⚽ Football · Brazil Copa Rio · 24/06, 00:30
Resende RJ vs SE Belford Roxo
48%1
Pick: 1 · 48%
Under 2.5 · 51%
Both to score Yes
Score: 1-1
💎 +23.7%
🧠 Model analysisExpected goals: 2.65 (Resende RJ 1.55 · SE Belford Roxo 1.1). The model gives 48% home, 25% draw, 27% away. Recommendation: Resende RJ (48%, media confidence). Under 2.5 goals (51%) and both teams to score (53%). Most likely score: 1-1. 💎 Value spotted on SE Belford Roxo: +23.7% over the odds (29).
🔑 Match keys
- Value on SE Belford Roxo: the model gives +23.7% over odds 29.
- Estimate (2.65) is far from Bet365's line (3.5): possible value on Under 3.5.
- Early goals: 1.6 avg at HT → Over 0.5 HT.
- Cards-heavy: 11.2 🟨 combined avg.
📊 Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Resende RJ | SE Belford Roxo | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.8 / 0.6 | 1.6 / 1.3 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1.1 / 0.2 | 0.5 / 0.4 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 50/50/0% | 20/60/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2 / 4.3 | 1.9 / 4 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 5.1 / 0.5 | 6.1 / 0.6 |
⚔️ Head-to-head (H2H) · Resende RJ 1–0–0 SE Belford Roxo
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 17/06/26 | SE Belford Roxo | 1-3 | Resende RJ |
📅 Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Matches that were 0-0 at half-time are shaded grey.
Resende RJ
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/06 | Serrano | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 5 | D |
| 17/06 | SE Belford Roxo | 2-0 | 3-1 | 5 | 2 | W |
| 13/06 | Bonsucesso FC | 1-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 7 | W |
| 06/06 | Araruama FC | 0-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 5 | W |
| 30/05 | Olaria AC | 1-1 | 1-1 | 2 | 5 | D |
| 28/05 | America RJ | 2-0 | 3-0 | 2 | 3 | W |
| 16/05 | Sao Goncalo | 1-0 | 2-1 | 4 | 11 | W |
| 09/05 | Cabofriense | 1-1 | 2-2 | 10 | 7 | D |
| 02/05 | Perolas Negras | 0-0 | 1-1 | – | – | D |
| 29/04 | Marica RJ | 3-0 | 4-0 | – | – | W |
SE Belford Roxo
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17/06 | Resende RJ | 0-2 | 1-3 | 5 | 2 | L |
| 23/11 | Goytacaz | 0-0 | 1-2 | 5 | 9 | L |
| 16/11 | Goytacaz | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 5 | D |
| 09/11 | Serra Macaense | 1-0 | 2-0 | 2 | 6 | W |
| 02/11 | Macae Esporte FC | 0-0 | 0-3 | 2 | 5 | L |
| 26/10 | FC Rio de Janeiro | 0-0 | 4-0 | – | – | W |
| 19/10 | Goytacaz | 0-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 5 | D |
| 12/10 | Santa Cruz RJ | 0-2 | 2-3 | 9 | 16 | L |
| 06/10 | SE Paraty RJ | 0-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 9 | W |
| 28/09 | Barra Mansa | 4-0 | 4-1 | 3 | 3 | W |