⚽ Football · Peru Copa de la Liga · 27/06, 20:00
Comerciantes Unidos vs Juan Pablo II College
47%1
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Comerciantes Unidos 1485 · Juan Pablo II College 1429
| Comerciantes Unidos | Draw | Juan Pablo II College | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 54% | 28% | 18% |
| Market | 41% | 28% | 30% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.3 goals · Bet365 line 2.5 · -0.2
The bar above blends our model with the market. The 💎 marks where our model sees the odds underpriced (possible value).
🧠 Model analysis
Expected goals2.3Comerciantes Unidos 1.52 · Juan Pablo II College 0.78
Most likely total2 goals
🔑 Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Comerciantes Unidos (rating 1485 vs 1429).
- H2H favours Comerciantes Unidos: 2-1-0.
- Cards-heavy: 9.2 🟨 combined avg.
📊 Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Comerciantes Unidos | Juan Pablo II College | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.6 / 1 | 0.9 / 2 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.2 / 0.5 | 0.5 / 0.9 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 10/60/30% | 20/40/40% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.2 / 3.8 | 1.6 / 4.1 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.9 / 0.3 | 4.3 / 0.8 |
⚔️ Head-to-head (H2H) · Comerciantes Unidos 2–1–0 Juan Pablo II College
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 18/04/26 Peru Liga 1 | Juan Pablo II College | 2-2 HT 2-1 | Comerciantes Unidos |
| 24/10/25 Peru Liga 1 | Juan Pablo II College | 0-1 HT 0-1 | Comerciantes Unidos |
| 22/06/25 Peru Liga 1 | Comerciantes Unidos | 3-0 HT 3-0 | Juan Pablo II College |
📅 Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Matches that were 0-0 at half-time are shaded grey.
Comerciantes Unidos
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/06 | Club Ada Jaen Peru Copa de la Liga |
0-0 | 0-2 | 5 | 7 | L |
| 31/05 | Sport Boys Peru Liga 1 |
0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 4 | L |
| 25/05 | Deportivo Garcilaso Peru Liga 1 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 4 | D |
| 17/05 | AD Tarma Peru Liga 1 |
0-2 | 0-2 | 9 | 6 | L |
| 10/05 | FBC Melgar Peru Liga 1 |
0-1 | 1-1 | 3 | 4 | D |
| 03/05 | Cienciano Peru Liga 1 |
0-0 | 0-1 | 2 | 11 | L |
| 25/04 | Sporting Cristal Peru Liga 1 |
1-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 4 | W |
| 22/04 | Alianza Atletico Peru Liga 1 |
0-0 | 1-0 | 0 | 3 | W |
| 18/04 | Juan Pablo II College Peru Liga 1 |
1-2 | 2-2 | 6 | 3 | D |
| 05/04 | Sport Huancayo Peru Liga 1 |
0-0 | 1-1 | 1 | 6 | D |
Juan Pablo II College
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/06 | Club Ada Jaen Peru Copa de la Liga |
0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | D |
| 30/05 | Deportivo Garcilaso Peru Liga 1 |
0-2 | 1-4 | 3 | 4 | L |
| 22/05 | FBC Melgar Peru Liga 1 |
0-1 | 1-1 | 6 | 2 | D |
| 16/05 | Alianza Atletico Peru Liga 1 |
0-1 | 0-2 | 5 | 6 | L |
| 10/05 | Sport Huancayo Peru Liga 1 |
1-1 | 1-2 | 5 | 3 | L |
| 03/05 | Universitario de Deportes Peru Liga 1 |
0-3 | 1-4 | 0 | 7 | L |
| 26/04 | Sport Boys Peru Liga 1 |
0-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 11 | D |
| 18/04 | Comerciantes Unidos Peru Liga 1 |
2-1 | 2-2 | 6 | 3 | D |
| 14/04 | Deportivo Moquegua Peru Liga 1 |
0-0 | 0-3 | 5 | 5 | L |
| 05/04 | UTC Cajamarca Peru Liga 1 |
2-0 | 2-1 | 3 | 9 | W |