Football · South Korea Women K League · 01/07, 12:00
Gangjin Swans (W) vs Mungyeong Sangmu Women
Expected goals: 2.66 (Gangjin Swans (W) 1.14 · Mungyeong Sangmu Women 1.52). The model gives 28% home, 27% draw, 45% away. Over 2.5 goals (50%) and both teams to score (54%). Most likely score: 1-1.
45%2
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Gangjin Swans (W) 1410 · Mungyeong Sangmu Women 1452
| Gangjin Swans (W) | Draw | Mungyeong Sangmu Women | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 27% | 28% | 45% |
| Market | 28% | 26% | 46% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.66 goals · Bet365 line 2.5 · +0.2
The bar above blends our model with the market. The value bets mark where the odds cover the model probability with a margin (value).
Model analysis
Expected goals2.66Gangjin Swans (W) 1.14 · Mungyeong Sangmu Women 1.52
Over / Under 2.5Over 2.5 · 50%
BTTSYes · 54%
Most likely total2 goals
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 65%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Mungyeong Sangmu Women (rating 1410 vs 1452).
- H2H favours Mungyeong Sangmu Women: 4-1-1.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Gangjin Swans (W) | Mungyeong Sangmu Women | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.2 / 2.3 | 1 / 1.7 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.4 / 1 | 0.6 / 0.8 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/10/70% | 30/20/50% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.3 / 3.3 | 1 / 3 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 1.9 / 0 | 1.5 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Gangjin Swans (W) 1–1–4 Mungyeong Sangmu Women
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 11/04/26 South Korea Women K League | Mungyeong Sangmu Women | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Gangjin Swans (W) |
| 29/09/25 South Korea Women K League | Gangjin Swans (W) | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Mungyeong Sangmu Women |
| 21/08/25 South Korea Women K League | Mungyeong Sangmu Women | 5-0 HT 3-0 | Gangjin Swans (W) |
| 22/05/25 South Korea Women K League | Gangjin Swans (W) | 2-1 HT 2-1 | Mungyeong Sangmu Women |
| 17/04/25 South Korea Women K League | Mungyeong Sangmu Women | 5-1 HT 2-0 | Gangjin Swans (W) |
| 29/08/24 South Korea Women K League | Mungyeong Sangmu Women | 2-1 HT 1-1 | Gangjin Swans (W) |
Standings · South Korea Women K League
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Suwon FMC (W) | 12 | 9 | 0 | 3 | 32 | 11 | 27 |
| 2 | Hwacheon KSPO (W) | 11 | 8 | 1 | 2 | 16 | 5 | 25 |
| 3 | Incheon Red Angels (W) | 13 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 16 | 15 | 21 |
| 4 | Gyeongju (W) | 14 | 5 | 2 | 7 | 18 | 19 | 17 |
| 5 | Mungyeong Sangmu Women | 13 | 5 | 2 | 6 | 13 | 17 | 17 |
| 6 | Sejong Sportstoto (W) | 14 | 5 | 2 | 7 | 16 | 23 | 17 |
| 7 | Seoul Amazones (W) | 12 | 5 | 0 | 7 | 12 | 19 | 15 |
| 8 | Gangjin Swans (W) | 13 | 2 | 2 | 9 | 13 | 27 | 8 |
Common opponents 6 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Gangjin Swans (W) | Mungyeong Sangmu Women |
|---|---|---|
| Sejong Sportstoto (W) | 0-0 D | 1-2 L |
| Incheon Red Angels (W) | 2-3 L | 1-1 D |
| Suwon FMC (W) | 1-6 L | 0-2 L |
| Seoul Amazones (W) | 1-2 L | 1-2 L |
| Gyeongju (W) | 2-3 L | 0-3 L |
| Hwacheon KSPO (W) | 0-2 L | 1-3 L |
| Record vs common | 0 W 1 D 5 L | 0 W 1 D 5 L |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Gangjin Swans (W)
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/06 | Sejong Sportstoto (W) South Korea Women K League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 3 | D |
| 20/06 | Incheon Red Angels (W) South Korea Women K League |
0-3 | 2-3 | 4 | 2 | L |
| 17/06 | Suwon FMC (W) South Korea Women K League |
0-1 | 1-6 | 2 | 1 | L |
| 13/06 | Seoul Amazones (W) South Korea Women K League |
0-2 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | L |
| 30/05 | Gyeongju (W) South Korea Women K League |
0-1 | 2-3 | – | – | L |
| 16/05 | Hwacheon KSPO (W) South Korea Women K League |
0-1 | 0-2 | – | – | L |
| 09/05 | Sejong Sportstoto (W) South Korea Women K League |
0-1 | 1-3 | 3 | 3 | L |
| 05/05 | Incheon Red Angels (W) South Korea Women K League |
0-1 | 1-3 | – | – | L |
| 01/05 | Suwon FMC (W) South Korea Women K League |
2-0 | 2-1 | 4 | 1 | W |
| 24/04 | Seoul Amazones (W) South Korea Women K League |
2-0 | 2-0 | 3 | 3 | W |
Mungyeong Sangmu Women
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/06 | Incheon Red Angels (W) South Korea Women K League |
0-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 0 | D |
| 20/06 | Suwon FMC (W) South Korea Women K League |
0-1 | 0-2 | 2 | 4 | L |
| 17/06 | Seoul Amazones (W) South Korea Women K League |
0-2 | 1-2 | 4 | 1 | L |
| 13/06 | Gyeongju (W) South Korea Women K League |
0-1 | 0-3 | – | – | L |
| 30/05 | Hwacheon KSPO (W) South Korea Women K League |
0-1 | 1-3 | 4 | 1 | L |
| 16/05 | Sejong Sportstoto (W) South Korea Women K League |
1-2 | 1-2 | – | – | L |
| 09/05 | Incheon Red Angels (W) South Korea Women K League |
1-0 | 1-0 | – | – | W |
| 05/05 | Suwon FMC (W) South Korea Women K League |
1-1 | 1-3 | – | – | L |
| 02/05 | Seoul Amazones (W) South Korea Women K League |
2-0 | 3-0 | – | – | W |
| 25/04 | Gyeongju (W) South Korea Women K League |
1-0 | 1-1 | – | – | D |