⚽ Football · Brazil Copa Rio · 23/06, 19:45
Olaria AC vs Duque de Caxias FC
41%1
Pick: 1 · 41%
Under 2.5 · 69%
Both to score No
Score: 1-0
💎 +10%
🧠 Model analysisExpected goals: 1.95 (Olaria AC 1.1 · Duque de Caxias FC 0.85). The model gives 41% home, 31% draw, 28% away. Recommendation: Olaria AC (41%, baja confidence). Under 2.5 goals (69%) and not both to score (62%). Most likely score: 1-0. 💎 Value spotted on Duque de Caxias FC: +10% over the odds (5).
🔑 Match keys
- Value on Duque de Caxias FC: the model gives +10% over odds 5.
- Low estimate: 1.95 goals → consider Under 2.5.
- H2H favours Olaria AC: 3-1-2.
- Cards-heavy: 12.4 🟨 combined avg.
📊 Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Olaria AC | Duque de Caxias FC | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.3 / 0.9 | 0.8 / 0.9 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.7 / 0.3 | 0.2 / 0.4 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 40/50/10% | 10/60/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.3 / 5.3 | 2.9 / 4.8 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 5 / 0.1 | 7.4 / 0 |
⚔️ Head-to-head (H2H) · Olaria AC 3–1–2 Duque de Caxias FC
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 17/06/26 | Duque de Caxias FC | 0-2 | Olaria AC |
| 31/05/25 | Duque de Caxias FC | 3-2 | Olaria AC |
| 11/08/24 | Olaria AC | 1-0 | Duque de Caxias FC |
| 03/08/24 | Duque de Caxias FC | 0-0 | Olaria AC |
| 01/06/24 | Olaria AC | 0-1 | Duque de Caxias FC |
| 23/10/21 | Duque de Caxias FC | 0-1 | Olaria AC |
📅 Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Matches that were 0-0 at half-time are shaded grey.
Olaria AC
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/06 | Cabofriense | 1-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 2 | W |
| 17/06 | Duque de Caxias FC | 1-0 | 2-0 | 6 | 4 | W |
| 13/06 | America RJ | 0-1 | 2-2 | 9 | 6 | D |
| 06/06 | Sao Goncalo | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 5 | D |
| 30/05 | Resende RJ | 1-1 | 1-1 | 4 | 5 | D |
| 27/05 | Marica RJ | 0-0 | 1-2 | 5 | 2 | L |
| 16/05 | Perolas Negras | 0-0 | 2-0 | 4 | 8 | W |
| 09/05 | Americano RJ | 1-0 | 1-2 | – | – | L |
| 02/05 | Serrano | 1-1 | 1-1 | 4 | 8 | D |
| 29/04 | Audax Rio | 2-0 | 2-1 | 6 | 6 | W |
Duque de Caxias FC
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17/06 | Olaria AC | 0-1 | 0-2 | 3 | 4 | L |
| 22/11 | Bonsucesso FC | 0-1 | 0-2 | 3 | 7 | L |
| 15/11 | Bonsucesso FC | 0-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 9 | W |
| 08/11 | Carapebus/Campos | 0-0 | 2-0 | 8 | 4 | W |
| 05/11 | Niteroiense | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 7 | D |
| 01/11 | Nova Cidade | 1-1 | 2-2 | 1 | 8 | D |
| 25/10 | Paduano EC | 1-0 | 2-1 | 7 | 7 | W |
| 18/10 | Friburguense | 0-0 | 1-0 | – | – | W |
| 11/10 | Sao Cristovao RJ | 0-1 | 0-2 | 6 | 10 | L |
| 04/10 | Campo Grande AC | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 11 | D |