Football · Peru Copa de la Liga · 29/06, 22:15
Deportivo Garcilaso vs Deportivo Binacional
42%1
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Deportivo Garcilaso 1524 · Deportivo Binacional 1460
| Deportivo Garcilaso | Draw | Deportivo Binacional | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 41% | 28% | 31% |
| Market | 42% | 25% | 32% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.73 goals · Bet365 line 2.5 · +0.2
The bar above blends our model with the market. The value bets mark where the odds cover the model probability with a margin (value).
Model analysis
Expected goals2.73Deportivo Garcilaso 1.48 · Deportivo Binacional 1.26
Over / Under 2.5Over 2.5 · 52%
BTTSYes · 54%
Most likely total2 goals
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 65%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Deportivo Garcilaso (rating 1524 vs 1460).
- H2H favours Deportivo Garcilaso: 2-0-1.
- Cards-heavy: 8.6 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Deportivo Garcilaso | Deportivo Binacional | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.3 / 1 | 1 / 1.7 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.5 / 0.3 | 0.5 / 0.9 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/60/10% | 20/50/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.3 / 3.2 | 1 / 2.5 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.5 / 0.4 | 4.1 / 0.6 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Deportivo Garcilaso 2–0–1 Deportivo Binacional
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 27/04/25 Peru Liga 1 | Deportivo Garcilaso | 0-1 HT 0-0 | Deportivo Binacional |
| 10/07/23 Peru Liga 1 | Deportivo Binacional | 1-5 HT 1-2 | Deportivo Garcilaso |
| 05/02/23 Peru Liga 1 | Deportivo Garcilaso | 3-0 | Deportivo Binacional |
Standings · Peru Copa de la Liga · Copa de La Liga 2026, Group F
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Cienciano | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 6 |
| 2 | Deportivo Binacional | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 3 |
| 3 | Cusco FC | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 1 |
| 4 | Deportivo Garcilaso | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 |
Common opponents 2 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Deportivo Garcilaso | Deportivo Binacional |
|---|---|---|
| Cienciano | 1-2 L | 0-2 L |
| Cusco FC | 0-0 D | 4-3 W |
| Record vs common | 0 W 1 D 1 L | 1 W 0 D 1 L |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Deportivo Garcilaso
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22/06 | Cienciano Peru Copa de la Liga |
1-1 | 1-2 | 1 | 11 | L |
| 15/06 | Cusco FC Peru Copa de la Liga |
0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 6 | D |
| 30/05 | Juan Pablo II College Peru Liga 1 |
2-0 | 4-1 | 0 | 4 | W |
| 25/05 | Comerciantes Unidos Peru Liga 1 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 4 | D |
| 17/05 | UTC Cajamarca Peru Liga 1 |
0-0 | 2-0 | 1 | 7 | W |
| 11/05 | Alianza Atletico Peru Liga 1 |
1-0 | 2-1 | 7 | 4 | W |
| 04/05 | CD Los Chankas Peru Liga 1 |
0-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 5 | W |
| 28/04 | FBC Melgar Peru Liga 1 |
0-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 6 | W |
| 23/04 | Universitario de Deportes Peru Liga 1 |
0-2 | 1-4 | 1 | 1 | L |
| 19/04 | Sport Huancayo Peru Liga 1 |
1-0 | 1-2 | 7 | 1 | L |
Deportivo Binacional
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22/06 | Cusco FC Peru Copa de la Liga |
2-2 | 4-3 | 5 | 3 | W |
| 14/06 | Cienciano Peru Copa de la Liga |
0-0 | 0-2 | 2 | 6 | L |
| 31/05 | Alianza Universidad Peru Liga 2 |
1-0 | 2-1 | 2 | 3 | W |
| 22/05 | Sport Huancayo II Peru Liga 2 |
0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 6 | L |
| 16/05 | Comerciantes FC Peru Liga 2 |
0-3 | 0-3 | 3 | 2 | L |
| 09/05 | Ayacucho FC Peru Liga 2 |
0-1 | 0-2 | 3 | 5 | L |
| 26/04 | Union Minas Peru Liga 2 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 8 | D |
| 20/04 | CD Estudiantil CNI Peru Liga 2 |
2-1 | 2-2 | – | – | D |
| 05/04 | Bentin Tacna Heroica Peru Liga 2 |
0-2 | 1-2 | – | – | L |
| 29/03 | Santos FC Peru Liga 2 |
0-0 | 1-1 | 1 | 5 | D |