⚽ Football · Peru Copa de la Liga · 27/06, 22:15
Comerciantes FC vs CD Estudiantil CNI
63%1
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Comerciantes FC 1562 · CD Estudiantil CNI 1457
| Comerciantes FC | Draw | CD Estudiantil CNI | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 62% | 24% | 14% |
| Market | 63% | 20% | 17% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.56 goals · Bet365 line 2.5
The bar above blends our model with the market. The 💎 marks where our model sees the odds underpriced (possible value).
🧠 Model analysis
Expected goals2.56Comerciantes FC 1.81 · CD Estudiantil CNI 0.75
Most likely total2 goals
🔑 Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Comerciantes FC (rating 1562 vs 1457).
- Cards-heavy: 8.4 🟨 combined avg.
📊 Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Comerciantes FC | CD Estudiantil CNI | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.3 / 0.6 | 1.1 / 1.4 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.5 / 0.3 | 0.6 / 0.7 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/60/20% | 20/40/40% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.6 / 4.1 | 1.6 / 4 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.7 / 0.2 | 4.8 / 0.4 |
⚔️ Head-to-head (H2H) · Comerciantes FC 0–1–0 CD Estudiantil CNI
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 03/05/26 Peru Liga 2 | Comerciantes FC | 1-1 HT 0-0 | CD Estudiantil CNI |
📅 Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Matches that were 0-0 at half-time are shaded grey.
Comerciantes FC
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/06 | Union Comercio Peru Copa de la Liga |
0-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 4 | W |
| 13/06 | Sporting Cristal Peru Copa de la Liga |
0-1 | 1-1 | 6 | 4 | D |
| 22/05 | Ayacucho FC Peru Liga 2 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 4 | D |
| 16/05 | Deportivo Binacional Peru Liga 2 |
3-0 | 3-0 | 7 | 2 | W |
| 08/05 | Union Minas Peru Liga 2 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | D |
| 03/05 | CD Estudiantil CNI Peru Liga 2 |
0-0 | 1-1 | 8 | 10 | D |
| 26/04 | Bentin Tacna Heroica Peru Liga 2 |
0-1 | 1-1 | 1 | 3 | D |
| 19/04 | Santos FC Peru Liga 2 |
1-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 2 | W |
| 04/04 | Alianza Universidad Peru Liga 2 |
0-0 | 2-1 | 2 | 4 | W |
| 29/03 | Sport Huancayo II Peru Liga 2 |
1-1 | 3-2 | – | – | W |
CD Estudiantil CNI
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/06 | Sporting Cristal Peru Copa de la Liga |
0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 8 | L |
| 15/06 | Union Comercio Peru Copa de la Liga |
0-1 | 1-3 | 2 | 3 | L |
| 30/05 | Bentin Tacna Heroica Peru Liga 2 |
1-1 | 1-3 | 4 | 4 | L |
| 23/05 | Santos FC Peru Liga 2 |
2-0 | 3-0 | – | – | W |
| 16/05 | Alianza Universidad Peru Liga 2 |
0-2 | 0-2 | 2 | 4 | L |
| 10/05 | Sport Huancayo II Peru Liga 2 |
2-0 | 2-0 | 6 | 3 | W |
| 03/05 | Comerciantes FC Peru Liga 2 |
0-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 10 | D |
| 26/04 | Ayacucho FC Peru Liga 2 |
0-1 | 0-1 | 8 | 5 | L |
| 20/04 | Deportivo Binacional Peru Liga 2 |
1-2 | 2-2 | – | – | D |
| 05/04 | Union Minas Peru Liga 2 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 4 | D |