Football · Chile Cup · 27/06, 23:00
Deportes Limache vs Deportes Iquique
57%1
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Deportes Limache 1467 · Deportes Iquique 1472
| Deportes Limache | Draw | Deportes Iquique | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 57% | 23% | 19% |
| Market | 56% | 25% | 19% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.09 goals · Bet365 line 2.5 · +0.6
The bar above blends our model with the market. The value bets mark where the odds cover the model probability with a margin (value).
Model analysis
Expected goals3.09Deportes Limache 2 · Deportes Iquique 1.1
Over / Under 2.5Over 2.5 · 55%
BTTSYes · 55%
Most likely total3 goals
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 60%model estimate
Match keys
- Early goals: 1.2 combined avg at HT (0.7 + 0.5) → Over 0.5 HT.
- Both score and concede often → consider BTTS.
- Cards-heavy: 7.9 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Deportes Limache | Deportes Iquique | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.6 / 1.7 | 1.2 / 1.7 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.7 / 0.7 | 0.5 / 0.7 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/50/20% | 20/50/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.9 / 3.9 | 2.5 / 5.8 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.7 / 0.5 | 4.2 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Deportes Limache 1–0–1 Deportes Iquique
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 31/08/25 Chile Liga de Primera | Deportes Iquique | 2-1 HT 0-1 | Deportes Limache |
| 15/04/25 Chile Liga de Primera | Deportes Limache | 2-0 HT 0-0 | Deportes Iquique |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Deportes Limache
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23/06 | Coquimbo Unido Chile Cup |
1-0 | 1-1 | 1 | 2 | D |
| 20/06 | San Marcos De Arica Chile Cup |
1-1 | 3-1 | 3 | 7 | W |
| 14/06 | Deportes Concepcion Chile Liga de Primera |
0-1 | 2-3 | 3 | 1 | L |
| 08/06 | Everton de Vina Chile Copa de la Liga |
0-0 | 0-1 | 8 | 3 | L |
| 31/05 | Coquimbo Unido Chile Liga de Primera |
1-1 | 2-3 | 4 | 6 | L |
| 17/05 | Universidad Catolica Chile Liga de Primera |
0-2 | 0-2 | 2 | 8 | L |
| 12/05 | Palestino Chile Copa de la Liga |
2-1 | 2-3 | 1 | 5 | L |
| 04/05 | O'Higgins Chile Copa de la Liga |
0-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 3 | D |
| 25/04 | Audax Italiano Chile Liga de Primera |
1-1 | 2-2 | 4 | 4 | D |
| 18/04 | Universidad de Concepcion Chile Liga de Primera |
1-0 | 3-0 | 8 | 3 | W |
Deportes Iquique
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/06 | Coquimbo Unido Chile Cup |
0-1 | 0-3 | 4 | 2 | L |
| 07/06 | Deportes Recoleta Chile Primera B |
1-0 | 1-1 | 6 | 5 | D |
| 31/05 | Magallanes Chile Primera B |
0-2 | 3-4 | 6 | 4 | L |
| 23/05 | Curico Unido Chile Primera B |
0-0 | 1-1 | 12 | 2 | D |
| 19/05 | Union Espanola Chile Primera B |
1-0 | 1-2 | 6 | 6 | L |
| 09/05 | Rangers de Talca Chile Primera B |
0-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 4 | D |
| 02/05 | Club Deportes Santa Cruz Chile Primera B |
1-2 | 2-2 | 3 | 4 | D |
| 28/04 | Santiago Wanderers Chile Primera B |
1-1 | 2-1 | 7 | 8 | W |
| 20/04 | San Luis Quillota Chile Primera B |
1-1 | 1-2 | 6 | 4 | L |
| 12/04 | Puerto Montt Chile Primera B |
0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 4 | D |