Football · Chile Cup · 03/07, 00:00
Huachipato vs Deportes Concepcion
Expected goals: 2.52 (Huachipato 1.58 · Deportes Concepcion 0.94). The model gives 51% home, 27% draw, 22% away. Over 2.5 goals (50%) and both teams to score (52%). Most likely score: 1-1.
51%1
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Huachipato 1489 · Deportes Concepcion 1469
| Huachipato | Draw | Deportes Concepcion | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 51% | 28% | 21% |
| Market | 52% | 27% | 22% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.52 goals · Bet365 line 2.5
The bar above blends our model with the market. The value bets mark where the odds cover the model probability with a margin (value).
Model analysis
Expected goals2.52Huachipato 1.58 · Deportes Concepcion 0.94
Over / Under 2.5Over 2.5 · 50%
BTTSYes · 52%
Most likely total2 goals
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 73%model estimate
Match keys
- H2H favours Deportes Concepcion: 3-1-2.
- Cards-heavy: 9.5 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Huachipato | Deportes Concepcion | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.3 / 1.5 | 1.2 / 1.7 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.5 / 0.6 | 0.5 / 0.3 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/30/40% | 40/40/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.8 / 4.5 | 1.9 / 4.8 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 5 / 0.5 | 4.5 / 0.6 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Huachipato 2–1–3 Deportes Concepcion
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 25/06/26 Chile Cup | Huachipato | 2-3 HT 0-1 | Deportes Concepcion |
| 24/05/26 Chile Liga de Primera | Deportes Concepcion | 2-0 HT 1-0 | Huachipato |
| 05/05/26 Chile Copa de la Liga | Deportes Concepcion | 0-1 HT 0-0 | Huachipato |
| 21/03/26 Chile Copa de la Liga | Huachipato | 2-2 HT 1-1 | Deportes Concepcion |
| 08/10/25 Chile Regional Cup | Deportes Concepcion | 1-0 HT 1-0 | Huachipato |
| 11/07/25 Chile Cup | Huachipato | 2-0 HT 0-0 | Deportes Concepcion |
Standings · Chile Cup · Copa Chile 2026, Group H
Swipe the table sideways →
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Puerto Montt | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 3 | 7 |
| 2 | Deportes Temuco | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 5 |
| 3 | Deportes Concepcion | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 4 |
| 4 | Huachipato | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 3 |
Common opponents 4 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Huachipato | Deportes Concepcion |
|---|---|---|
| Deportes Temuco | 2-0 W | 1-1 D |
| Puerto Montt | 0-2 L | 0-2 L |
| Colo Colo | 1-0 W | 1-3 L |
| Coquimbo Unido | 2-2 D | 1-2 L |
| Record vs common | 2 W 1 D 1 L | 0 W 1 D 3 L |
Better against common opponents: Huachipato (3 of 4 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Huachipato
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/06 | Deportes Temuco Chile Cup |
1-0 | 2-0 | 2 | 3 | W |
| 25/06 | Deportes Concepcion Chile Cup |
0-1 | 2-3 | 6 | 7 | L |
| 21/06 | Puerto Montt Chile Cup |
0-0 | 0-2 | 8 | 7 | L |
| 14/06 | Nublense Chile Liga de Primera |
2-1 | 2-2 | 7 | 5 | D |
| 07/06 | Colo Colo Chile Copa de la Liga |
1-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 6 | W |
| 31/05 | Universidad Catolica Chile Liga de Primera |
0-0 | 0-3 | 8 | 3 | L |
| 24/05 | Deportes Concepcion Chile Liga de Primera |
0-1 | 0-2 | 3 | 6 | L |
| 17/05 | Union La Calera Chile Liga de Primera |
0-1 | 3-1 | 2 | 7 | W |
| 10/05 | Coquimbo Unido Chile Copa de la Liga |
1-2 | 2-2 | 4 | 3 | D |
| 05/05 | Deportes Concepcion Chile Copa de la Liga |
0-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 8 | W |
Deportes Concepcion
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/06 | Puerto Montt Chile Cup |
0-0 | 0-2 | 7 | 5 | L |
| 25/06 | Huachipato Chile Cup |
1-0 | 3-2 | 1 | 7 | W |
| 21/06 | Deportes Temuco Chile Cup |
1-1 | 1-1 | 7 | 5 | D |
| 14/06 | Deportes Limache Chile Liga de Primera |
1-0 | 3-2 | 7 | 1 | W |
| 06/06 | Coquimbo Unido Chile Copa de la Liga |
0-1 | 1-2 | 8 | 5 | L |
| 30/05 | Universidad de Chile Chile Liga de Primera |
0-1 | 1-2 | 1 | 10 | L |
| 24/05 | Huachipato Chile Liga de Primera |
1-0 | 2-0 | 5 | 6 | W |
| 18/05 | Everton de Vina Chile Liga de Primera |
0-0 | 0-2 | 4 | 3 | L |
| 09/05 | Colo Colo Chile Copa de la Liga |
1-0 | 1-3 | 4 | 1 | L |
| 05/05 | Huachipato Chile Copa de la Liga |
0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 8 | L |