Football · USA USL League Two · 01/07, 01:00
Kalamazoo FC vs Oakland County FC
Expected goals: 3.42 (Kalamazoo FC 1.45 · Oakland County FC 1.96). The model gives 28% home, 23% draw, 49% away. Under 3.5 goals (53%) and both teams to score (59%). Most likely score: 1-1.
49%2
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Kalamazoo FC 1521 · Oakland County FC 1569
| Kalamazoo FC | Draw | Oakland County FC | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 28% | 24% | 49% |
| Market | 28% | 23% | 49% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.42 goals · Bet365 line 3.5
The bar above blends our model with the market. The value bets mark where the odds cover the model probability with a margin (value).
Model analysis
Expected goals3.42Kalamazoo FC 1.45 · Oakland County FC 1.96
Over / Under 3.5Under 3.5 · 53%
BTTSYes · 59%
Most likely total3 goals
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 53%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Oakland County FC (rating 1521 vs 1569).
- H2H favours Oakland County FC: 3-1-2.
- High corners: 12.5 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 7.8 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Kalamazoo FC | Oakland County FC | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 2.4 / 1.9 | 2.4 / 0.8 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1 / 0.9 | 0.8 / 0.5 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 40/20/40% | 40/50/10% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 0.8 / 2.5 | 7 / 10 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.8 / 0 | 4 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Kalamazoo FC 2–1–3 Oakland County FC
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 22/05/26 USA USL League Two | Oakland County FC | 2-1 HT 2-1 | Kalamazoo FC |
| 13/07/25 USA USL League Two | Oakland County FC | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Kalamazoo FC |
| 08/07/25 USA USL League Two | Kalamazoo FC | 1-2 HT 0-1 | Oakland County FC |
| 14/07/24 USA USL League Two | Oakland County FC | 1-4 HT 0-2 | Kalamazoo FC |
| 08/06/24 USA USL League Two | Kalamazoo FC | 4-0 HT 0-0 | Oakland County FC |
| 09/07/23 USA USL League Two | Oakland County FC | 4-3 HT 1-0 | Kalamazoo FC |
Standings · USA USL League Two · USL League Two 2026, Great Lakes Division
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Flint City Bucks | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 22 | 9 | 19 |
| 2 | Oakland County FC | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 24 | 8 | 20 |
| 3 | Kalamazoo FC | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 23 | 17 | 13 |
| 4 | Midwest United | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 18 | 10 | 13 |
| 5 | AFC Ann Arbor | 9 | 4 | 0 | 5 | 15 | 22 | 12 |
| 6 | Union FC Macomb | 9 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 16 | 28 | 7 |
| 7 | Lansing City Football | 10 | 2 | 0 | 8 | 11 | 35 | 6 |
Common opponents 5 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Kalamazoo FC | Oakland County FC |
|---|---|---|
| Midwest United | 2-2 D | 3-1 W |
| AFC Ann Arbor | 4-2 W | 4-1 W |
| Lansing City Football | 7-0 W | 6-0 W |
| Union FC Macomb | 7-2 W | 2-2 D |
| Flint City Bucks | 0-7 L | 1-1 D |
| Record vs common | 3 W 1 D 1 L | 3 W 2 D 0 L |
Better against common opponents: Oakland County FC (3 of 5 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Kalamazoo FC
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/06 | Midwest United USA USL League Two |
1-0 | 2-2 | – | – | D |
| 20/06 | AFC Ann Arbor USA USL League Two |
3-2 | 4-2 | 2 | 5 | W |
| 12/06 | Lansing City Football USA USL League Two |
3-0 | 7-0 | – | – | W |
| 07/06 | Union FC Macomb USA USL League Two |
1-1 | 7-2 | – | – | W |
| 31/05 | Flint City Bucks USA USL League Two |
0-2 | 0-7 | 0 | 3 | L |
| 28/05 | Midwest United USA USL League Two |
1-0 | 1-0 | – | – | W |
| 22/05 | Oakland County FC USA USL League Two |
1-2 | 1-2 | 6 | 4 | L |
| 14/05 | Union FC Macomb USA USL League Two |
0-1 | 1-2 | 2 | 3 | L |
| 13/07 | Oakland County FC USA USL League Two |
0-0 | 0-0 | – | – | D |
| 08/07 | Oakland County FC USA USL League Two |
0-1 | 1-2 | – | – | L |
Oakland County FC
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/06 | Flint City Bucks USA USL League Two |
0-0 | 1-1 | – | – | D |
| 21/06 | Union FC Macomb USA USL League Two |
2-1 | 2-2 | – | – | D |
| 14/06 | Flint City Bucks USA USL League Two |
0-2 | 1-2 | – | – | L |
| 11/06 | Midwest United USA USL League Two |
0-0 | 3-1 | – | – | W |
| 07/06 | Lansing City Football USA USL League Two |
2-0 | 6-0 | – | – | W |
| 31/05 | AFC Ann Arbor USA USL League Two |
1-1 | 4-1 | – | – | W |
| 29/05 | Lansing City Football USA USL League Two |
0-0 | 1-0 | – | – | W |
| 22/05 | Kalamazoo FC USA USL League Two |
2-1 | 2-1 | 10 | 4 | W |
| 17/05 | Union FC Macomb USA USL League Two |
1-0 | 4-0 | – | – | W |
| 13/07 | Kalamazoo FC USA USL League Two |
0-0 | 0-0 | – | – | D |