⚽ Football · Peru Copa de la Liga · 26/06, 22:15
Alianza Universidad vs Union Minas
54%1
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Alianza Universidad 1486 · Union Minas 1471
| Alianza Universidad | Draw | Union Minas | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 46% | 32% | 22% |
| Market | 60% | 23% | 17% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.08 goals · Bet365 line 2.5 · -0.4
The bar above blends our model with the market. The 💎 marks where our model sees the odds underpriced (possible value).
🧠 Model analysis
Expected goals2.08Alianza Universidad 1.27 · Union Minas 0.81
Most likely total2 goals
🔑 Match keys
- Cards-heavy: 8.4 🟨 combined avg.
📊 Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Alianza Universidad | Union Minas | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.1 / 1.1 | 0.4 / 0.6 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.6 / 0.4 | 0.2 / 0.3 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/50/20% | 10/70/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.6 / 4 | 2.4 / 5.1 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.6 / 0.2 | 3.8 / 0.6 |
⚔️ Head-to-head (H2H) · Alianza Universidad 1–0–0 Union Minas
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 23/05/26 Peru Liga 2 | Union Minas | 0-1 HT 0-1 | Alianza Universidad |
📅 Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Matches that were 0-0 at half-time are shaded grey.
Alianza Universidad
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/06 | AD Tarma Peru Copa de la Liga |
1-2 | 1-3 | 5 | 5 | L |
| 14/06 | Sport Huancayo Peru Copa de la Liga |
0-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 5 | D |
| 31/05 | Deportivo Binacional Peru Liga 2 |
0-1 | 1-2 | 12 | 3 | L |
| 23/05 | Union Minas Peru Liga 2 |
1-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 2 | W |
| 16/05 | CD Estudiantil CNI Peru Liga 2 |
2-0 | 2-0 | 4 | 4 | W |
| 09/05 | Bentin Tacna Heroica Peru Liga 2 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 7 | D |
| 04/05 | Santos FC Peru Liga 2 |
0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 9 | L |
| 19/04 | Sport Huancayo II Peru Liga 2 |
1-1 | 1-1 | 4 | 4 | D |
| 04/04 | Comerciantes FC Peru Liga 2 |
0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 4 | L |
| 28/03 | Ayacucho FC Peru Liga 2 |
1-0 | 2-0 | 0 | 5 | W |
Union Minas
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/06 | Sport Huancayo Peru Copa de la Liga |
1-1 | 1-2 | 4 | 5 | L |
| 12/06 | AD Tarma Peru Copa de la Liga |
0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | D |
| 29/05 | Santos FC Peru Liga 2 |
0-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 5 | W |
| 23/05 | Alianza Universidad Peru Liga 2 |
0-1 | 0-1 | 3 | 2 | L |
| 15/05 | Sport Huancayo II Peru Liga 2 |
0-1 | 0-1 | 7 | 7 | L |
| 08/05 | Comerciantes FC Peru Liga 2 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | D |
| 02/05 | Ayacucho FC Peru Liga 2 |
1-0 | 2-2 | – | – | D |
| 26/04 | Deportivo Binacional Peru Liga 2 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 8 | D |
| 05/04 | CD Estudiantil CNI Peru Liga 2 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 4 | D |
| 29/03 | Bentin Tacna Heroica Peru Liga 2 |
0-0 | 0-0 | – | – | D |