⚽ Football · Lebanon League · 25/06, 14:30
Al Nejmeh vs Tadamon Sour
69%1
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Al Nejmeh 1549 · Tadamon Sour 1439
| Al Nejmeh | Draw | Tadamon Sour | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 63% | 21% | 15% |
| Market | 73% | 18% | 9% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.76 goals · Bet365 line 2.5 · +0.3
The bar above blends our model with the market. The 💎 marks where our model beats the market.
🧠 Model analysis
Expected goals2.76Al Nejmeh 1.93 · Tadamon Sour 0.83
Over / Under 2.5Over 2.5 · 52%
BTTSNo · 52%
Likely score1-0
🔑 Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Al Nejmeh (rating 1549 vs 1439).
- H2H favours Al Nejmeh: 4-2-0.
📊 Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Al Nejmeh | Tadamon Sour | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 3.3 / 2.4 | 0.5 / 1.2 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.4 / 0.3 | 0.3 / 0.4 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 13/75/13% | 14/57/29% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.9 / 5.4 | 0.9 / 2.4 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 1.9 / 0 | 2.4 / 0.1 |
⚔️ Head-to-head (H2H) · Al Nejmeh 4–2–0 Tadamon Sour
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 12/12/25 Lebanon League | Tadamon Sour | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Al Nejmeh |
| 17/07/25 Lebanon League | Al Nejmeh | 4-1 HT 0-1 | Tadamon Sour |
| 21/06/25 Lebanon League | Al Nejmeh | 5-1 HT 3-1 | Tadamon Sour |
| 07/05/25 Lebanon League | Tadamon Sour | 1-1 HT 0-1 | Al Nejmeh |
| 07/02/25 Lebanon League | Al Nejmeh | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Tadamon Sour |
| 28/01/24 Lebanon Cup | Tadamon Sour | 0-1 HT 0-1 | Al Nejmeh |
📅 Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Matches that were 0-0 at half-time are shaded grey.
Al Nejmeh
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/06 | Al-Mabarrah Lebanon League |
2-0 | 5-0 | 8 | 0 | W |
| 16/06 | Jwaya FC Lebanon League |
0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 3 | L |
| 12/06 | Al Ahed Lebanon League |
0-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 3 | W |
| 21/05 | Al Ansar Beirut World Club Friendlies |
– | 15-16 | – | – | L |
| 21/02 | Reyady Abaseya Lebanon League |
– | 4-0 | – | – | W |
| 11/02 | Jwaya FC Lebanon Cup |
1-1 | 5-4 | 8 | 0 | W |
| 07/02 | Shabab Al-Sahel Lebanon League |
0-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 2 | D |
| 31/01 | Safa Beirut Lebanon League |
0-1 | 0-1 | 11 | 4 | L |
| 25/01 | Al Ansar Beirut Lebanon League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 1 | D |
| 18/01 | Al Ansar Beirut Lebanon Cup |
0-0 | 1-0 | 1 | 2 | W |
Tadamon Sour
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/06 | Racing Beirut Lebanon League |
0-0 | 1-0 | 1 | 3 | W |
| 16/06 | Al-Mabarrah Lebanon League |
– | 1-1 | 0 | 0 | D |
| 27/02 | Jwaya FC Lebanon League |
– | 0-1 | – | – | L |
| 21/02 | Al Ahed Lebanon League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 5 | D |
| 13/02 | Reyady Abaseya Lebanon League |
1-1 | 1-1 | 4 | 3 | D |
| 31/01 | Shabab Al-Sahel Lebanon League |
1-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 2 | L |
| 24/01 | Safa Beirut Lebanon League |
0-1 | 0-2 | 1 | 2 | L |
| 18/01 | Al Ahed Lebanon Cup |
– | 1-3 | – | – | L |
| 26/12 | Al Ansar Beirut Lebanon League |
0-1 | 0-2 | 4 | 5 | L |
| 19/12 | Sagesse SC Lebanon League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | D |