Football · Lebanon League · 28/06, 20:30
Jwaya FC vs Safa Beirut
51%1
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Jwaya FC 1545 · Safa Beirut 1535
| Jwaya FC | Draw | Safa Beirut | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 50% | 29% | 21% |
| Market | 52% | 26% | 22% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.34 goals · Bet365 line 2 · +0.3
The bar above blends our model with the market. The value bets mark where the odds cover the model probability with a margin (value).
Model analysis
Expected goals2.34Jwaya FC 1.48 · Safa Beirut 0.86
Over / Under 2Over 2 · 52%
BTTSYes · 50%
Most likely total2 goals
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 75%model estimate
Match keys
- H2H favours Jwaya FC: 2-0-0.
- Early goals: 1.4 combined avg at HT (0.6 + 0.8) → Over 0.5 HT.
- Both score and concede often → consider BTTS.
- Cards-heavy: 6.1 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Jwaya FC | Safa Beirut | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 2 / 1.4 | 1.5 / 1 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.6 / 0.6 | 0.8 / 0.3 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 11/78/11% | 50/30/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 3 / 6.9 | 1.6 / 2.9 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.6 / 0.1 | 2.5 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Jwaya FC 2–0–0 Safa Beirut
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 17/01/26 Lebanon Cup | Jwaya FC | 4-1 HT 1-1 | Safa Beirut |
| 21/12/25 Lebanon League | Safa Beirut | 0-1 HT 0-0 | Jwaya FC |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Jwaya FC
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/06 | Al Ansar Beirut Lebanon League |
0-0 | 0-3 | 4 | 5 | L |
| 20/06 | Sagesse SC Lebanon League |
2-2 | 3-3 | 9 | 6 | D |
| 16/06 | Al Nejmeh Lebanon League |
0-0 | 2-1 | 6 | 3 | W |
| 27/02 | Tadamon Sour Lebanon League |
– | 1-0 | – | – | W |
| 21/02 | Al-Mabarrah Lebanon League |
0-0 | 2-0 | 10 | 6 | W |
| 15/02 | Racing Beirut Lebanon League |
1-0 | 4-0 | 9 | 4 | W |
| 11/02 | Al Nejmeh Lebanon Cup |
1-1 | 4-5 | 3 | 0 | L |
| 06/02 | Al Ahed Lebanon League |
0-1 | 0-1 | 10 | 4 | L |
| 01/02 | Reyady Abaseya Lebanon League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | D |
| 17/01 | Safa Beirut Lebanon Cup |
1-1 | 4-1 | 6 | 3 | W |
Safa Beirut
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/06 | Al Ahed Lebanon League |
1-2 | 1-4 | 3 | 4 | L |
| 20/06 | Reyady Abaseya Lebanon League |
3-0 | 4-2 | 1 | 2 | W |
| 12/06 | Shabab Al-Sahel Lebanon League |
0-0 | 1-0 | 6 | 2 | W |
| 18/05 | Al Ahed World Club Friendlies |
1-0 | 2-1 | 2 | 5 | W |
| 15/05 | Al Ansar Beirut World Club Friendlies |
0-1 | 0-1 | 0 | 0 | L |
| 20/02 | Racing Beirut Lebanon League |
1-0 | 2-0 | 4 | 2 | W |
| 13/02 | Al Ansar Beirut Lebanon League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 4 | L |
| 06/02 | Sagesse SC Lebanon League |
0-0 | 2-1 | 3 | 1 | W |
| 31/01 | Al Nejmeh Lebanon League |
1-0 | 1-0 | 1 | 4 | W |
| 24/01 | Tadamon Sour Lebanon League |
1-0 | 2-0 | 6 | 2 | W |