Football · Chile Cup · 02/07, 00:00
Deportes Limache vs Coquimbo Unido
47%2
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Deportes Limache 1442 · Coquimbo Unido 1562
| Deportes Limache | Draw | Coquimbo Unido | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 27% | 26% | 47% |
| Market | 26% | 28% | 46% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.02 goals · Bet365 line 2.5 · +0.5
The bar above blends our model with the market. The value bets mark where the odds cover the model probability with a margin (value).
Model analysis
Expected goals3.02Deportes Limache 1.28 · Coquimbo Unido 1.75
Over / Under 2.5Over 2.5 · 54%
BTTSYes · 56%
Most likely total3 goals
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 60%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Coquimbo Unido (rating 1442 vs 1562).
- H2H favours Coquimbo Unido: 3-1-2.
- Cards-heavy: 7.8 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Deportes Limache | Coquimbo Unido | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.4 / 2.1 | 1.7 / 0.6 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.6 / 0.9 | 0.7 / 0.3 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/50/30% | 40/40/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.9 / 4 | 3.8 / 6.3 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.6 / 0.5 | 4.2 / 0.4 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Deportes Limache 2–1–3 Coquimbo Unido
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 23/06/26 Chile Cup | Coquimbo Unido | 1-1 HT 0-1 | Deportes Limache |
| 31/05/26 Chile Liga de Primera | Deportes Limache | 2-3 HT 1-1 | Coquimbo Unido |
| 21/01/26 Chile Super Cup | Coquimbo Unido | 3-2 HT 1-1 | Deportes Limache |
| 02/08/25 Chile Liga de Primera | Coquimbo Unido | 2-1 HT 0-1 | Deportes Limache |
| 13/07/25 Chile Cup | Coquimbo Unido | 2-3 HT 0-1 | Deportes Limache |
| 11/07/25 Chile Cup | Deportes Limache | 2-1 HT 2-1 | Coquimbo Unido |
Standings · Chile Cup · Copa Chile 2026, Group A
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Deportes Iquique | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 4 | 7 |
| 2 | Coquimbo Unido | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 7 |
| 3 | Deportes Limache | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 6 | 4 |
| 4 | San Marcos De Arica | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 8 | 1 |
Common opponents 6 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Deportes Limache | Coquimbo Unido |
|---|---|---|
| Deportes Iquique | 1-4 L | 3-0 W |
| San Marcos De Arica | 3-1 W | 1-0 W |
| Deportes Concepcion | 2-3 L | 2-1 W |
| Everton de Vina | 0-1 L | 1-1 D |
| O'Higgins | 1-1 D | 0-0 D |
| Audax Italiano | 2-2 D | 3-0 W |
| Record vs common | 1 W 2 D 3 L | 4 W 2 D 0 L |
Better against common opponents: Coquimbo Unido (4 of 6 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Deportes Limache
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/06 | Deportes Iquique Chile Cup |
0-2 | 1-4 | 9 | 2 | L |
| 23/06 | Coquimbo Unido Chile Cup |
1-0 | 1-1 | 1 | 2 | D |
| 20/06 | San Marcos De Arica Chile Cup |
1-1 | 3-1 | 3 | 7 | W |
| 14/06 | Deportes Concepcion Chile Liga de Primera |
0-1 | 2-3 | 3 | 1 | L |
| 08/06 | Everton de Vina Chile Copa de la Liga |
0-0 | 0-1 | 8 | 3 | L |
| 31/05 | Coquimbo Unido Chile Liga de Primera |
1-1 | 2-3 | 4 | 6 | L |
| 17/05 | Universidad Catolica Chile Liga de Primera |
0-2 | 0-2 | 2 | 8 | L |
| 12/05 | Palestino Chile Copa de la Liga |
2-1 | 2-3 | 1 | 5 | L |
| 04/05 | O'Higgins Chile Copa de la Liga |
0-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 3 | D |
| 25/04 | Audax Italiano Chile Liga de Primera |
1-1 | 2-2 | 4 | 4 | D |
Coquimbo Unido
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/06 | San Marcos De Arica Chile Cup |
0-0 | 1-0 | 6 | 3 | W |
| 23/06 | Deportes Limache Chile Cup |
0-1 | 1-1 | 12 | 2 | D |
| 20/06 | Deportes Iquique Chile Cup |
1-0 | 3-0 | 4 | 2 | W |
| 13/06 | O'Higgins Chile Liga de Primera |
0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 5 | D |
| 06/06 | Deportes Concepcion Chile Copa de la Liga |
1-0 | 2-1 | 3 | 5 | W |
| 31/05 | Deportes Limache Chile Liga de Primera |
1-1 | 3-2 | 5 | 6 | W |
| 27/05 | Nacional De Football Copa Libertadores |
0-1 | 0-1 | 8 | 6 | L |
| 22/05 | Everton de Vina Chile Liga de Primera |
0-0 | 1-1 | 7 | 8 | D |
| 20/05 | Deportes Tolima Copa Libertadores |
2-0 | 3-0 | 3 | 4 | W |
| 16/05 | Audax Italiano Chile Liga de Primera |
2-0 | 3-0 | 8 | 5 | W |