⚽ Football · Chile Cup · 26/06, 01:30
Colo Colo vs O'Higgins
59%1
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Colo Colo 1589 · O'Higgins 1497
| Colo Colo | Draw | O'Higgins | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 61% | 22% | 17% |
| Market | 57% | 24% | 19% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.7 goals · Bet365 line 2.5 · +0.2
The bar above blends our model with the market. The 💎 marks where our model beats the market.
🧠 Model analysis
Expected goals2.7Colo Colo 1.84 · O'Higgins 0.86
Over / Under 2.5Over 2.5 · 51%
BTTSNo · 52%
Likely score1-0
🔑 Match keys
- Colo Colo usually leads at HT (60%) while O'Higgins trails (60%): look at home at HT.
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Colo Colo (rating 1589 vs 1497).
- H2H favours Colo Colo: 3-2-1.
- Early goals: 1.7 avg at HT → Over 0.5 HT.
- High corners: 11.1 combined avg → Over corners.
- Cards-heavy: 8 🟨 combined avg.
📊 Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Colo Colo | O'Higgins | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 2.6 / 1 | 1.1 / 1.3 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1.2 / 0.6 | 0.5 / 0.8 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 60/10/30% | 20/20/60% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.9 / 5.3 | 2.8 / 5.8 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.4 / 0.1 | 4.6 / 0.3 |
⚔️ Head-to-head (H2H) · Colo Colo 3–2–1 O'Higgins
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 21/02/26 Chile Liga de Primera | O'Higgins | 0-1 HT 0-0 | Colo Colo |
| 27/07/25 Chile Liga de Primera | O'Higgins | 1-1 HT 0-1 | Colo Colo |
| 25/02/25 Chile Liga de Primera | Colo Colo | 0-1 HT 0-0 | O'Higgins |
| 27/07/24 Chile Liga de Primera | Colo Colo | 2-1 HT 0-0 | O'Higgins |
| 30/06/24 Chile Cup | Colo Colo | 3-1 HT 1-1 | O'Higgins |
| 23/06/24 Chile Cup | O'Higgins | 2-2 HT 1-1 | Colo Colo |
📅 Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Matches that were 0-0 at half-time are shaded grey.
Colo Colo
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/06 | Deportes Recoleta Chile Cup |
2-0 | 3-0 | 7 | 3 | W |
| 13/06 | Cobresal Chile Liga de Primera |
3-0 | 3-0 | 5 | 0 | W |
| 07/06 | Huachipato Chile Copa de la Liga |
0-1 | 0-1 | 9 | 6 | L |
| 30/05 | La Serena Chile Liga de Primera |
1-1 | 4-2 | 4 | 3 | W |
| 25/05 | Universidad Catolica Chile Liga de Primera |
2-1 | 2-1 | 1 | 7 | W |
| 17/05 | Nublense Chile Liga de Primera |
2-1 | 6-2 | 4 | 1 | W |
| 14/05 | Coquimbo Unido Chile Copa de la Liga |
0-1 | 0-1 | 5 | 5 | L |
| 09/05 | Deportes Concepcion Chile Copa de la Liga |
0-1 | 3-1 | 9 | 1 | W |
| 03/05 | Coquimbo Unido Chile Liga de Primera |
1-0 | 3-1 | 4 | 4 | W |
| 26/04 | Universidad de Concepcion Chile Liga de Primera |
1-0 | 2-1 | 5 | 5 | W |
O'Higgins
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22/06 | Union Espanola Chile Cup |
0-1 | 1-1 | 2 | 1 | D |
| 19/06 | Universidad de Chile Chile Liga de Primera |
0-1 | 0-2 | 3 | 6 | L |
| 13/06 | Coquimbo Unido Chile Liga de Primera |
0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 5 | D |
| 08/06 | Palestino Chile Copa de la Liga |
2-0 | 2-1 | 2 | 3 | W |
| 31/05 | Everton de Vina Chile Liga de Primera |
1-2 | 2-3 | 5 | 5 | L |
| 27/05 | Millonarios Copa Sudamericana |
2-0 | 2-1 | 4 | 8 | W |
| 21/05 | Boston River Copa Sudamericana |
0-2 | 2-3 | 7 | 4 | L |
| 16/05 | Universidad de Concepcion Chile Liga de Primera |
0-1 | 0-1 | 16 | 6 | L |
| 11/05 | Everton de Vina Chile Copa de la Liga |
0-1 | 2-1 | 9 | 6 | W |
| 08/05 | Sao Paulo Copa Sudamericana |
0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 5 | D |