⚽ Football · Chile Cup · 24/06, 22:00
La Serena vs Cobresal
41%2
Pick: 2 · 41%
Over 2.5 · 68%
Both to score Yes
Score: 1-1
💎 +12.4%
🧠 Model analysisExpected goals: 3.5 (La Serena 1.7 · Cobresal 1.8). The model gives 37% home, 22% draw, 41% away. Recommendation: Cobresal (41%, baja confidence). Over 2.5 goals (68%) and both teams to score (68%). Most likely score: 1-1. 💎 Value spotted on Cobresal: +12.4% over the odds (3.2).
🔑 Match keys
- Value on Cobresal: the model gives +12.4% over odds 3.2.
- Estimate (3.5) is far from Bet365's line (2): possible value on Over 2.
- High estimate: 3.5 goals → consider Over 2.5.
- H2H favours Cobresal: 3-1-2.
- Early goals: 1.3 avg at HT → Over 0.5 HT.
- Cards-heavy: 8.1 🟨 combined avg.
📊 Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| La Serena | Cobresal | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.2 / 2.8 | 0.8 / 2.2 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.8 / 1.4 | 0.5 / 0.8 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/40/40% | 20/50/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.9 / 5.7 | 1.6 / 4.7 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.5 / 0.3 | 3.6 / 0 |
⚔️ Head-to-head (H2H) · La Serena 2–1–3 Cobresal
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 27/02/26 | Cobresal | 0-1 | La Serena |
| 24/01/26 | La Serena | 2-3 | Cobresal |
| 26/07/25 | La Serena | 0-2 | Cobresal |
| 11/05/25 | La Serena | 1-1 | Cobresal |
| 23/02/25 | Cobresal | 3-1 | La Serena |
| 27/01/25 | Cobresal | 1-2 | La Serena |
📅 Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Matches that were 0-0 at half-time are shaded grey.
La Serena
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/06 | CD Antofagasta | 1-2 | 2-4 | 7 | 4 | L |
| 13/06 | Audax Italiano | 0-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 4 | D |
| 07/06 | Union La Calera | 0-2 | 0-2 | 7 | 8 | L |
| 30/05 | Colo Colo | 1-1 | 2-4 | 2 | 3 | L |
| 16/05 | Palestino | 0-3 | 1-5 | 4 | 1 | L |
| 09/05 | Audax Italiano | 2-2 | 2-4 | 5 | 6 | L |
| 02/05 | Universidad de Chile | 0-3 | 0-5 | 7 | 7 | L |
| 26/04 | Huachipato | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 5 | D |
| 19/04 | Deportes Concepcion | 3-1 | 3-3 | 5 | 4 | D |
| 11/04 | Everton de Vina | 1-0 | 1-0 | 10 | 6 | W |
Cobresal
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/06 | Cobreloa | 0-0 | 0-2 | 5 | 5 | L |
| 13/06 | Colo Colo | 0-3 | 0-3 | 2 | 0 | L |
| 07/06 | Universidad Catolica | 1-1 | 1-5 | 7 | 5 | L |
| 30/05 | Nublense | 0-1 | 0-1 | 9 | 5 | L |
| 23/05 | Audax Italiano | 1-1 | 1-2 | 3 | 1 | L |
| 17/05 | Universidad de Chile | 0-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 3 | W |
| 09/05 | Universidad de Concepcion | 1-0 | 2-1 | 2 | 5 | W |
| 03/05 | Nublense | 0-0 | 0-2 | 2 | 6 | L |
| 26/04 | Everton de Vina | 1-2 | 1-3 | 4 | 5 | L |
| 19/04 | O'Higgins | 1-0 | 2-3 | 8 | 1 | L |