⚽ Football · Peru Copa de la Liga · 28/06, 20:00
Cesar Vallejo vs Carlos Manucci
46%1
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Cesar Vallejo 1458 · Carlos Manucci 1501
| Cesar Vallejo | Draw | Carlos Manucci | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 38% | 28% | 34% |
| Market | 53% | 26% | 21% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.66 goals · Bet365 line 2.5 · +0.2
The bar above blends our model with the market. The 💎 marks where our model sees the odds underpriced (possible value).
🧠 Model analysis
Expected goals2.66Cesar Vallejo 1.37 · Carlos Manucci 1.29
Most likely total2 goals
🔑 Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Carlos Manucci (rating 1458 vs 1501).
- H2H favours Cesar Vallejo: 4-0-2.
- Cards-heavy: 9 🟨 combined avg.
📊 Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Cesar Vallejo | Carlos Manucci | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.8 / 1.3 | 1.1 / 1.2 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.7 / 0.3 | 0.4 / 0.3 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 40/50/10% | 30/50/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.3 / 3.8 | 1.9 / 4.6 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.9 / 0.3 | 4.1 / 0.5 |
⚔️ Head-to-head (H2H) · Cesar Vallejo 4–0–2 Carlos Manucci
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 02/05/26 Peru Liga 2 | Cesar Vallejo | 2-0 HT 1-0 | Carlos Manucci |
| 31/08/25 Peru Liga 2 | Cesar Vallejo | 3-2 HT 2-0 | Carlos Manucci |
| 28/07/25 Peru Liga 2 | Carlos Manucci | 1-0 HT 1-0 | Cesar Vallejo |
| 15/06/25 Peru Liga 2 | Carlos Manucci | 0-2 HT 0-0 | Cesar Vallejo |
| 27/04/25 Peru Liga 2 | Cesar Vallejo | 2-0 HT 1-0 | Carlos Manucci |
| 27/10/24 Peru Liga 1 | Cesar Vallejo | 0-2 HT 0-2 | Carlos Manucci |
📅 Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Matches that were 0-0 at half-time are shaded grey.
Cesar Vallejo
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/06 | Alianza Atletico Peru Copa de la Liga |
0-0 | 0-2 | 1 | 4 | L |
| 14/06 | Alianza Lima Peru Copa de la Liga |
0-0 | 0-0 | 10 | 6 | D |
| 25/05 | Club Ada Jaen Peru Liga 2 |
1-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 9 | D |
| 17/05 | CD Universidad San Martin Peru Liga 2 |
0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 3 | L |
| 09/05 | Deportivo Llacuabamba Peru Liga 2 |
0-1 | 0-2 | 3 | 8 | L |
| 02/05 | Carlos Manucci Peru Liga 2 |
1-0 | 2-0 | 4 | 4 | W |
| 27/04 | Pirata FC Peru Liga 2 |
1-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 7 | L |
| 19/04 | Academia Deportiva Cantolao Peru Liga 2 |
2-0 | 2-1 | 6 | 4 | W |
| 05/04 | Union Comercio Peru Liga 2 |
0-0 | 0-1 | 0 | 2 | L |
| 16/11 | Deportivo Moquegua Peru Liga 2 |
2-2 | 2-3 | 4 | 5 | L |
Carlos Manucci
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/06 | Alianza Lima Peru Copa de la Liga |
1-0 | 3-1 | 1 | 5 | W |
| 13/06 | Alianza Atletico Peru Copa de la Liga |
0-0 | 0-1 | 2 | 7 | L |
| 24/05 | Pirata FC Peru Liga 2 |
0-0 | 1-0 | 7 | 3 | W |
| 17/05 | Academia Deportiva Cantolao Peru Liga 2 |
0-0 | 4-1 | 9 | 5 | W |
| 09/05 | Union Comercio Peru Liga 2 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 5 | D |
| 02/05 | Cesar Vallejo Peru Liga 2 |
0-1 | 0-2 | 5 | 4 | L |
| 18/04 | Club Ada Jaen Peru Liga 2 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 4 | D |
| 05/04 | CD Universidad San Martin Peru Liga 2 |
2-0 | 2-1 | 2 | 7 | W |
| 29/03 | Deportivo Llacuabamba Peru Liga 2 |
0-2 | 0-3 | 6 | 3 | L |
| 21/09 | FC Cajamarca Peru Liga 2 |
1-0 | 1-3 | 1 | 3 | L |