⚽ Football · Peru Copa de la Liga · 27/06, 01:00
Universitario de Deportes vs Atletico Grau
45%2
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Universitario de Deportes 1517 · Atletico Grau 1481
| Universitario de Deportes | Draw | Atletico Grau | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 50% | 27% | 23% |
| Market | 16% | 21% | 64% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.71 goals · Bet365 line 3 · -0.3
The bar above blends our model with the market. The 💰 bets mark where the odds cover the model probability with a margin (value).
🧠 Model analysis
Expected goals2.71Universitario de Deportes 1.66 · Atletico Grau 1.05
Over / Under 3Under 3 · 57%
BTTSYes · 53%
Most likely total2 goals
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 65%model estimate
🔑 Match keys
- H2H favours Universitario de Deportes: 3-2-1.
- Cards-heavy: 7.4 🟨 combined avg.
📊 Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Universitario de Deportes | Atletico Grau | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.1 / 0.9 | 1.2 / 1.2 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.6 / 0.1 | 0.5 / 0.4 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/70/0% | 40/30/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 3.1 / 5.8 | 1.8 / 3.8 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.2 / 0.4 | 4.2 / 0.4 |
⚔️ Head-to-head (H2H) · Universitario de Deportes 3–2–1 Atletico Grau
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 16/05/26 Peru Liga 1 | Universitario de Deportes | 0-1 HT 0-0 | Atletico Grau |
| 01/08/25 Peru Liga 1 | Universitario de Deportes | 3-1 HT 2-0 | Atletico Grau |
| 26/06/25 Peru Liga 1 | Atletico Grau | 0-2 HT 0-1 | Universitario de Deportes |
| 21/07/24 Peru Liga 1 | Atletico Grau | 1-1 HT 1-1 | Universitario de Deportes |
| 04/02/24 Peru Liga 1 | Universitario de Deportes | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Atletico Grau |
| 27/08/23 Peru Liga 1 | Atletico Grau | 2-2 HT 1-1 | Universitario de Deportes |
📅 Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Matches that were 0-0 at half-time are shaded grey.
Universitario de Deportes
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/06 | Pirata FC Peru Copa de la Liga |
0-0 | 0-2 | 0 | 0 | L |
| 31/05 | Sport Huancayo Peru Liga 1 |
1-0 | 2-1 | 12 | 3 | W |
| 27/05 | Deportes Tolima Copa Libertadores |
0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 2 | D |
| 23/05 | Deportivo Moquegua Peru Liga 1 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | D |
| 21/05 | Nacional De Football Copa Libertadores |
0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | D |
| 16/05 | Atletico Grau Peru Liga 1 |
0-0 | 0-1 | 8 | 5 | L |
| 12/05 | Sport Boys Peru Liga 1 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | D |
| 08/05 | Coquimbo Unido Copa Libertadores |
1-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 4 | L |
| 03/05 | Juan Pablo II College Peru Liga 1 |
3-0 | 4-1 | 9 | 7 | W |
| 30/04 | Nacional De Football Copa Libertadores |
1-1 | 4-2 | 7 | 8 | W |
Atletico Grau
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22/06 | Pirata FC Peru Copa de la Liga |
2-0 | 3-2 | 5 | 4 | W |
| 29/05 | Deportivo Moquegua Peru Liga 1 |
0-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 3 | W |
| 24/05 | Cusco FC Peru Liga 1 |
0-0 | 0-1 | 2 | 7 | L |
| 16/05 | Universitario de Deportes Peru Liga 1 |
0-0 | 1-0 | 0 | 5 | W |
| 09/05 | Cienciano Peru Liga 1 |
1-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 7 | L |
| 02/05 | AD Tarma Peru Liga 1 |
0-1 | 0-1 | 6 | 1 | L |
| 26/04 | Alianza Lima Peru Liga 1 |
0-1 | 0-1 | 1 | 4 | L |
| 22/04 | Sporting Cristal Peru Liga 1 |
1-0 | 4-1 | 8 | 7 | W |
| 17/04 | CD Los Chankas Peru Liga 1 |
0-2 | 0-2 | 2 | 4 | L |
| 03/04 | Alianza Atletico Peru Liga 1 |
1-0 | 2-2 | 7 | 4 | D |