Ahed | 1-2 | Safa Beirut |
| 01/05/25 | Safa Beirut | 0-0 | Al Ahed |
| 18/02/25 | Al Ahed | 0-0 | Safa Beirut |
📅 Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Matches that were 0-0 at half-time are shaded grey.
Al Ahed
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/06 | Al Ansar Beirut | 0-3 | 1-3 | 4 | 4 | L |
| 16/06 | Sagesse SC | 0-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 3 | W |
| 12/06 | Al Nejmeh | 0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 3 | L |
| 18/05 | Safa Beirut | 0-1 | 1-2 | 8 | 5 | L |
| 12/05 | Al Ansar Beirut | 1-0 | 2-1 | 3 | 4 | W |
| 21/02 | Tadamon Sour | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 5 | D |
| 15/02 | Al-Mabarrah | 0-0 | 0-1 | 7 | 3 | L |
| 11/02 | Sagesse SC | 0-0 | 2-4 | 4 | 3 | L |
| 06/02 | Jwaya FC | 1-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 4 | W |
| 01/02 | Racing Beirut | 0-0 | 2-0 | 8 | 4 | W |
Safa Beirut
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/06 | Reyady Abaseya | 3-0 | 4-2 | 1 | 2 | W |
| 12/06 | Shabab Al-Sahel | 0-0 | 1-0 | 6 | 2 | W |
| 18/05 | Al Ahed | 1-0 | 2-1 | 2 | 5 | W |
| 15/05 | Al Ansar Beirut | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0 | 0 | L |
| 20/02 | Racing Beirut | 1-0 | 2-0 | 4 | 2 | W |
| 13/02 | Al Ansar Beirut | 0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 4 | L |
| 06/02 | Sagesse SC | 0-0 | 2-1 | 3 | 1 | W |
| 31/01 | Al Nejmeh | 1-0 | 1-0 | 1 | 4 | W |
| 24/01 | Tadamon Sour | 1-0 | 2-0 | 6 | 2 | W |
| 17/01 | Jwaya FC | 1-1 | 1-4 | 2 | 3 | L |