Football · Chile Cup · 29/06, 02:00
Puerto Montt vs Deportes Concepcion
38%2
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Puerto Montt 1502 · Deportes Concepcion 1492
| Puerto Montt | Draw | Deportes Concepcion | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 32% | 31% | 37% |
| Market | 33% | 28% | 39% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.31 goals · Bet365 line 2 · +0.3
The bar above blends our model with the market. The value bets mark where the odds cover the model probability with a margin (value).
Model analysis
Expected goals2.31Puerto Montt 1.1 · Deportes Concepcion 1.21
Over / Under 2Over 2 · 54%
BTTSYes · 51%
Most likely total2 goals
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 73%model estimate
Match keys
- Cards-heavy: 9 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Puerto Montt | Deportes Concepcion | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.9 / 1 | 1.3 / 1.5 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.4 / 0.5 | 0.6 / 0.3 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/50/30% | 50/30/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.4 / 4.9 | 1.7 / 4.1 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.5 / 0.8 | 4.5 / 0.6 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Puerto Montt 0–3–1 Deportes Concepcion
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 11/08/24 Chile Segunda | Deportes Concepcion | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Puerto Montt |
| 30/03/24 Chile Segunda | Puerto Montt | 1-1 HT 0-0 | Deportes Concepcion |
| 09/04/16 Chile Primera B | Puerto Montt | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Deportes Concepcion |
| 08/11/15 Chile Primera B | Deportes Concepcion | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Puerto Montt |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Puerto Montt
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/06 | Huachipato Chile Cup |
0-0 | 2-0 | 6 | 7 | W |
| 06/06 | Cobreloa Chile Primera B |
0-0 | 1-1 | 9 | 6 | D |
| 30/05 | Union San Felipe Chile Primera B |
0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 1 | L |
| 24/05 | San Marcos De Arica Chile Primera B |
0-2 | 0-2 | 3 | 4 | L |
| 17/05 | San Luis Quillota Chile Primera B |
1-2 | 1-4 | 3 | 7 | L |
| 09/05 | Magallanes Chile Primera B |
2-0 | 2-0 | 3 | 10 | W |
| 03/05 | Rangers de Talca Chile Primera B |
0-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 5 | W |
| 26/04 | Curico Unido Chile Primera B |
0-1 | 1-2 | 5 | 4 | L |
| 21/04 | Deportes Temuco Chile Primera B |
1-0 | 1-0 | 6 | 5 | W |
| 12/04 | Deportes Iquique Chile Primera B |
0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 4 | D |
Deportes Concepcion
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/06 | Huachipato Chile Cup |
1-0 | 3-2 | 1 | 7 | W |
| 21/06 | Deportes Temuco Chile Cup |
1-1 | 1-1 | 7 | 5 | D |
| 14/06 | Deportes Limache Chile Liga de Primera |
1-0 | 3-2 | 7 | 1 | W |
| 06/06 | Coquimbo Unido Chile Copa de la Liga |
0-1 | 1-2 | 8 | 5 | L |
| 30/05 | Universidad de Chile Chile Liga de Primera |
0-1 | 1-2 | 1 | 10 | L |
| 24/05 | Huachipato Chile Liga de Primera |
1-0 | 2-0 | 5 | 6 | W |
| 18/05 | Everton de Vina Chile Liga de Primera |
0-0 | 0-2 | 4 | 3 | L |
| 09/05 | Colo Colo Chile Copa de la Liga |
1-0 | 1-3 | 4 | 1 | L |
| 05/05 | Huachipato Chile Copa de la Liga |
0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 8 | L |
| 24/04 | Palestino Chile Liga de Primera |
1-0 | 1-0 | 0 | 5 | W |