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Football · Lithuania 1 Lyga · 01/07, 17:00

FK Siauliai II vs FK Tauras

Expected goals: 3.22 (FK Siauliai II 0.88 · FK Tauras 2.34). The model gives 12% home, 18% draw, 70% away. Under 3 goals (51%) and both teams to score (53%). Most likely score: 0-2.

70%2
12% 18% 70%
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · FK Siauliai II 1421 · FK Tauras 1529
FK Siauliai IIDrawFK Tauras
Our model12%19%69%
Market13%17%70%
Estimated total (ours) 3.22 goals · Bet365 line 3 · +0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market. The value bets mark where the odds cover the model probability with a margin (value).

Model analysis
Expected goals3.22FK Siauliai II 0.88 · FK Tauras 2.34
Over / Under 3Under 3 · 51%
BTTSYes · 53%
Most likely total3 goals
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 61%model estimate

Match keys

  • Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours FK Tauras (rating 1421 vs 1529).
  • H2H favours FK Tauras: 2-1-1.
  • Cards-heavy: 6.1 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

FK Siauliai IIFK Tauras
Goals for / against (FT)1.1 / 2.31.8 / 1.4
Goals for / against (HT)0.4 / 0.80.7 / 0.7
Half-time result (W/D/L)10/50/40%30/40/30%
Corners (HT / FT)1.7 / 3.82.2 / 5.9
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)2.3 / 03.8 / 0

Head-to-head (H2H) · FK Siauliai II 1–1–2 FK Tauras

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DateHomeScoreAway
26/07/25
Lithuania 1 Lyga
FK Tauras4-0
HT 3-0
FK Siauliai II
16/03/25
Lithuania 1 Lyga
FK Siauliai II0-0
HT 0-0
FK Tauras
25/10/24
Lithuania 1 Lyga
FK Siauliai II3-1
HT 0-1
FK Tauras
08/06/24
Lithuania 1 Lyga
FK Tauras5-0
HT 2-0
FK Siauliai II

Standings · Lithuania 1 Lyga

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 FK Minija 151311 39940
2 FK Babrungas 151230 26439
3 FK BE1 14923 271529
4 FK Neptunas Klaipeda 15915 201728
5 DFK Dainava 15834 261527
6 FK Tauras 14815 241525
7 FK Garliava 15645 221422
8 FK Atmosfera 14635 231621
9 BFA Vilnius 14617 152419
10 Lietava Jonava 15456 182017
11 FK Zalgiris Vilnius II 14437 182415
12 FK Transinvest II 15429 133614
13 FC Hegelmann II 14419 152913
14 FK Ekranas 142111 15267
15 FK Kauno Zalgiris II 152112 7247
16 FK Siauliai II 14149 12327

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentFK Siauliai IIFK Tauras
FK Transinvest II 1-2 L 1-0 W
FK Ekranas 2-2 D 2-1 W
FK BE1 2-5 L 0-1 L
FC Hegelmann II 2-0 W 6-1 W
FK Minija 1-3 L 1-2 L
Lietava Jonava 2-2 D 2-0 W
Record vs common 1 W 2 D 3 L 4 W 0 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: FK Tauras (6 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

FK Siauliai II

DLWLDLDLLL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
27/06 FK Babrungas
Lithuania 1 Lyga
 0-1 0-1 53 L
21/06 DFK Dainava
Lithuania 1 Lyga
 0-1 0-5 52 L
14/06 FK Transinvest II
Lithuania 1 Lyga
 1-1 1-2 75 L
29/05 FK Garliava
Lithuania 1 Lyga
 1-1 1-1 03 D
24/05 FK Kauno Zalgiris II
Lithuania 1 Lyga
 0-0 0-2 42 L
17/05 FK Ekranas
Lithuania 1 Lyga
 0-1 2-2 51 D
08/05 FK BE1
Lithuania 1 Lyga
 0-2 2-5 12 L
03/05 FC Hegelmann II
Lithuania 1 Lyga
 0-0 2-0 52 W
25/04 FK Minija
Lithuania 1 Lyga
 0-0 1-3 52 L
19/04 Lietava Jonava
Lithuania 1 Lyga
 2-1 2-2 11 D

FK Tauras

LLWDWLWLWW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
27/06 FK Transinvest II
Lithuania 1 Lyga
 0-0 1-0 113 W
20/06 FK Ekranas
Lithuania 1 Lyga
 1-1 2-1 43 W
12/06 FK BE1
Lithuania 1 Lyga
 0-1 0-1 54 L
30/05 FC Hegelmann II
Lithuania 1 Lyga
 4-1 6-1 40 W
23/05 FK Minija
Lithuania 1 Lyga
 0-0 1-2 64 L
16/05 Lietava Jonava
Lithuania 1 Lyga
 1-0 2-0 65 W
08/05 FK Zalgiris Vilnius II
Lithuania 1 Lyga
 0-0 2-2 78 D
02/05 FK Atmosfera
Lithuania 1 Lyga
 1-0 2-0 64 W
25/04 BFA Vilnius
Lithuania 1 Lyga
 0-1 1-3 43 L
21/04 Hegelmann Litauen
Lithuania Cup
 0-3 1-4 64 L