⚽ Football · Australia NPL Queensland Women · 27/06, 09:00
Gold Coast Knights (W) vs Sunshine Coast Wanderers (W)
81%1
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Gold Coast Knights (W) 1616 · Sunshine Coast Wanderers (W) 1424
| Gold Coast Knights (W) | Draw | Sunshine Coast Wanderers (W) | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 72% | 18% | 10% |
| Market | 87% | 8% | 4% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.36 goals · Bet365 line 3.5
The bar above blends our model with the market. The 💎 marks where our model sees the odds underpriced (possible value).
🧠 Model analysis
Expected goals3.36Gold Coast Knights (W) 2.5 · Sunshine Coast Wanderers (W) 0.86
Over / Under 3.5Under 3.5 · 54%
BTTSYes · 54%
Most likely total3 goals
🔑 Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Gold Coast Knights (W) (rating 1616 vs 1424).
- High estimate: 3.36 goals → consider Over 2.5.
- H2H favours Gold Coast Knights (W): 4-0-0.
- Early goals: 1.9 combined avg at HT (1 + 0.9) → Over 0.5 HT.
📊 Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Gold Coast Knights (W) | Sunshine Coast Wanderers (W) | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 2.3 / 0.7 | 1.6 / 1.7 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1 / 0.4 | 0.9 / 0.8 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 40/40/20% | 20/60/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 3.1 / 6.6 | 1.1 / 3.5 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 0.9 / 0 | 0.8 / 0.1 |
⚔️ Head-to-head (H2H) · Gold Coast Knights (W) 4–0–0 Sunshine Coast Wanderers (W)
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 15/02/26 Australia NPL Queensland Women | Sunshine Coast Wanderers (W) | 0-3 HT 0-3 | Gold Coast Knights (W) |
| 09/08/25 Australia NPL Queensland Women | Gold Coast Knights (W) | 5-0 HT 2-0 | Sunshine Coast Wanderers (W) |
| 05/08/25 Australia NPL Queensland Women | Gold Coast Knights (W) | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Sunshine Coast Wanderers (W) |
| 22/07/25 Australia NPL Queensland Women | Sunshine Coast Wanderers (W) | 1-3 HT 1-2 | Gold Coast Knights (W) |
📅 Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Matches that were 0-0 at half-time are shaded grey.
Gold Coast Knights (W)
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/06 | Brisbane Olympic FC (W) Australia NPL Queensland Women |
0-1 | 1-1 | 6 | 0 | D |
| 20/06 | Capalaba (W) Australia NPL Queensland Women |
2-0 | 2-0 | 7 | 1 | W |
| 06/06 | FQ QAS Women Australia NPL Queensland Women |
3-1 | 4-3 | 6 | 2 | W |
| 12/05 | Gold Coast United (W) Australia NPL Queensland Women |
2-0 | 5-0 | 11 | 1 | W |
| 08/05 | Eastern Suburbs NPL (W) Australia NPL Queensland Women |
0-1 | 0-1 | 5 | 1 | L |
| 12/04 | Brisbane City (W) Australia NPL Queensland Women |
0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | D |
| 31/03 | Gold Coast United (W) Australia NPL Queensland Women |
0-0 | 3-0 | 7 | 1 | W |
| 28/03 | FQ QAS Women Australia NPL Queensland Women |
1-1 | 4-1 | 5 | 1 | W |
| 22/03 | Souths United NPL (W) Australia NPL Queensland Women |
2-0 | 3-1 | 13 | 0 | W |
| 14/03 | Brisbane Olympic FC (W) Australia NPL Queensland Women |
0-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 2 | W |
Sunshine Coast Wanderers (W)
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/06 | Brisbane City (W) Australia NPL Queensland Women |
0-1 | 1-1 | 3 | 0 | D |
| 21/06 | FQ QAS Women Australia NPL Queensland Women |
1-1 | 1-2 | 4 | 1 | L |
| 07/06 | Souths United NPL (W) Australia NPL Queensland Women |
2-1 | 5-1 | 3 | 0 | W |
| 31/05 | Gold Coast United (W) Australia NPL Queensland Women |
0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 3 | L |
| 24/05 | Brisbane Olympic FC (W) Australia NPL Queensland Women |
1-1 | 1-2 | 3 | 1 | L |
| 12/05 | Eastern Suburbs NPL (W) Australia NPL Queensland Women |
0-2 | 0-3 | 5 | 1 | L |
| 09/05 | Lions FC (W) Australia NPL Queensland Women |
1-1 | 1-3 | 6 | 2 | L |
| 19/04 | Gold Coast United (W) Australia NPL Queensland Women |
3-0 | 4-1 | 2 | 0 | W |
| 12/04 | Capalaba (W) Australia NPL Queensland Women |
1-1 | 3-1 | 6 | 0 | W |
| 31/03 | Eastern Suburbs NPL (W) Australia NPL Queensland Women |
0-0 | 0-2 | 0 | 1 | L |