Football · Chile Cup · 02/07, 00:00
Cobresal vs La Serena
55%1
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Cobresal 1448 · La Serena 1420
| Cobresal | Draw | La Serena | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 55% | 26% | 19% |
| Market | 55% | 26% | 19% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.64 goals · Bet365 line 2.5
The bar above blends our model with the market. The value bets mark where the odds cover the model probability with a margin (value).
Model analysis
Expected goals2.64Cobresal 1.72 · La Serena 0.92
Over / Under 2.5Under 2.5 · 52%
BTTSYes · 52%
Most likely total2 goals
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 62%model estimate
Match keys
- H2H favours Cobresal: 3-2-1.
- Cards-heavy: 8.5 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Cobresal | La Serena | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.5 / 1.7 | 1 / 2.6 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.3 / 0.7 | 0.6 / 1.3 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 10/60/30% | 10/50/40% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.9 / 5 | 2.4 / 5 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.8 / 0.1 | 4.7 / 0.3 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Cobresal 3–2–1 La Serena
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 24/06/26 Chile Cup | La Serena | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Cobresal |
| 27/02/26 Chile Liga de Primera | Cobresal | 0-1 HT 0-1 | La Serena |
| 24/01/26 America Friendlies | La Serena | 2-3 HT 0-1 | Cobresal |
| 26/07/25 Chile Liga de Primera | La Serena | 0-2 HT 0-1 | Cobresal |
| 11/05/25 Chile Cup | La Serena | 1-1 HT 0-1 | Cobresal |
| 23/02/25 Chile Liga de Primera | Cobresal | 3-1 HT 1-0 | La Serena |
Standings · Chile Cup · Copa Chile 2026, Group C
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | CD Antofagasta | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 3 | 10 |
| 2 | Cobreloa | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 4 |
| 3 | La Serena | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 4 |
| 4 | Cobresal | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 1 |
Common opponents 5 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Cobresal | La Serena |
|---|---|---|
| CD Antofagasta | 0-1 L | 2-4 L |
| Cobreloa | 0-2 L | 2-1 W |
| Colo Colo | 0-3 L | 2-4 L |
| Audax Italiano | 1-2 L | 1-1 D |
| Universidad de Chile | 1-0 W | 0-5 L |
| Record vs common | 1 W 0 D 4 L | 1 W 1 D 3 L |
Better against common opponents: La Serena (3 of 5 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Cobresal
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/06 | CD Antofagasta Chile Cup |
0-1 | 0-1 | 9 | 5 | L |
| 24/06 | La Serena Chile Cup |
0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 4 | D |
| 20/06 | Cobreloa Chile Cup |
0-0 | 0-2 | 5 | 5 | L |
| 13/06 | Colo Colo Chile Liga de Primera |
0-3 | 0-3 | 2 | 0 | L |
| 07/06 | Universidad Catolica Chile Copa de la Liga |
1-1 | 1-5 | 7 | 5 | L |
| 30/05 | Nublense Chile Liga de Primera |
0-1 | 0-1 | 9 | 5 | L |
| 23/05 | Audax Italiano Chile Liga de Primera |
1-1 | 1-2 | 3 | 1 | L |
| 17/05 | Universidad de Chile Chile Liga de Primera |
0-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 3 | W |
| 09/05 | Universidad de Concepcion Chile Copa de la Liga |
1-0 | 2-1 | 2 | 5 | W |
| 03/05 | Nublense Chile Copa de la Liga |
0-0 | 0-2 | 2 | 6 | L |
La Serena
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/06 | Cobreloa Chile Cup |
2-0 | 2-1 | 4 | 8 | W |
| 24/06 | Cobresal Chile Cup |
0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 4 | D |
| 21/06 | CD Antofagasta Chile Cup |
1-2 | 2-4 | 7 | 4 | L |
| 13/06 | Audax Italiano Chile Liga de Primera |
0-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 4 | D |
| 07/06 | Union La Calera Chile Copa de la Liga |
0-2 | 0-2 | 7 | 8 | L |
| 30/05 | Colo Colo Chile Liga de Primera |
1-1 | 2-4 | 2 | 3 | L |
| 16/05 | Palestino Chile Liga de Primera |
0-3 | 1-5 | 4 | 1 | L |
| 09/05 | Audax Italiano Chile Copa de la Liga |
2-2 | 2-4 | 5 | 6 | L |
| 02/05 | Universidad de Chile Chile Copa de la Liga |
0-3 | 0-5 | 7 | 7 | L |
| 26/04 | Huachipato Chile Liga de Primera |
0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 5 | D |