Football · Chile Cup · 01/07, 00:00
Audax Italiano vs Palestino
40%1
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Audax Italiano 1519 · Palestino 1513
| Audax Italiano | Draw | Palestino | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 40% | 28% | 32% |
| Market | 40% | 28% | 32% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.79 goals · Bet365 line 2.5 · +0.3
The bar above blends our model with the market. The value bets mark where the odds cover the model probability with a margin (value).
Model analysis
Expected goals2.79Audax Italiano 1.48 · Palestino 1.31
Over / Under 2.5Over 2.5 · 50%
BTTSYes · 55%
Most likely total2 goals
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 60%model estimate
Match keys
- H2H favours Audax Italiano: 3-3-0.
- Cards-heavy: 9.2 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Audax Italiano | Palestino | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.2 / 1.3 | 1.6 / 1.1 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.7 / 0.4 | 1 / 0.6 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 40/50/10% | 40/30/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.3 / 4.6 | 2.1 / 4.9 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.7 / 0.4 | 4.5 / 0.4 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Audax Italiano 3–3–0 Palestino
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 24/06/26 Chile Cup | Palestino | 1-2 HT 0-1 | Audax Italiano |
| 01/06/26 Chile Liga de Primera | Palestino | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Audax Italiano |
| 02/08/25 Chile Liga de Primera | Audax Italiano | 1-1 HT 0-0 | Palestino |
| 11/05/25 Chile Cup | Audax Italiano | 2-2 HT 2-0 | Palestino |
| 01/03/25 Chile Liga de Primera | Palestino | 0-2 HT 0-1 | Audax Italiano |
| 27/01/25 Chile Cup | Palestino | 0-2 HT 0-1 | Audax Italiano |
Standings · Chile Cup · Copa Chile 2026, Group G
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Club Deportes Santa Cruz | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 2 | 10 |
| 2 | Audax Italiano | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 6 |
| 3 | Palestino | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 4 |
| 4 | Magallanes | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 12 | 0 |
Common opponents 3 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Audax Italiano | Palestino |
|---|---|---|
| Magallanes | 2-1 W | 4-1 W |
| Club Deportes Santa Cruz | 0-1 L | 0-0 D |
| La Serena | 1-1 D | 5-1 W |
| Record vs common | 1 W 1 D 1 L | 2 W 1 D 0 L |
Better against common opponents: Palestino (3 of 3 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Audax Italiano
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/06 | Magallanes Chile Cup |
2-0 | 2-1 | 3 | 7 | W |
| 24/06 | Palestino Chile Cup |
1-0 | 2-1 | 6 | 9 | W |
| 20/06 | Club Deportes Santa Cruz Chile Cup |
0-0 | 0-1 | 9 | 4 | L |
| 13/06 | La Serena Chile Liga de Primera |
0-0 | 1-1 | 8 | 4 | D |
| 07/06 | Universidad de Chile Chile Copa de la Liga |
2-1 | 2-2 | 3 | 4 | D |
| 01/06 | Palestino Chile Liga de Primera |
0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 5 | D |
| 28/05 | Olimpia Asuncion Copa Sudamericana |
0-0 | 1-3 | 1 | 5 | L |
| 23/05 | Cobresal Chile Liga de Primera |
1-1 | 2-1 | 4 | 1 | W |
| 20/05 | Barracas Central Copa Sudamericana |
1-0 | 2-0 | 3 | 7 | W |
| 16/05 | Coquimbo Unido Chile Liga de Primera |
0-2 | 0-3 | 1 | 5 | L |
Palestino
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/06 | Club Deportes Santa Cruz Chile Cup |
0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 6 | D |
| 24/06 | Audax Italiano Chile Cup |
0-1 | 1-2 | 7 | 9 | L |
| 20/06 | Magallanes Chile Cup |
2-0 | 4-1 | 7 | 3 | W |
| 13/06 | Everton de Vina Chile Liga de Primera |
2-0 | 2-1 | 4 | 6 | W |
| 08/06 | O'Higgins Chile Copa de la Liga |
0-2 | 1-2 | 2 | 3 | L |
| 01/06 | Audax Italiano Chile Liga de Primera |
0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 5 | D |
| 27/05 | Deportivo Riestra Copa Sudamericana |
1-1 | 1-1 | 3 | 5 | D |
| 24/05 | Union La Calera Chile Liga de Primera |
2-1 | 2-1 | 5 | 4 | W |
| 21/05 | Gremio Copa Sudamericana |
0-1 | 0-2 | 10 | 7 | L |
| 16/05 | La Serena Chile Liga de Primera |
3-0 | 5-1 | 2 | 1 | W |