⚽ Football · Peru Copa de la Liga · 28/06, 02:30
Sport Boys vs Academia Deportiva Cantolao
61%1
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Sport Boys 1502 · Academia Deportiva Cantolao 1450
| Sport Boys | Draw | Academia Deportiva Cantolao | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 53% | 24% | 23% |
| Market | 68% | 18% | 14% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.09 goals · Bet365 line 3
The bar above blends our model with the market. The 💎 marks where our model sees the odds underpriced (possible value).
🧠 Model analysis
Expected goals3.09Sport Boys 1.9 · Academia Deportiva Cantolao 1.19
BTTSYes · 60%
Most likely total3 goals
🔑 Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Sport Boys (rating 1502 vs 1450).
- H2H favours Sport Boys: 3-1-2.
- Cards-heavy: 11 🟨 combined avg.
📊 Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Sport Boys | Academia Deportiva Cantolao | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.1 / 1.2 | 1.2 / 2 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.1 / 0.7 | 0.6 / 1.2 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 0/70/30% | 40/10/50% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.7 / 5.4 | 2.6 / 4.8 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 5.5 / 1.1 | 5.5 / 0.4 |
⚔️ Head-to-head (H2H) · Sport Boys 3–1–2 Academia Deportiva Cantolao
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 04/07/23 Peru Liga 1 | Sport Boys | 0-1 HT 0-0 | Academia Deportiva Cantolao |
| 16/05/23 Peru Liga 1 | Academia Deportiva Cantolao | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Sport Boys |
| 18/09/22 Peru Liga 1 | Sport Boys | 1-0 HT 1-0 | Academia Deportiva Cantolao |
| 02/05/22 Peru Liga 1 | Academia Deportiva Cantolao | 0-1 HT 0-1 | Sport Boys |
| 08/08/21 Peru Liga 1 | Academia Deportiva Cantolao | 0-2 HT 0-1 | Sport Boys |
| 07/05/21 Peru Liga 1 | Academia Deportiva Cantolao | 2-1 HT 1-1 | Sport Boys |
📅 Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Matches that were 0-0 at half-time are shaded grey.
Sport Boys
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/06 | CD Universidad San Martin Peru Copa de la Liga |
0-1 | 2-2 | 3 | 7 | D |
| 31/05 | Comerciantes Unidos Peru Liga 1 |
0-0 | 1-0 | 8 | 4 | W |
| 23/05 | UTC Cajamarca Peru Liga 1 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 4 | D |
| 17/05 | Cusco FC Peru Liga 1 |
0-0 | 1-0 | 7 | 8 | W |
| 12/05 | Universitario de Deportes Peru Liga 1 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 4 | D |
| 02/05 | FC Cajamarca Peru Liga 1 |
0-2 | 2-3 | 4 | 6 | L |
| 26/04 | Juan Pablo II College Peru Liga 1 |
0-0 | 1-1 | 10 | 11 | D |
| 19/04 | Alianza Atletico Peru Liga 1 |
0-0 | 1-0 | 7 | 8 | W |
| 15/04 | FBC Melgar Peru Liga 1 |
0-3 | 1-3 | 6 | 9 | L |
| 04/04 | Deportivo Garcilaso Peru Liga 1 |
1-1 | 2-3 | 2 | 5 | L |
Academia Deportiva Cantolao
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/06 | CD Universidad San Martin Peru Copa de la Liga |
2-1 | 4-3 | 3 | 10 | W |
| 31/05 | CD Universidad San Martin Peru Liga 2 |
0-2 | 0-4 | 1 | 9 | L |
| 24/05 | Deportivo Llacuabamba Peru Liga 2 |
0-3 | 0-3 | 7 | 3 | L |
| 17/05 | Carlos Manucci Peru Liga 2 |
0-0 | 1-4 | 4 | 5 | L |
| 11/05 | Pirata FC Peru Liga 2 |
0-2 | 1-2 | 6 | 0 | L |
| 26/04 | Union Comercio Peru Liga 2 |
0-1 | 0-1 | 9 | 6 | L |
| 19/04 | Cesar Vallejo Peru Liga 2 |
0-2 | 1-2 | 3 | 4 | L |
| 03/04 | FC San Marcos Peru Liga 2 |
2-1 | 3-0 | 8 | 5 | W |
| 28/03 | Club Ada Jaen Peru Liga 2 |
1-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 9 | D |
| 20/09 | Deportivo Llacuabamba Peru Liga 2 |
1-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 8 | W |