Football · Chile Cup · 28/06, 23:00
Rangers de Talca vs Nublense
42%2
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Rangers de Talca 1426 · Nublense 1507
| Rangers de Talca | Draw | Nublense | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 31% | 27% | 42% |
| Market | 30% | 28% | 41% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.86 goals · Bet365 line 2.5 · +0.4
The bar above blends our model with the market. The value bets mark where the odds cover the model probability with a margin (value).
Model analysis
Expected goals2.86Rangers de Talca 1.3 · Nublense 1.55
Over / Under 2.5Over 2.5 · 53%
BTTSYes · 55%
Most likely total2 goals
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 66%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Nublense (rating 1426 vs 1507).
- H2H favours Rangers de Talca: 3-1-2.
- High corners: 10.9 combined avg → Over corners.
- Cards-heavy: 9.1 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Rangers de Talca | Nublense | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.8 / 1.6 | 1.6 / 1.7 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.1 / 0.6 | 0.7 / 0.8 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 0/60/40% | 30/30/40% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.5 / 6.1 | 2.4 / 4.8 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.9 / 0.1 | 4.2 / 0.4 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Rangers de Talca 3–1–2 Nublense
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 19/01/25 America Friendlies | Nublense | 1-2 HT 1-0 | Rangers de Talca |
| 30/06/24 Chile Cup | Nublense | 4-0 HT 3-0 | Rangers de Talca |
| 27/06/24 Chile Cup | Rangers de Talca | 1-1 HT 1-0 | Nublense |
| 24/11/20 Chile Primera B | Nublense | 4-2 HT 1-1 | Rangers de Talca |
| 07/03/20 Chile Primera B | Rangers de Talca | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Nublense |
| 14/02/20 World Club Friendlies | Rangers de Talca | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Nublense |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Rangers de Talca
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/06 | Universidad de Concepcion Chile Cup |
0-0 | 2-1 | 4 | 8 | W |
| 07/06 | Club Deportes Santa Cruz Chile Primera B |
0-0 | 0-1 | 7 | 5 | L |
| 31/05 | Cobreloa Chile Primera B |
0-2 | 0-2 | 5 | 6 | L |
| 23/05 | Santiago Wanderers Chile Primera B |
0-1 | 0-2 | 6 | 6 | L |
| 16/05 | Union San Felipe Chile Primera B |
0-1 | 1-2 | 6 | 4 | L |
| 09/05 | Deportes Iquique Chile Primera B |
0-0 | 1-1 | 6 | 4 | D |
| 03/05 | Puerto Montt Chile Primera B |
0-0 | 0-1 | 5 | 5 | L |
| 26/04 | Deportes Temuco Chile Primera B |
0-0 | 1-2 | 6 | 3 | L |
| 18/04 | Union Espanola Chile Primera B |
1-1 | 1-1 | 9 | 4 | D |
| 13/04 | San Marcos De Arica Chile Primera B |
0-1 | 2-3 | 7 | 5 | L |
Nublense
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/06 | Universidad de Concepcion Chile Cup |
1-1 | 4-2 | 7 | 4 | W |
| 21/06 | Curico Unido Chile Cup |
0-0 | 0-1 | 6 | 3 | L |
| 14/06 | Huachipato Chile Liga de Primera |
1-2 | 2-2 | 10 | 5 | D |
| 07/06 | Universidad de Concepcion Chile Copa de la Liga |
1-0 | 2-1 | 2 | 8 | W |
| 30/05 | Cobresal Chile Liga de Primera |
1-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 5 | W |
| 23/05 | Universidad de Concepcion Chile Liga de Primera |
2-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 4 | D |
| 17/05 | Colo Colo Chile Liga de Primera |
1-2 | 2-6 | 4 | 1 | L |
| 10/05 | Universidad Catolica Chile Copa de la Liga |
0-1 | 1-1 | 4 | 5 | D |
| 03/05 | Cobresal Chile Copa de la Liga |
0-0 | 2-0 | 5 | 6 | W |
| 25/04 | O'Higgins Chile Liga de Primera |
0-2 | 0-2 | 4 | 5 | L |