Football · Chile Cup · 28/06, 23:00
O'Higgins vs Deportes Recoleta
63%1
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · O'Higgins 1492 · Deportes Recoleta 1470
| O'Higgins | Draw | Deportes Recoleta | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 62% | 22% | 16% |
| Market | 63% | 20% | 17% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.03 goals · Bet365 line 3
The bar above blends our model with the market. The value bets mark where the odds cover the model probability with a margin (value).
Model analysis
Expected goals3.03O'Higgins 2.08 · Deportes Recoleta 0.96
Over / Under 3Under 3 · 52%
BTTSYes · 54%
Most likely total3 goals
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 58%model estimate
Match keys
- Both score and concede often → consider BTTS.
- High corners: 10.7 combined avg → Over corners.
- Cards-heavy: 9.5 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| O'Higgins | Deportes Recoleta | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.3 / 1.6 | 1.2 / 1.6 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.5 / 1 | 0.5 / 0.9 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/10/70% | 10/60/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.7 / 5.3 | 1.8 / 5.4 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.3 / 0.4 | 5.2 / 0.1 |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
O'Higgins
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/06 | Colo Colo Chile Cup |
0-2 | 2-3 | 3 | 3 | L |
| 22/06 | Union Espanola Chile Cup |
0-1 | 1-1 | 2 | 1 | D |
| 19/06 | Universidad de Chile Chile Liga de Primera |
0-1 | 0-2 | 3 | 6 | L |
| 13/06 | Coquimbo Unido Chile Liga de Primera |
0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 5 | D |
| 08/06 | Palestino Chile Copa de la Liga |
2-0 | 2-1 | 2 | 3 | W |
| 31/05 | Everton de Vina Chile Liga de Primera |
1-2 | 2-3 | 5 | 5 | L |
| 27/05 | Millonarios Copa Sudamericana |
2-0 | 2-1 | 4 | 8 | W |
| 21/05 | Boston River Copa Sudamericana |
0-2 | 2-3 | 7 | 4 | L |
| 16/05 | Universidad de Concepcion Chile Liga de Primera |
0-1 | 0-1 | 16 | 6 | L |
| 11/05 | Everton de Vina Chile Copa de la Liga |
0-1 | 2-1 | 9 | 6 | W |
Deportes Recoleta
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/06 | Colo Colo Chile Cup |
0-2 | 0-3 | 3 | 3 | L |
| 07/06 | Deportes Iquique Chile Primera B |
0-1 | 1-1 | 5 | 5 | D |
| 30/05 | San Luis Quillota Chile Primera B |
0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | D |
| 21/05 | Cobreloa Chile Primera B |
1-1 | 2-2 | 7 | 7 | D |
| 16/05 | Magallanes Chile Primera B |
0-2 | 2-3 | 6 | 8 | L |
| 09/05 | Club Deportes Santa Cruz Chile Primera B |
1-0 | 1-0 | 7 | 9 | W |
| 05/05 | San Marcos De Arica Chile Primera B |
0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 3 | L |
| 26/04 | CD Antofagasta Chile Primera B |
0-0 | 0-2 | 11 | 7 | L |
| 18/04 | Curico Unido Chile Primera B |
1-1 | 2-2 | 4 | 6 | D |
| 12/04 | Deportes Copiapo Chile Primera B |
2-2 | 4-2 | 2 | 4 | W |