⚽ Football · Chile Cup · 26/06, 01:30
Nublense vs Universidad de Concepcion
51%1
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Nublense 1508 · Universidad de Concepcion 1437
| Nublense | Draw | Universidad de Concepcion | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 57% | 24% | 18% |
| Market | 47% | 26% | 27% |
The bar above blends our model with the market. The 💎 marks where our model beats the market.
🧠 Model analysis
Expected goals2.5Nublense 1.67 · Universidad de Concepcion 0.83
Over / Under 2.5Under 2.5 · 53%
BTTSNo · 54%
Likely score1-0
🔑 Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Nublense (rating 1508 vs 1437).
- H2H favours Nublense: 4-2-0.
- Cards-heavy: 10.1 🟨 combined avg.
📊 Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Nublense | Universidad de Concepcion | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.3 / 1.6 | 1 / 2 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.6 / 0.8 | 0.3 / 1 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/20/50% | 10/20/70% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.2 / 4.3 | 1.9 / 4.3 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.4 / 0.5 | 5.7 / 0.3 |
⚔️ Head-to-head (H2H) · Nublense 4–2–0 Universidad de Concepcion
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 07/06/26 Chile Copa de la Liga | Nublense | 2-1 HT 1-0 | Universidad de Concepcion |
| 23/05/26 Chile Liga de Primera | Nublense | 2-2 HT 2-0 | Universidad de Concepcion |
| 31/03/26 Chile Copa de la Liga | Universidad de Concepcion | 0-2 HT 0-1 | Nublense |
| 06/04/25 Chile Cup | Nublense | 2-0 HT 1-0 | Universidad de Concepcion |
| 31/01/25 Chile Cup | Universidad de Concepcion | 2-3 HT 2-0 | Nublense |
| 13/03/15 Chile Clausura | Universidad de Concepcion | 2-2 HT 2-1 | Nublense |
📅 Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Matches that were 0-0 at half-time are shaded grey.
Nublense
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/06 | Curico Unido Chile Cup |
0-0 | 0-1 | 6 | 3 | L |
| 14/06 | Huachipato Chile Liga de Primera |
1-2 | 2-2 | 10 | 5 | D |
| 07/06 | Universidad de Concepcion Chile Copa de la Liga |
1-0 | 2-1 | 2 | 8 | W |
| 30/05 | Cobresal Chile Liga de Primera |
1-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 5 | W |
| 23/05 | Universidad de Concepcion Chile Liga de Primera |
2-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 4 | D |
| 17/05 | Colo Colo Chile Liga de Primera |
1-2 | 2-6 | 4 | 1 | L |
| 10/05 | Universidad Catolica Chile Copa de la Liga |
0-1 | 1-1 | 4 | 5 | D |
| 03/05 | Cobresal Chile Copa de la Liga |
0-0 | 2-0 | 5 | 6 | W |
| 25/04 | O'Higgins Chile Liga de Primera |
0-2 | 0-2 | 4 | 5 | L |
| 19/04 | Coquimbo Unido Chile Liga de Primera |
0-1 | 1-1 | 2 | 7 | D |
Universidad de Concepcion
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/06 | Rangers de Talca Chile Cup |
0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 8 | L |
| 14/06 | Universidad Catolica Chile Liga de Primera |
1-2 | 1-5 | 3 | 4 | L |
| 07/06 | Nublense Chile Copa de la Liga |
0-1 | 1-2 | 3 | 8 | L |
| 30/05 | Union La Calera Chile Liga de Primera |
0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 5 | D |
| 23/05 | Nublense Chile Liga de Primera |
0-2 | 2-2 | 5 | 4 | D |
| 16/05 | O'Higgins Chile Liga de Primera |
1-0 | 1-0 | 0 | 6 | W |
| 09/05 | Cobresal Chile Copa de la Liga |
0-1 | 1-2 | 5 | 5 | L |
| 03/05 | Universidad Catolica Chile Copa de la Liga |
1-2 | 2-2 | 7 | 12 | D |
| 26/04 | Colo Colo Chile Liga de Primera |
0-1 | 1-2 | 4 | 5 | L |
| 18/04 | Deportes Limache Chile Liga de Primera |
0-1 | 0-3 | 9 | 3 | L |