⚽ Football · Peru Copa de la Liga · 26/06, 20:00
UTC Cajamarca vs FC Cajamarca
41%1
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · UTC Cajamarca 1446 · FC Cajamarca 1516
| UTC Cajamarca | Draw | FC Cajamarca | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 34% | 27% | 39% |
| Market | 46% | 28% | 26% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.9 goals · Bet365 line 2.5 · +0.4
The bar above blends our model with the market. The 💎 marks where our model sees the odds underpriced (possible value).
🧠 Model analysis
Expected goals2.9UTC Cajamarca 1.4 · FC Cajamarca 1.5
BTTSYes · 60%
Most likely total2 goals
🔑 Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours FC Cajamarca (rating 1446 vs 1516).
- Both score and concede often → consider BTTS.
- Cards-heavy: 9 🟨 combined avg.
📊 Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| UTC Cajamarca | FC Cajamarca | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.2 / 1.9 | 1.4 / 1.3 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.2 / 0.7 | 0.5 / 0.4 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 10/50/40% | 30/40/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.5 / 4.4 | 1 / 3 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.8 / 0.4 | 4.2 / 0.1 |
⚔️ Head-to-head (H2H) · UTC Cajamarca 0–0–1 FC Cajamarca
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 08/05/26 Peru Liga 1 | UTC Cajamarca | 1-2 HT 0-1 | FC Cajamarca |
📅 Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Matches that were 0-0 at half-time are shaded grey.
UTC Cajamarca
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/06 | Deportivo Llacuabamba Peru Copa de la Liga |
0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 9 | D |
| 31/05 | CD Los Chankas Peru Liga 1 |
0-2 | 2-2 | 7 | 4 | D |
| 23/05 | Sport Boys Peru Liga 1 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 4 | D |
| 17/05 | Deportivo Garcilaso Peru Liga 1 |
0-0 | 0-2 | 6 | 7 | L |
| 08/05 | FC Cajamarca Peru Liga 1 |
0-1 | 1-2 | 8 | 5 | L |
| 04/05 | FBC Melgar Peru Liga 1 |
0-0 | 0-2 | 1 | 3 | L |
| 26/04 | Cienciano Peru Liga 1 |
1-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 4 | D |
| 19/04 | Sporting Cristal Peru Liga 1 |
0-1 | 2-3 | 4 | 2 | L |
| 15/04 | Sport Huancayo Peru Liga 1 |
1-1 | 2-2 | 2 | 5 | D |
| 05/04 | Juan Pablo II College Peru Liga 1 |
0-2 | 1-2 | 7 | 9 | L |
FC Cajamarca
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/06 | Deportivo Llacuabamba Peru Copa de la Liga |
0-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 7 | D |
| 31/05 | Alianza Lima Peru Liga 1 |
1-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 0 | D |
| 24/05 | Alianza Atletico Peru Liga 1 |
1-1 | 1-1 | 0 | 3 | D |
| 15/05 | Sporting Cristal Peru Liga 1 |
0-1 | 3-1 | 6 | 9 | W |
| 08/05 | UTC Cajamarca Peru Liga 1 |
1-0 | 2-1 | 3 | 5 | W |
| 02/05 | Sport Boys Peru Liga 1 |
2-0 | 3-2 | 2 | 6 | W |
| 25/04 | Deportivo Moquegua Peru Liga 1 |
0-1 | 1-2 | 3 | 2 | L |
| 23/04 | Cusco FC Peru Liga 1 |
0-0 | 0-1 | 2 | 3 | L |
| 18/04 | AD Tarma Peru Liga 1 |
0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 3 | D |
| 06/04 | CD Los Chankas Peru Liga 1 |
0-1 | 0-1 | 5 | 5 | L |