Football · Peru Copa de la Liga · 29/06, 01:00
Cusco FC vs Cienciano
42%2
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Cusco FC 1465 · Cienciano 1522
| Cusco FC | Draw | Cienciano | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 29% | 28% | 42% |
| Market | 30% | 28% | 43% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.62 goals · Bet365 line 2 · +0.6
The bar above blends our model with the market. The value bets mark where the odds cover the model probability with a margin (value).
Model analysis
Expected goals2.62Cusco FC 1.17 · Cienciano 1.45
Over / Under 2Over 2 · 56%
BTTSYes · 53%
Most likely total2 goals
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 67%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Cienciano (rating 1465 vs 1522).
- H2H favours Cusco FC: 3-2-1.
- Both score and concede often → consider BTTS.
- Cards-heavy: 10.3 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Cusco FC | Cienciano | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.2 / 1.6 | 1.3 / 1.3 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.7 / 0.6 | 0.3 / 0.8 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/70/10% | 10/40/50% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.6 / 3.8 | 2.2 / 4.2 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 5.1 / 0 | 5.2 / 0.7 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Cusco FC 3–2–1 Cienciano
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 16/03/26 Peru Liga 1 | Cusco FC | 1-2 HT 1-0 | Cienciano |
| 19/10/25 Peru Liga 1 | Cienciano | 1-2 HT 0-2 | Cusco FC |
| 14/06/25 Peru Liga 1 | Cusco FC | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Cienciano |
| 29/09/24 Peru Liga 1 | Cienciano | 1-2 HT 1-2 | Cusco FC |
| 28/04/24 Peru Liga 1 | Cusco FC | 2-0 HT 1-0 | Cienciano |
| 17/07/23 Peru Liga 1 | Cusco FC | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Cienciano |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Cusco FC
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22/06 | Deportivo Binacional Peru Copa de la Liga |
2-2 | 3-4 | 8 | 3 | L |
| 15/06 | Deportivo Garcilaso Peru Copa de la Liga |
0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 6 | D |
| 30/05 | AD Tarma Peru Liga 1 |
2-1 | 2-1 | 0 | 5 | W |
| 27/05 | Flamengo Copa Libertadores |
0-0 | 0-3 | 2 | 5 | L |
| 24/05 | Atletico Grau Peru Liga 1 |
0-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 7 | W |
| 21/05 | Independiente Medellin Copa Libertadores |
0-1 | 2-3 | 9 | 4 | L |
| 17/05 | Sport Boys Peru Liga 1 |
0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 8 | L |
| 11/05 | CD Los Chankas Peru Liga 1 |
0-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 5 | D |
| 07/05 | Estudiantes LP Copa Libertadores |
1-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 4 | D |
| 03/05 | Sporting Cristal Peru Liga 1 |
2-2 | 2-2 | 3 | 4 | D |
Cienciano
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22/06 | Deportivo Garcilaso Peru Copa de la Liga |
1-1 | 2-1 | 4 | 11 | W |
| 14/06 | Deportivo Binacional Peru Copa de la Liga |
0-0 | 2-0 | 8 | 6 | W |
| 01/06 | Sporting Cristal Peru Liga 1 |
1-2 | 3-2 | 6 | 2 | W |
| 28/05 | Juventud De Las Piedras Copa Sudamericana |
1-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 4 | D |
| 24/05 | Sport Huancayo Peru Liga 1 |
0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 3 | D |
| 22/05 | Atletico Mineiro Copa Sudamericana |
0-2 | 0-2 | 1 | 6 | L |
| 17/05 | Alianza Lima Peru Liga 1 |
0-1 | 0-1 | 7 | 5 | L |
| 09/05 | Atletico Grau Peru Liga 1 |
0-1 | 2-1 | 5 | 7 | W |
| 06/05 | Academia Puerto Cabello Copa Sudamericana |
0-1 | 0-3 | 2 | 4 | L |
| 03/05 | Comerciantes Unidos Peru Liga 1 |
0-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 11 | W |