Football · South Korea Women K League · 01/07, 12:00
Seoul Amazones (W) vs Suwon FMC (W)
Expected goals: 3.26 (Seoul Amazones (W) 1.27 · Suwon FMC (W) 1.99). The model gives 23% home, 23% draw, 53% away. Over 3 goals (52%) and both teams to score (57%). Most likely score: 1-1.
53%2
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Seoul Amazones (W) 1473 · Suwon FMC (W) 1565
| Seoul Amazones (W) | Draw | Suwon FMC (W) | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 23% | 24% | 53% |
| Market | 24% | 23% | 54% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.26 goals · Bet365 line 3 · +0.3
The bar above blends our model with the market. The value bets mark where the odds cover the model probability with a margin (value).
Model analysis
Expected goals3.26Seoul Amazones (W) 1.27 · Suwon FMC (W) 1.99
Over / Under 3Over 3 · 52%
BTTSYes · 57%
Most likely total3 goals
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 54%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Suwon FMC (W) (rating 1473 vs 1565).
- H2H favours Seoul Amazones (W): 3-1-2.
- High corners: 11.6 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 5.3 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Seoul Amazones (W) | Suwon FMC (W) | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1 / 1.7 | 2.9 / 1 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.7 / 0.9 | 0.9 / 0.5 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/30/40% | 60/20/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.5 / 3.8 | 3.4 / 7.9 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 2.3 / 0 | 3 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Seoul Amazones (W) 3–1–2 Suwon FMC (W)
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 04/04/26 South Korea Women K League | Suwon FMC (W) | 2-1 HT 2-0 | Seoul Amazones (W) |
| 18/09/25 South Korea Women K League | Suwon FMC (W) | 1-2 HT 0-1 | Seoul Amazones (W) |
| 23/06/25 South Korea Women K League | Seoul Amazones (W) | 1-1 HT 0-1 | Suwon FMC (W) |
| 12/05/25 South Korea Women K League | Suwon FMC (W) | 1-3 HT 1-1 | Seoul Amazones (W) |
| 10/04/25 South Korea Women K League | Seoul Amazones (W) | 3-2 HT 1-0 | Suwon FMC (W) |
| 29/08/24 South Korea Women K League | Suwon FMC (W) | 2-0 HT 0-0 | Seoul Amazones (W) |
Standings · South Korea Women K League
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Suwon FMC (W) | 12 | 9 | 0 | 3 | 32 | 11 | 27 |
| 2 | Hwacheon KSPO (W) | 11 | 8 | 1 | 2 | 16 | 5 | 25 |
| 3 | Incheon Red Angels (W) | 13 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 16 | 15 | 21 |
| 4 | Gyeongju (W) | 14 | 5 | 2 | 7 | 18 | 19 | 17 |
| 5 | Mungyeong Sangmu Women | 13 | 5 | 2 | 6 | 13 | 17 | 17 |
| 6 | Sejong Sportstoto (W) | 14 | 5 | 2 | 7 | 16 | 23 | 17 |
| 7 | Seoul Amazones (W) | 12 | 5 | 0 | 7 | 12 | 19 | 15 |
| 8 | Gangjin Swans (W) | 13 | 2 | 2 | 9 | 13 | 27 | 8 |
Common opponents 5 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Seoul Amazones (W) | Suwon FMC (W) |
|---|---|---|
| Gyeongju (W) | 1-3 L | 1-2 L |
| Mungyeong Sangmu Women | 2-1 W | 2-0 W |
| Gangjin Swans (W) | 2-1 W | 6-1 W |
| Sejong Sportstoto (W) | 1-3 L | 6-0 W |
| Incheon Red Angels (W) | 2-1 W | 4-0 W |
| Record vs common | 3 W 0 D 2 L | 4 W 0 D 1 L |
Better against common opponents: Suwon FMC (W) (5 of 5 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Seoul Amazones (W)
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/06 | Gyeongju (W) South Korea Women K League |
0-2 | 1-3 | 4 | 2 | L |
| 17/06 | Mungyeong Sangmu Women South Korea Women K League |
2-0 | 2-1 | 4 | 1 | W |
| 13/06 | Gangjin Swans (W) South Korea Women K League |
2-0 | 2-1 | 3 | 0 | W |
| 31/05 | Sejong Sportstoto (W) South Korea Women K League |
1-2 | 1-3 | 4 | 4 | L |
| 27/05 | Incheon Red Angels (W) South Korea Women K League |
2-1 | 2-1 | 5 | 3 | W |
| 08/05 | Hwacheon KSPO (W) South Korea Women K League |
0-0 | 0-1 | – | – | L |
| 02/05 | Mungyeong Sangmu Women South Korea Women K League |
0-2 | 0-3 | – | – | L |
| 24/04 | Gangjin Swans (W) South Korea Women K League |
0-2 | 0-2 | 5 | 3 | L |
| 17/04 | Sejong Sportstoto (W) South Korea Women K League |
0-0 | 2-1 | 4 | 3 | W |
| 10/04 | Incheon Red Angels (W) South Korea Women K League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 1 | 2 | L |
Suwon FMC (W)
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/06 | Gyeongju (W) South Korea Women K League |
1-2 | 1-2 | 11 | 5 | L |
| 20/06 | Mungyeong Sangmu Women South Korea Women K League |
1-0 | 2-0 | 5 | 4 | W |
| 17/06 | Gangjin Swans (W) South Korea Women K League |
1-0 | 6-1 | 8 | 1 | W |
| 12/06 | Sejong Sportstoto (W) South Korea Women K League |
1-0 | 6-0 | 8 | 2 | W |
| 30/05 | Incheon Red Angels (W) South Korea Women K League |
2-0 | 4-0 | – | – | W |
| 20/05 | Naegohyang FC (W) AFC Champions League Women |
0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 5 | L |
| 09/05 | Gyeongju (W) South Korea Women K League |
1-0 | 2-0 | – | – | W |
| 05/05 | Mungyeong Sangmu Women South Korea Women K League |
1-1 | 3-1 | – | – | W |
| 01/05 | Gangjin Swans (W) South Korea Women K League |
0-2 | 1-2 | 11 | 1 | L |
| 22/04 | Sejong Sportstoto (W) South Korea Women K League |
1-0 | 3-2 | 8 | 3 | W |