⚽ Football · Chile Cup · 28/06, 18:30
Cobresal vs CD Antofagasta
48%1
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Cobresal 1442 · CD Antofagasta 1522
| Cobresal | Draw | CD Antofagasta | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 31% | 30% | 39% |
| Market | 61% | 22% | 17% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.42 goals · Bet365 line 2.5
The bar above blends our model with the market. The 💎 marks where our model sees the odds underpriced (possible value).
🧠 Model analysis
Expected goals2.42Cobresal 1.13 · CD Antofagasta 1.29
Most likely total2 goals
🔑 Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours CD Antofagasta (rating 1442 vs 1522).
- H2H favours Cobresal: 4-0-2.
- High corners: 10.6 combined avg → Over corners.
- Cards-heavy: 9.2 🟨 combined avg.
📊 Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Cobresal | CD Antofagasta | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.6 / 1.9 | 1.5 / 1.1 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.4 / 0.8 | 0.6 / 0.5 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 10/60/30% | 30/50/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.4 / 4.5 | 3.1 / 6.1 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.8 / 0.1 | 5.4 / 0.1 |
⚔️ Head-to-head (H2H) · Cobresal 4–0–2 CD Antofagasta
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 04/07/22 Chile Liga de Primera | Cobresal | 2-1 HT 1-1 | CD Antofagasta |
| 06/02/22 Chile Liga de Primera | CD Antofagasta | 0-1 HT 0-0 | Cobresal |
| 25/09/21 Chile Liga de Primera | Cobresal | 2-0 HT 2-0 | CD Antofagasta |
| 24/04/21 Chile Liga de Primera | CD Antofagasta | 2-1 HT 1-0 | Cobresal |
| 15/01/21 Chile Liga de Primera | Cobresal | 3-1 HT 1-0 | CD Antofagasta |
| 03/10/20 Chile Liga de Primera | CD Antofagasta | 2-1 HT 0-1 | Cobresal |
📅 Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Matches that were 0-0 at half-time are shaded grey.
Cobresal
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/06 | La Serena Chile Cup |
0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 4 | D |
| 20/06 | Cobreloa Chile Cup |
0-0 | 0-2 | 5 | 5 | L |
| 13/06 | Colo Colo Chile Liga de Primera |
0-3 | 0-3 | 2 | 0 | L |
| 07/06 | Universidad Catolica Chile Copa de la Liga |
1-1 | 1-5 | 7 | 5 | L |
| 30/05 | Nublense Chile Liga de Primera |
0-1 | 0-1 | 9 | 5 | L |
| 23/05 | Audax Italiano Chile Liga de Primera |
1-1 | 1-2 | 3 | 1 | L |
| 17/05 | Universidad de Chile Chile Liga de Primera |
0-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 3 | W |
| 09/05 | Universidad de Concepcion Chile Copa de la Liga |
1-0 | 2-1 | 2 | 5 | W |
| 03/05 | Nublense Chile Copa de la Liga |
0-0 | 0-2 | 2 | 6 | L |
| 26/04 | Everton de Vina Chile Liga de Primera |
1-2 | 1-3 | 4 | 5 | L |
CD Antofagasta
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/06 | La Serena Chile Cup |
2-1 | 4-2 | 2 | 4 | W |
| 07/06 | Magallanes Chile Primera B |
0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 6 | D |
| 02/06 | Curico Unido Chile Primera B |
0-0 | 0-1 | 6 | 8 | L |
| 24/05 | Club Deportes Santa Cruz Chile Primera B |
1-0 | 1-1 | 7 | 7 | D |
| 17/05 | San Marcos De Arica Chile Primera B |
0-0 | 1-1 | 7 | 4 | D |
| 10/05 | San Luis Quillota Chile Primera B |
2-0 | 3-1 | 4 | 2 | W |
| 03/05 | Cobreloa Chile Primera B |
0-1 | 0-2 | 10 | 5 | L |
| 26/04 | Deportes Recoleta Chile Primera B |
0-0 | 2-0 | 5 | 7 | W |
| 19/04 | Deportes Copiapo Chile Primera B |
0-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 6 | W |
| 12/04 | Deportes Temuco Chile Primera B |
1-3 | 3-3 | 6 | 6 | D |