Football · Chile Cup · 01/07, 02:30
Universidad Catolica vs Everton de Vina
59%1
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Universidad Catolica 1627 · Everton de Vina 1504
| Universidad Catolica | Draw | Everton de Vina | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 59% | 22% | 19% |
| Market | 59% | 23% | 18% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.26 goals · Bet365 line 3 · +0.3
The bar above blends our model with the market. The value bets mark where the odds cover the model probability with a margin (value).
Model analysis
Expected goals3.26Universidad Catolica 2.12 · Everton de Vina 1.14
Over / Under 3Over 3 · 50%
BTTSYes · 56%
Most likely total3 goals
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 53%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Universidad Catolica (rating 1627 vs 1504).
- H2H favours Universidad Catolica: 4-1-1.
- High corners: 11.8 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 10.6 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Universidad Catolica | Everton de Vina | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 2.9 / 0.7 | 1.7 / 1.4 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1.3 / 0.5 | 0.6 / 0.8 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 60/30/10% | 30/40/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 3.5 / 5.7 | 2.6 / 6.1 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.8 / 0.7 | 5.8 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Universidad Catolica 4–1–1 Everton de Vina
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 24/06/26 Chile Cup | Everton de Vina | 1-3 HT 0-3 | Universidad Catolica |
| 15/03/26 Chile Liga de Primera | Universidad Catolica | 2-2 HT 1-2 | Everton de Vina |
| 19/10/25 Chile Liga de Primera | Everton de Vina | 0-3 HT 0-2 | Universidad Catolica |
| 11/05/25 Chile Cup | Everton de Vina | 2-1 HT 2-1 | Universidad Catolica |
| 26/04/25 Chile Liga de Primera | Universidad Catolica | 6-0 HT 3-0 | Everton de Vina |
| 26/01/25 Chile Cup | Universidad Catolica | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Everton de Vina |
Standings · Chile Cup · Copa Chile 2026, Group B
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Universidad Catolica | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 3 | 9 |
| 2 | Everton de Vina | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 5 | 4 |
| 3 | Deportes Copiapo | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 4 |
| 4 | San Luis Quillota | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 8 | 2 |
Common opponents 3 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Universidad Catolica | Everton de Vina |
|---|---|---|
| San Luis Quillota | 4-2 W | 2-2 D |
| Deportes Copiapo | 3-0 W | 3-0 W |
| Deportes Limache | 2-0 W | 1-0 W |
| Record vs common | 3 W 0 D 0 L | 2 W 1 D 0 L |
Better against common opponents: Universidad Catolica (2 of 3 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Universidad Catolica
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/06 | San Luis Quillota Chile Cup |
2-1 | 4-2 | 3 | 5 | W |
| 24/06 | Everton de Vina Chile Cup |
3-0 | 3-1 | 2 | 9 | W |
| 20/06 | Deportes Copiapo Chile Cup |
1-0 | 3-0 | 7 | 6 | W |
| 14/06 | Universidad de Concepcion Chile Liga de Primera |
2-1 | 5-1 | 5 | 4 | W |
| 07/06 | Cobresal Chile Copa de la Liga |
1-1 | 5-1 | 7 | 5 | W |
| 31/05 | Huachipato Chile Liga de Primera |
0-0 | 3-0 | 7 | 3 | W |
| 29/05 | Boca Juniors Copa Libertadores |
1-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 4 | W |
| 25/05 | Colo Colo Chile Liga de Primera |
1-2 | 1-2 | 8 | 7 | L |
| 22/05 | Barcelona Guayaquil Copa Libertadores |
0-0 | 2-0 | 9 | 4 | W |
| 17/05 | Deportes Limache Chile Liga de Primera |
2-0 | 2-0 | 7 | 8 | W |
Everton de Vina
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/06 | Deportes Copiapo Chile Cup |
0-0 | 3-0 | 4 | 4 | W |
| 24/06 | Universidad Catolica Chile Cup |
0-3 | 1-3 | 3 | 9 | L |
| 21/06 | San Luis Quillota Chile Cup |
2-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 5 | D |
| 13/06 | Palestino Chile Liga de Primera |
0-2 | 1-2 | 14 | 6 | L |
| 08/06 | Deportes Limache Chile Copa de la Liga |
0-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 3 | W |
| 31/05 | O'Higgins Chile Liga de Primera |
2-1 | 3-2 | 4 | 5 | W |
| 22/05 | Coquimbo Unido Chile Liga de Primera |
0-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 8 | D |
| 18/05 | Deportes Concepcion Chile Liga de Primera |
0-0 | 2-0 | 9 | 3 | W |
| 11/05 | O'Higgins Chile Copa de la Liga |
1-0 | 1-2 | 7 | 6 | L |
| 02/05 | Palestino Chile Copa de la Liga |
1-2 | 2-2 | 10 | 10 | D |